NFL Betting Guide, Week 4: Bet the mortgage on the Saints

ATLANTA, GA - SEPTEMBER 23: New Orleans Saints wide receiver Michael Thomas (13) leaves the field following an NFL football game between the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons on September 23, 2018 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The New Orleans Saints won the game in overtime 43-37. (Photo by Todd Kirkland/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) /

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TAMPA, FL – SEP 24: Ben Roethlisberger (7) of the Steelers calls out signals at the line during the regular season game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on September 24, 2018 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Cliff Welch/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) /

3. Trust the Steelers offense to score

Le’Veon Bell isn’t going to return for the Steelers this week, but the offense is still moving the ball really well without him. The Ravens have a really tough defense, but the home field advantage is going to be enough to get Pittsburgh a quality win inside the division.

It’s pretty much a certainty that the Steelers are going to score points. The same can’t be said of the Ravens offense. Joe Flacco has shown signs of life this season, but there’s still something about his game that seems off. The run game has also been stuck in the mud. Alex Collins looks like a quality back, but he fumbles the ball too much for the coaching staff to really trust him.

Add it all up and it bodes well for a close, but somewhat comfortable Steelers win. Expect the game to be pretty cagey for the first half, but Pittsburgh’s firepower should prove to be too much as the game goes along. The only way the Ravens can win is if they keep this game as a defensive dogfight. We don’t see that as a likely path to victory.

As such, feel free to take the Steelers -3. We like Mike Tomlin’s team to win by a touchdown in this one. Don’t get crazy with a tease, but bet the line with confidence.

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