NFL DFS DraftKings Week 2: WR Ownership Projections

Julio Jones is a top FanDuel NFL play at wide receiver this week
Julio Jones is a top FanDuel NFL play at wide receiver this week /
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Julio Jones is a top FanDuel NFL play at wide receiver this week /

Every week of the NFL season, I will provide you with my projected Draftkings Week 2 NFL DFS Ownership of each position for the DraftKings main slate. These projections are based on social trends, pricing, injury reports, match-ups and so on. Sources include beat reporters, weather reports, individual team injury reports, Pro Football Reference and FanShare Sports

Each and every week, I will be your ownership guru here at Fantasy CPR. On Saturday’s, you will have access to my projected ownership for Draftkings Week 2 RB Ownership and we will recap the results on Mondays/Tuesdays. Click Here To See Week 1 Ownership Results for WRs.

For clarity, we will only be analyzing the main slate of the week (1PM and 4PM EST games) on DraftKings which includes the new version of the Millionaire Maker, Roman’s Fantasy Football Millionaire.

The best thing that can happen to your lineup is finding a low owned, high reward player who can separate you from the competition. There is no better feeling than seeing your top WR score two touchdowns and noticing he is only owned by 2% of the field.

This season, I will provide you with who I expect to be the highest owned players at each position along with some of the top expected performers with low ownership expectations. I will also provide my picks per position based on the ownership and pricing relationship and isolate a few hidden gems.

"A contrarian is a person that takes up a contrary position, especially a position that is opposed to that of the majority."

Let’s take a look at the projected ownership of Wide Receivers in Week 2!

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PITTSBURGH, PA – AUGUST 30: Antonio Brown #84 of the Pittsburgh Steelers jokes around before a preseason game against the Carolina Panthers on August 30, 2018 at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images) /

Draftkings Week 2 WR Ownership: HIGHEST OWNED NFL DFS WIDE RECEIVERS

Draftkings Week 2 WR Ownership: Top Tier (Around 20% Owned)

Antonio Brown is only $8800 this week? Yeah, no kidding he will be the highest owned. A receiver who consistently has been a $9000 or more commodity on DraftKings over the years was overshadowed by James Conner and a Steelers/Browns tie in Week 1. Antonio Brown had a disappointing opening weekend and by that I mean 9 catches on 16 targets for 93 yards and a TD. The Steelers/Chiefs game in Week 2 has the highest Over/Under on the slate and you better believe Antonio Brown will be a part of that. Brown has been best with the threat of Le’Veon Bell in the backfield in years past and the Steelers may have found a solid replacement to keep the threat alive in James Conner.

Jarvis Landry ($6300) is a target MACHINE. He had 15 targets from Tyrod Taylor, good for 37.5% of Taylor’s pass attempts. With the late breaking news in the Josh Gordon situation, Landry is the clear #1 moving forward. Both DeSean Jackson and Mike Evans had a field day with the Saints secondary last week and Landry is certainly in line to match those performances. I also believe the lack of great options between $6000-$7000 help Landry’s popularity this week.

Draftkings Week 2 WR Ownership: Middle Tier (15-18% owned)

The quarterback situation in Denver has clearly effected Emmanuel Sanders ($6200) and Demaryius Thomas over the years. After Peyton Manning left, it was a sad parade of mediocre and sometimes dreadful QB play which ate into Sanders and Thomas’ production, two crazy talented receivers who just never had a chance.

With the addition of Case Keenum, the finally have a competent to good quarterback at the helm. After working with Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs, Keenum seems to have transitioned seamlessly into another offense with two weapons at receiver. Sanders ended up with 10 catches on 11 targets for 135 yards and a TD. The only worry with Sanders of course is his size and presence in the red zone which does affect his TD expectations. The Broncos face a Raiders team that was visibly worse without Khalil Mack in their opening game on Monday night.

