NFL Week 4 2018: Picks and predictions

PITTSBURGH, PA - SEPTEMBER 16: Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs drops back to pass in the first half during the game against the Pittsburgh Steelers at Heinz Field on September 16, 2018 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images)
PITTSBURGH, PA - SEPTEMBER 16: Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs drops back to pass in the first half during the game against the Pittsburgh Steelers at Heinz Field on September 16, 2018 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images) /
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CLEVELAND, OH – SEPTEMBER 20: Cleveland Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) throws a pass during the third quarter of the National Football League game between the New York Jets and Cleveland Browns on September 20, 2018, at FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland, OH. Cleveland defeated New York 21-17. (Photo by Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
CLEVELAND, OH – SEPTEMBER 20: Cleveland Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) throws a pass during the third quarter of the National Football League game between the New York Jets and Cleveland Browns on September 20, 2018, at FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland, OH. Cleveland defeated New York 21-17. (Photo by Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) /

Cleveland Browns at Oakland Raiders (-2.5)

If the Raiders (0-3) lose this game, the heat on Jon Gruden is going to become unbearable, even on the west coast. Oakland has to win, but the Browns (1-1-1) are suddenly dangerous with Baker Mayfield at the helm. The Raiders get the nod, but mostly because it’s a five-alarm fire if they can’t pull this one out.

Pick: Oakland 23, Cleveland 20

Seattle Seahawks (-3) at Arizona Cardinals

Somebody open the window, pull the plug out of the wall, pick up the television and go for the downs. This is an atrocity.

Pick: Seattle 19, Arizona 10

New Orleans Saints (-3.5) at New York Giants

The Saints (2-1) looked like the team we all expected to see last week, scoring 43 points in a win over the Falcons. New Orleans should handle the Giants (1-2) who still haven’t shown they can run the ball or defend a quality offense.

Pick: New Orleans 31, New York 26

San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Chargers (-10.5)

The Chargers (1-2) need to win this game, and the 49ers (1-2) are starting C.J. Beathard. Very tough to see San Francisco finding a way to win this, especially with the injuries across the board.

Pick: Los Angeles 33, San Francisco 16

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3)

The Steelers (1-1-1) entered the win column on Monday night, beating the Buccaneers on the road. Now they come home to take on the Ravens (2-1), who are one of the more perplexing teams in football. Baltimore has a terrific defense, but can it do enough to slow down Pittsburgh’s passing attack?

Pick: Pittsburgh 27, Baltimore 23

Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5) at Denver Broncos

The Chiefs (3-0) have covered the spread each week and haven’t scored less than 38 points. It’s never easy playing the Broncos (2-1) in their building, especially in primetime, but the disparity in talent between these two clubs is too great.

Pick: Kansas City 34, Denver 24

Last Week: 9-7
Season: 27-19-2