DraftKings MLB Picks October 8: Concentrate on the bats
Insanity has hit the MLB playoffs. It was only a matter of time. Atlanta blew a five run lead, then won in dramatic fashion to force a Game 4, so there are three games for our DraftKings enjoyment tonight. The Astros will go for the sweep in Cleveland while the Dodgers will try to make sure the series doesn’t make it back to L.A. The Yankees and Red Sox are in the nightcap for a pivotal Game 3. The elimination of the Rockies means that you will be without articles for a day or two. I don’t play multiple day MLB ones because we don’t always know the starting pitchers or lineups, and if you don’t stack the first day, you could be sideswiped into playing someone you don’t want to on the second day.
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There is beautiful baseball weather all around for today with temperatures in the low 80’s and into the mid 60’s for the nightcap. Not bad for October! There is a 10 mph wind out to center in Cleveland and a 10 mph wind in from left in Atlanta. Plan accordingly.
These tips are based mostly on past performance. This is a nice tool for building a lineup, but should not be the only pieces of information you use. We have plenty of writers on here who give you relevant information no matter which site you play on!
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Luis Severino ($9,400): The Red Sox are only hitting .230 against Severino in 239 at bats with only four homers and 22 runs to go with 64 strikeouts. The only real issue that I have with Severino is that the Yankees lifted him after four innings in the wild card game against the A’s. That said, Severino still racked up 19.2 DraftKings points in his first scoreless outing since July. Severino is 2-2 with a 3.56 ERA in five starts against Boston this year, putting up a 18.2 DraftKings points average in those games. That’s seems a little low for the price.
Mike Clevinger ($9,000): There are a few conflicting numbers for Clevinger here today. In two starts against Houston this year, Clevinger has just 16.4 DraftKings points. However, Clevinger has a stellar 1.94 ERA since August 1st with 68 strikeouts in 60.1 innings. Houston is hitting a robust .299 off of him with two homers and six runs in 67 at bats, but he does have 18 strikeouts. Which set of numbers do you trust?
Mike Foltynewicz ($9,000): In other news, I also cost 9,000 today. Foltynewicz will go in Game 4 because he really didn’t last long enough to get tired in Game 1 at Dodgers Stadium. Folty racked up just 2.3 DraftKings points in his playoff debut. There are reasons to believe that he will be better in Atlanta, but it is unnerving counting on a guy that got knocked around just four days ago. Especially with a price this high.
Rich Hill ($8,100): Hill has been solid for the Dodgers this year, but not $8,100 solid. That said, Hill dominated the Braves in his only start against them this season. Hill picked up 33.4 DraftKings points by allowing just three hits in seven scoreless innings while striking out eight. There is always a chance that this happens again, but Hill may have some jitters in his postseason debut.
Nathan Eovaldi ($6,800): Surprisingly, Eovaldi’s career numbers against his former team are pretty good. The Yankees are only hitting .239 against Eovaldi in 92 at bats with just one homer, six runs, and a strong 19 strikeouts. In 16 innings against the Yankees this year, Eovadli has only allowed six hits and no earned runs while striking out 13 and racking up 60 DraftKings points. That is an outstanding return at this price. Eovaldi may be chalk, but it’s worth eating it for this kind of production.
Dallas Keuchel ($5,700): Keuchel’s numbers against Cleveland aren’t terrible. At this price, we would expect them to be. However, there seems to be some value here. Cleveland is hitting a solid .273 against Keuchel in 194 at bats with three homers, but only 15 runs. The bad part is the super low strikeout total (30). Keuchel has been about a half run better on the road than at home, but he did only muster 18.6 DraftKings points in two starts against the Indians this year. That’s a pretty significant risk.
Alex Bregman and George Springer have the homers against Mike Clevinger. I’m not on an Astros stack here, but with the wind blowing out to center, I have no issue with playing either or both of these sluggers.
Max Muncy homered against Foltynewicz in Game 1. In a ballpark that caters to lefty batters, Muncy is a strong candidate to do it again.
Ronald Acuna hit a grand slam last night. While I wouldn’t count on him doing that again, I do like his chances at a good game with a lefty on the mound.
If you want to go after Severino, you absolutely have to have Andrew Benintendi. Benintendi is 11-27 with two homers and 10 RBI against Severino.
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We may be able to get low ownership on Michael Brantley. There shouldn’t be. Brantley is a modest 6-24 against Keuchel, but he has two of the three Cleveland homers off of him and has driven in three. Josh Donaldson has the other homer and has driven in three.
Joc Pederson smacked a leadoff homer against Foltynewicz in Game 1. It’s the same drill with Muncy here. Folty has had issues with lefties, and this ballpark caters to lefty power. Cody Bellinger is worth a look too.
Didi Gregorius has the homer against Eovaldi. Stanton is worth a look since he is 3-10 against Eovaldi and is a homer waiting to happen.
I’m going to use the starting catcher for the Braves again. Charlie Culberson looks like a pretty strong value pick as well.
The others besides Benintendi that have gotten to Severino are on the cheap. Steve Pearce and Ian Kinsler have both homered off of Severino, and both are cheap. However, both may not be in the starting lineup either.
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