Welcome to another edition of Fantasy Football Fact or Fiction! Each week, I’ll be examining a few fantasy football questions based on what transpired the previous week, with an eye towards the upcoming games. Be sure to follow me on Twitter @BenMcD_Sports to let me know if you agree or disagree with my takes! Thanks for reading!
Fact or Fiction? Jameis Winston will finish as a top 5 Quarterback in week 6.
Fact. There might be some owners out there who will want to see a big game out of Winston before deploying him for Fantasy Football purposes. Don’t be that owner. In the words of the great Sam Presti, “Scared money don’t make none.” You probably don’t need a chart to tell you how bad the Atlanta and Tampa Bay defenses have been this year, but here’s one anyways! This will help you understand why the O/U for this game is 57.5 points!
Not including his rookie season, Winston has played the Atlanta Falcons three times. He has thrown at least 3 touchdowns in each of those games. If he did that against a serviceable Falcons defense, what do you reckon he’ll do against the dumpster fire of a secondary they’re rolling out now? Lock and load Winston into your lineups this week.
Fact or Fiction? Despite a $10,000 salary on DraftKings, Todd Gurley is a must start in week 6.
Fiction. I have gone back and forth on this question ever since salaries for next week were released. When it looked like Kupp and Cooks might miss some time due to concussions, I leaned towards playing Gurley due to an expected increase in volume. However, recent reports state that it’s likely that neither Rams wide receiver miss any games, so we probably shouldn’t expect any jump in touches for the stud running back.
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Gurley has a nose for the end zone and has scored a league leading 9 touchdowns. What scares me about Gurley though, is that he hasn’t really been racking up the type of yards I’d like to see from a guy I’m considering for $10,000. He’s the safest bet to score 20+ points, but I’m not sure about projecting him for the 30+ he’ll need to hit value. He’s only hit that number in 2/5 games and I expect Denver will have a renewed focus on stopping the run after being gashed by Crowell and Powell last week. If you can find enough value plays, fire away. I’ll probably look to spend down this week though.
Fact or Fiction? It’s time to cut bait on Derrick Henry.
Fact. I’ve heard a few fantasy football owners accuse Henry of being one of the most frustratingly inconsistent players this season. That’s not really fair to Henry. He is consistent. He is consistently bad. The guy is averaging just over 3 YPC, has only 3 catches on 5 targets, and his next touchdown will be his first touchdown. In fact, he’s been so awful that with 4 more points last night, Mark Ingram would have passed Henry on scoring for the year. Remember the scene in Joe Dirt where young Joe is at the Grand Canyon just waiting on his parents to show up – but they never do? That’s what comes to mind when I think about Henry owners waiting on Henry to breakout. It ain’t happening. It’s time to move on.
Thanks for reading! Be sure to stay turned to FantasyCPR for all your DFS and season long league needs!