College Football picks against the spread October 9-12, 2018
By Mike Marteny
College Football picks against the spread October 9-12, 2018
We have our first Tuesday game of the 2018 season, hence this article coming out so early. Be sure to check back prior to Thursday’s and Friday’s games for any updates. I have made changes from time to time throughout the season, though I usually try not to. However, with these lines coming out a couple of days before the games, it is more likely.
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I haven’t completely finished with last weekend’s games yet, so my picks from last week haven’t all been tallied. That article will be up soon, but first, the picks for the six games before our football Saturday!
For those of you that are new to this, I pick every college football game every week. Not a top five. Not a top ten. All of them. Big deal, right? Lots of people make picks. Well, I do them all against the spread! I take the odds of each game and average them out at all the Vegas casinos and round to the nearest half. There will be no ties here. Ties are for the other football.
I also assign a point value based on the confidence I have in each pick. 1 means that I have little to no confidence. 5 is one I would place a decent wager on. I keep track of my record and my points from week to week and year to year. I am aiming for 55% this year. It’s harder than it looks!
This is for entertainment purposes only! I cannot be responsible for the loss of money, possessions, spouses, or limbs because of my picks. I can’t have that on my conscious.
Without further delay, here are the early picks for week 7!
Appalachian State at Arkansas State(-9.5)(3): This line is up a couple of points already, which is kind of strange since it didn’t go up until Sunday morning. However, Appalachian State is one of the few teams in the Sun Belt that actually plays defense. I’ll take the Mountaineers.
Georgia Southern at Texas State(-16.5)(1): I know that the Eagles are capable of covering, but that’s a lot of points for an option team on the road. I’ll go with the Bobcats, against my better judgment. UPDATE 1:35 am EST Thursday: This line has jumped another point. So I feel a lot better about Texas State. Not enough to up the bet though.
Texas Tech at TCU(-7.5)(4): I don’t like the half at all, especially when I could see Texas Tech winning outright. It doesn’t really matter if Alan Bowman plays or not. Jett Duffey can’t quite sling it around like Bowman, but he still adds another dimension to the offense. I’ll take Texas Tech.
(23)South Florida(-7.5) at Tulsa(3): Tulsa is proving to be a tough out for a lot of teams. Still, they are 1-4 for a reason. Blake Barnett has this south Florida offense humming. I have to think they cover this, and possibly with ease.
Air Force at San Diego State(-9.5)(2): The Aztec offense looked pretty good last week against Boise, but they still aren’t really a team that scores a bunch of points. What we have here are two teams that like to control the ball. I don’t see either team winning by double digits, so I guess that means I’m taking Air Force and the under on 45.5. Update 1:35 am Thursday: This line has jumped to -11.5 all over the place, so I’m taking Air Force and upping the bet to 3.
Arizona at Utah(-13.5)(2): The Utah defense is good. The Arizona offense is not. They have a few playmakers, but not enough to keep up with the amount of points their defense allows. I’ll take Utah.
Come back for my weekend picks, and for my DraftKings College football lineups! We also have metric tons of NFL content that can help you whether you are trying to win your league, not finish last, or take down a GPP on a DFS site.