Week 3 Draftkings NFL Afternoon Slate Breakdown

SEATTLE, WA – DECEMBER 17: Running back Todd Gurley /

Draftkings NFL Afternoon Slate Breakdown -Sunday September 23

If you guys were here last week welcome back and I hope I won you some money. A lot of games went as I had expected with some of my Draftkings NFL Afternoon Slate Breakdown -Sunday September 23 game theory stacks and top plays hitting well. The only thing I didn’t see coming the Raiders playing as efficient as they did. My trap play in each game were indeed traps: Brady, Pettis, and Cook were my main trap. Cook was fine because the TEs all sucked so it didn’t even matter. Brady finished with 17.4 which ranked 6^th among QBs. Pettis finished with just 4.5 points off 1 catch. I hope the Lions stack or the Bortles value play got you to the top if the leader boards! So, overall a great inaugural article and I hope to continue my success on what is a shorter slate but with just as many amazing games. For my new viewers hope you enjoy! Let’s get that cash.

Draftkings NFL Afternoon Slate Breakdown LAC @ LAR

I’m starting with my favorite game of the slate and all of Sunday. As some of you may know I’m a Chargers fan but I will keep all my bias out of this article. There’s no reason that this game should not be in Primetime. It features 2 of the best offenses and 2 of the best defenses in the league; it’s shaping up to be an amazing matchup and I really can’t wait. There are a ton of ways to attack this game and way too many undeserving cheap options, but hey I’ll take whatever salary relief I can get on this short slate. I’ll start off on the better of the LA teams… the Chargers.

We got a couple of options to go. You can reach down and grab some cheap plays; Mike Williams and Ekeler. DK refuses to raise Mike Williams price and it baffles me. He’s only 4k in a high-powered offense who will be in a close game. Philip Rivers has the second highest passer rating while under pressure right now in the NFL with 142 only Ryan Fitzpatrick with a near perfect 153.3 passer rating is above him. This leads me to believe even though the Rams D-line is great at getting to the QB it shouldn’t have much influence on Rivers. Which comes as no surprise; last year he ranked 4^th in passer rating under pressure. The running back situation for the Chargers has been interesting, Ekeler has seen an increased role compared to last year. Both Gordon and Ekeler rank 1 and 2 in points per opportunity in the league.

The efficiency in points for both of these guys is unreal and they will be in a great spot to put up fantasy points while seeing an increase in touch from what should be a great game. Allen has run 40.6% of his snaps out of the slot which means he will have some favorable matchups when placed inside against Robey-Coleman. He will also see 2 of his old rivals in Talib and Peters, Peters has allowed a lot of yards in his career but has also picked off rivers 4 times in those 6 meetings. Virgil green might be in play if Gates is sidelined this week. If he’s able to run enough routes he could get the targets he needs to be a cheap option.

Rivers was talking in the offseason about the connection he was making with him before Gates came. After Cook went off and Seals-Jones got a decent 4/17 with the Cardinals offense getting nothing he could be able to get the volume he needs at the small price tag to pay off. They made the chargers D so cheap this week they end up being viable even against the Rams high pace amazing offense. If the pass rush is able to get to Goff this may force him into turnover situations. Not my favorite play but they are just too cheap.

On the Rams side of things Gurley of course is going to be in a smash spot going up against a poor rush defense. The Chargers just can’t tackle, it’s the worst thing ever I can’t stand watching games the way the Chargers can shut down the pass but get run all over especially against stud running backs like Gurley. There was a serious mispricing for the Rams WRs. Kupp is 4.9k and Woods is 5k for the amount of snaps and volume even against an amazing defense is just stupid. Woods played 100% of the snaps last week and 97% of the snaps week 1 with 9 targets in both games. 9 targets per game with his deep ball threat gives him a huge ceiling to have a breakout game. Goff is currently 0/4 throwing to Woods when targeting him 20+ air yards he will look to connect with him this game. Kupp (4.9k) he has the same snap count as woods but his high target and catch percentage gives him the better floor than Woods. I like Woods in GPP and Kupp in cash. Goff just hasn’t produced enough to for me to play him this week. This game provides the highest point total on the slate so I want to fit as many guys as I can in my main lineup.

