NFL Odds: Week 3 picks against the spread

Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-6.5)

Westgate doesn’t have this line again. Seems strange that Marcus Mariota is the questionable quarterback that’s enough to stop a line. That, despite the fact the Titans beat the Texans with Blaine Gabbert. I don’t want to take that chance again, even after Gabbert beat his former team last season.

The only place I saw the line had it at Jags by 6.5. That’s a nice looking line, even if Mariota plays. There is room for a let down from the Jaguars. The team just came off a huge win against the New England Patriots. They may be feeling themselves a little too much, and set themselves up for a let down.

Even with that possibility in mind, you can’t bet on Gabbert against the Jags defense. The defense could outscore the Titans offense with pick sixes alone. Pick the Jags even with the points.

Jacksonville 24, Tennessee 14

San Francisco 49ers @ Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5)

I will admit, up until right now I did not believe in this Kansas City Chiefs offense, but it is the real deal. Sammy Watkins is in the perfect position being a fourth option. Kareem Hunt is explosive enough to keep the defense honest. Travis Kelce is a top-three tight end. Then there’s Tyreek Hill and Patrick Mahomes.

This Chiefs offense going against a suspect 49ers defense, and this line may be too low. Understood that Jimmy G is getting some love for last year’s performance, but he hasn’t shown he can go shot for shot this season.

This isn’t a great defense in Kansas City, but it’s good enough that when they aren’t asked to do anything outlandish, they can hold a player down. The 49ers don’t have an offensive player outside of Garoppolo that can hurt you. The Chiefs have five. It’s a mismatch that won’t end well for San Francisco.

Kansas City 41, San Francisco 23