In years past, a performance like the one Tyreek Hill ($7600) had in week 1 would send a shockwave through the DFS world and most would overreact and lock him in the following week. In recent years, there is a clear shift towards not jumping on a players bandwagon hoping he replicates his performance the next week. Instead of being 20-30% owned, Hill looks like he will land right around 13-15%. To me, it is ABSOLUTELY worth it to take a shot with Mahomes and Hill again in Week 2 with their low ownership share. Again, the Steelers/Chiefs game has the highest Over total and Tyreek Hill’s speed isn’t going anywhere anytime soon.

Draftkings Week 2 WR Ownership: Lower Tier (10-15% owned)

I know DraftKings is goading people in with Devin Funchess‘ pricetag ($4700) but I don’t know how you can be confident with this pick going into week 2. Greg Olsen will not be on the field and the Falcons have some major injuries on defense but Funchess showed nothing in Week 1 for someone who is supposed to be the #1 guy. This will be a McCaffrey game and I will definitely be avoiding Funchess and his near 15% ownership.

Juju Smith-Schuster ($6400) was electric when he popped up on the scene last season. Despite not seeing more than 6 targets in a game prior to Week 8 last season, Schuster still posted 917 yards on 58 catches and 7 TDs. That means he averaged 15.8 yards per catch and scored a TD every 8 catches. He will lose some interest as he is $100 more than Jarvis Landry, but he did put up 119 yards on 5 catches in week 1. With the shootout impending in the Chiefs/Steelers game, I’m comfortable predicting around 10 targets for Schuster in Week 2 which should be plenty for the former USC Trojan.

Kenny Golladay ($4800) was one of the lone bright spots in the Lions disaster on Monday Night vs. the Jets. Grabbing 7 balls for 114 yards, the 6’4″ target was a clear presence on the field. Stafford was best when he had 6’5″ Calvin Johnson and you can slowly see the interest in just tossing it up to the giant Golladay. At $4800, he’s clearly one of the better value plays on the slate.

After the Freeman news, I assume Julio Jones ($8400) will climb in ownership closer to the 15%+ range but he definitely wont be in the same air as Brown, Landry, Sanders and others. Tevin Coleman has clearly proven his prowess when given the opportunity alone in the Falcons backfield but this will very clearly be a Ryan-to-Julio game in the NFC South showdown. Julio had NINETEEN targets in Week 1 and only brought in ten for 169 yards. He should certainly be in that 15+ target range again this week. He is also $400 cheaper than Antonio Brown.

Quincy Enunwa ($4700) has returned to the gridiron and made an impact immediately, assisting rookie Sam Darnold in routing the Detroit Lions. On 10 targets, Quincy caught 6 for 63 yards and a TD. With Robby Anderson still trying to find his former magic, Enunwa will be a bit of a blanket for Darnold as he navigates through his rookie campaign. More importantly, Enunwa is a great option for those looking to get some relief on the payroll.

Who should I play out of the expected ‘chalk’?

With an elite string of high-priced running backs filling the market in Week 2, I think it is pretty clear that you will have to decide on just one in the $8000+ range (Brown, Thomas, Jones and Hopkins). I think the lower ownership gives Jones the edge over Brown and will be my pick in Week 2. I also LOVE Juju Smith-Schuster not only as an option in the mid-tier pricing but as a pivot play on his own team (away from Antonio Brown).

NFL DFS Quick Hits
SANTA CLARA, CA – NOVEMBER 06: Wide receiver Michael Thomas #13 of the New Orleans Saints is congratulated by Willie Snead (back) after scoring a touchdown against the San Francisco 49ers during the fourth quarter at Levi’s Stadium on November 6, 2016 in Santa Clara, California. The New Orleans Saints defeated the San Francisco 49ers 41-23. (Photo by Jason O. Watson/Getty Images) /

Draftkings Week 2 WR Ownership: Low Ownership Targets – (Under 10% owned)

My lord are there a TON of options under 10% ownership for Week 2. If you are going with the chalk at RB (Kamara, Coleman, Conner, etc.), then this is where you should be working from when selecting WRs.