Top Play

Gurley, Allen, Gordon: These are the top options in the game. Gurley should smash this against the chargers defense. Allen when lining up in the slot will destroy Robey-Coleman. Gordon has been extremely involved in both the running and passing game. He should have the highest usage rate in this game.

Value Plays

Kupp, Woods, Ekeler, Mike Williams, Green, Chargers D: These guys all provide nice upside Kupp has the best floor. Woods has the highest upside with his long ball upside once Goff hits on one of those long balls he due for a great game. Ekeler has been used in the passing game enough to raise his floor for a back up running back and has shown his ceiling already this year.

Stacks

Rivers + Allen + Ekeler: It’s tough to stack Gordon in with this because I want to fit Gurley in so I am looking at one stud and one value play from both the skill positions.

Rivers + Gordon + M. Williams: This is the opposite stack same reasoning its tough to fit all 3 chargers studs. I want to try to get as many players in this game as possible.

Gurley + Kupp/Woods: I never like to stack RB+ WR but Gurley will provide the highest floor on the slate and highest ceiling on the slate. Kupp and Woods are cheap enough to have the upsdie while Gurley kills the slate. I’m not looking to add Goff into the mix because he hasn’t shown that he can get 20+ game even with the other skill positions going off because Gurley is stealing all the touchdowns.

Draftkings NFL Afternoon Slate Breakdown Dal @ Sea

Now this game is very interesting to me. I know Dallas doesn’t have an exciting offense so far this year but I’ve been all about targeting Seattle’s defense. The Bears struggling against them last week might get people thinking they are back to a decent defense drawing ownership away from this game but that just shows to me how bad Trubisky has been missing wide open targets. Dak is definitely playable naked but stacking him with a WR is so cheap it opens up a bunch of salary. Cole Beasley was his favorite target week 1 and plays a majority of the snaps out of the slot. Denver exposed them week 1 in the slot totaling 79 yards, the bears managed a decent 40 yards out of the slot but don’t really target the slot enough for me to judge. Not the best but give Beasley between 40-80 yards with 5 catches and a touchdown at that price I’ll take that any day of the week.

Zeke is a stud but the offensive line has had some troubles with injuries. He has potential to break one loose and the way Denver and Chicago were able to run on them I like the pivot to Zeke for lower ownership and on a small slate you need that edge if you want to hit big. He has really gotten more involved in the passing game as well and as I said last week I like to go sneaky and stack QB + RB and the way the Cowboys have been playing I wouldn’t mind stacking that. He’s seeing 20+ touches a game, if he’s able to break that 30 touch mark he could manage to break 100 yards for the bonus. If the cowboys want to win this game they need to get him more involved, their offense isn’t good enough to give him less than 20 rushes a game and win. Cowboys D could be a great value play.

Wilson has been sacked a league high 12 times; sacks are more predictable than hoping for touchdowns from defenses. That could be attributed to the Broncos and Bears stars Miller and Mack but the Cowboys pass rush isn’t something to overlook they managed they get 6 sacks against the Giants and 3 against the Panthers. I know they have horrible offensive lines but guess what so do the Seahawks. This is one of those play the defense and your can easily still play the Seahawks offense. You are looking at sack upside for this play not low point scored. Seahawks could score 3 touchdowns but the cowboys could still be a good play with sacks and turnovers. We are waiting on some news that Earl Thomas might not play that would huge boost to the Cowboy’s offense.

Wilson is the Seahawks offense; even though he struggles against the pass rush that doesn’t mean he can’t produce in DFS. The Bears are one of the top pass rushing team but Wilson still produced and the Bears D got their points. This week we will see a similar situation but with not as good of a defense. This seems like the week Wilson breaks out to his full potential like he did last year. Prosise came in late in the game to grab some catches but it looks like a RBBC in Seattle They all received similar snaps last game even though Prosise received most of his snaps in 2 minute warning situations. Coach wanted to get him more involved in the pass game by moving him into a receiver role but only play 1 snap out wide.

I’m curious how they play it Sunday. Will Dissly is a very interesting play he came out of no where and is looking like one of Wilson’s favorite targets. His YAC is looking nice over the middle of the field with the Cowboys struggling to tackle he might be in store for a big game and is one of my top targets at the TE position this slate. He’s got 3 targets for 20+ if he can connect on one of those this week he’s going to be sitting pretty at the top TE by a lot. Tyler Lockett is another playable option in this offense. He’s not as cheap as he used to be but he’s been seeing an increasing role as Wilson’s top WR.

Top Play:

Zeke: He is involved in the passing game this year enough to raise his floor. He hasn’t had his break out game yet but against one of the worst defenses in the league this could be it. 27% of his rushing yards last year were from runs above 15 yards he hasn’t had one this year. Much could be attributed to the O-line troubles but he has the potential to get to the second level on his own.

Value Play:

Dak, Cole, Dissly, Cowboys D: These provide a nice salary relief with very high upside. There’s a bunch of tournament value on the slate which where you don’t have to force these guys but a game stack gives a nice correlation.

Stack Play:

Dak+Cole: This is a stack you can get for cheap to be able to pay up for the studs. This is my favorite stack of this game, but I like Dak + Zeke too.

Wilson + Lockett/Dissly +Cowboys D: I’m not a big fan of this stack but it does have some upside. Lockett is Wilson’s favorite receiver. Dissly has the potential to be the best TE on the slate and Wilson will get the yards and the touchdown to be able to spread the ball and touchdowns but the sack and turnover upside lets the Cowboys defense be a nice run back.

Draftkings NFL Afternoon Slate Breakdown Chi @ Ari

Chicago’s front 7 is legit. I was high on them in season long before they got Mack and once he arrived it was over. This might be Bradford’s last game and Rosen will end up taking over soon. We saw Rosen yawning on the sidelines; you know he’s ready. David Johnson’s price has dropped so much for good reason. They just aren’t using him enough in the offense. I’ve heard McCoy wanting to get David Johnson more involved in the offense this week. Wow crazy to think they want to get their best player more involved in the offense. If DJ’s price continues to fall I will continue to use him because he always has that break out potential. His catch upside gives him a great floor if he’s actually used more in the offense like they say. I’m just not a huge fan of this offense going against a team that’s going to pressure Bradford every play. They are ranked last in points scored, yards, and passing yards.

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The Bears offense showed last week against the Seahawks they aren’t ready to be the high-powered offense with Nagy as people would have expected. It’s just tough for me to have much part of this game outside of the Bears defense who might lead them to the playoffs on the back of Mack’s shoulders. If you are looking for something out of the Bears offense I would look at the running back position. The Arizona Cardinals got killed by running back week 1 and 2. Gurley was able to score all over them with complete ease but take that with a grain of salt because Gurley is a stud. Look at week 1 Peterson + Thompson saw 100+ yards rushing and 10 targets. Positive game script should be on Howard’s side too. Howard has been used more frequently in the passing game like Nagy said he would. He’s run 25 routes a game which is more than he saw any game last year by a lot. He’s seen around 5 targets a game which is a 25% target rate with routes run. Even though his yards per route run isn’t the best, catches are king on DK. Allen Robinson saw 14 targets off 39 routes run he is the top option in passing game but in not really looking at this game for much fantasy value outside Bears D and Jordan Howard.

Top Play

Bears D The Bears will be able to man handle the O-line of the Cardinals. The sack upside in this matchup is huge. This will lead to more turnovers chances with Bradford under pressure all game.

Value Play

Taylor Gabriel: I’m not a huge fan of this play but the volume is there. He as run 40 routes both games and has seen 5 and 7 targets in those games. My rule is never chase touchdowns but I will chase volume and hes seen a good amount of volume the last couple games.

Stacks

Jordan Howard +Bears D: This game could end up being every ugly. I don’t want much of this game but if the first 2 weeks are any indication of how the Cardinals will be playing today the Bears D should lead this team to an easy victory. This will lead to positive game script for Howard.

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