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With both DeAndre Hopkins ($8000) and Will Fuller ($5300) expected to go in Week 2, the Texans offense will have the triple-headed monster that looked so good early on in 2017. After a modest game in week 1 of 8 catches and 78 yards, Hopkins has been on most DFS players fade list heading into this week remaining as one of four receivers at $8000 or more. Will Fuller only played 10 games last year and only managed to grab 28 receptions in an injury plagued season. However, out of those 28 catches, SEVEN were TDs. Deshaun Watson loves Will Fuller near the endzone. You can get either between 3-7% owned if you want to try something different.

Although George Kittle will receive most of the bump form the Marquise Goodwin injury, Dante Pettis ($4000) seems to be next in line for Jimmy Garoppolo targets. Pettis did manage to show off his ball skills on a 39 TD pass but only was able to collect 1 more catch on 5 targets for the game. He’s not going to bring in all of his targets but he clearly has big play potential.

Michael Thomas ($8600) put together 16 catches on 17 yards for 180 yards and a TD, only went up $800 and is facing Cleveland in an early must-win for the New Orleans Saints. It is pretty shocking that he is likely only going to be in the 10% owned range. If you want to completely pivot away from Julio and Antonio Brown and don’t trust Hopkins, THIS is your guy in the $8000 range.

Kenny Stills ($5700) is an absolute burner. Huge upside but also huge risk week in and week out. He only caught 4 balls last week but ended with 106 yards and 2 TD. In a weird, weather delayed opening weekend vs. the Titans, Stills still managed to shine despite his limited opportunity (5 targets). He is clearly the guy Tannehill is going to trust now that Jarvis Landry is gone but how much of the target share will he receive.

Cooper Kupp ($5500) is in an opposite role. With 9 targets, 5 receptions, 52 yards and a TD, Kupp is much more of a typical slot receiver who will be a reliable target for Jared Goff all season. He doesn’t have the big play potential but he will sit around 7-11 targets per week from Goff. If you are looking for a safe bet at a reasonable cost, Kupp is your guy at low ownership this week.

Phillip Dorsett ($4500) finally had his breakout game for the Patriots more than a year after he was traded for Jacoby Brissett. A perfect 7 receptions on 7 targets for 66 yards and a TD, Dorsett looks comfortable in his role while Julian Edelman is suspended. Tom Brady LOVES a reliable target so catching all 7 passes that went his way will be a stepping stone for Dorsett. Most of the Jaguars attention will be on Rob Gronkowski and Chris Hogan on Sunday which should allow for Dorsett to flirt with similar results.

Keenan Allen ($7800) might be under 5% owned this week! That is insane for a guy who is one of the deadliest threats in the league when healthy. He had 8 catches on 11 targets for 108 yards and a TD in week 1. The Chargers will face the Bills this week who allowed the Ravens to put up 47. His price, $7800, is clearly scaring some DFS players away, but what a pivot play this could be.

Brandin Cooks ($6100) looked great in his debut with the high-powered Rams offense. He ended with 5 catches for 87 yards on 8 targets and looked to be an immediate favorite of Jared Goff. Cooks is similar to Stills in that he has huge upside ability which he showed last season with the Patriots but I am more confident in Cooks getting his looks no matter the game script in weeks to come.

I’ve also identified a valuable ‘punt’ play on this slate in Tyrell Williams ($4400). His week 1 performance was salvaged by a TD as he ended with only 2 catches on 5 targets for 8 yards. However, he played significantly more snaps than Travis Benjamin and Mike Williams. In a crowded offense, it will be hard to trust anyone other than Keenan Allen or Melvin Gordon consistently but I think you can take a shot with someone like Williams in a game that will be dominated by the Chargers.

Next. Week 2 Running Back Preview. dark

Which Low Owned WRs Should I Consider This Weekend?

There are a lot of options available in this range of sub-10% owned guys coming into Week 2. The only one I am all in on is Michael Thomas. You can not just ignore a guy of that magnitude who may sink below 10% ownership. I also think you should have some exposure to Dante Pettis and Phillip Dorsett if you are looking for cheaper contrarian plays.