DFS NFL Game by Game Breakdown, Week 6
It’s that time of the week to start breaking down the Week 6 slate game by game for the DFS NFL slate for both DraftKings and FanDuel!
This Week 6 DFS NFL slate is going to be a fun one even though one of the marquee games is unfortunately not on the main slate. The Patriots vs the Chiefs is going to be one of those games that is a fantasy gold mine but you can’t play on DraftKings which is truly a major downer. At least as of this point, it seems like there’s a few games that stand out well above the others as games to target. Things always have the potential to change and we have a lot in front of us so let’s get into the slate!
DFS NFL – Buccaneers at Falcons, O/U of 57.5 – Falcons -3.5
Buccaneers Defensive Ranks
QB – 32nd, 28.8 RB – 26th, 23.6 WR – 31st, 32.5 TE – 32nd, 13.4 D/ST – 30th, 4.0 PPG
One of the biggest games Julio Jones has had since the start of the 2017 season came last year at home against the Bucs. Their defense might be even worse and I think this is really the put up or shut up game for Jones. Enough is enough here, he has to find the end zone and have a big game or else he becomes just another receiver to me. The great news is he’s under $8,000 on DraftKings and is coming off a very quiet game. I will definitely have some Julio exposure, despite not having a red zone target in the past four weeks. As long as Matt Ryan is healthy, he’s in play if you want to pay up at quarterback.
If you’re not willing to take the jump with Jones, Mohamed Sanu and Austin Hooper are well in play coming off their big games in Pittsburgh. Sanu is the second most targeted player and has been super consistent these past three weeks. Any pass catcher on Atlanta is in play and I rank them Julio, Sanu, Hooper and Calvin Ridley taking into account their price tag. I wish we knew what to make of the running back situation. Tevin Coleman, Devonta Freeman and Ito Smith all were under 40 percent of the snaps and that’s a big issue here. Nobody can be trusted at their price tag and I think they’ll be a fade for me this week until clarity emerges.
Falcons Targets
Cash Options – Julio Jones, Mohamed Sanu, Austin Hooper
GPP Options – Matt Ryan, Calvin Ridley
Falcons Defensive Ranks
QB – 29th, 24.4 RB – 29th, 25.4 WR – 28th, 29.6 TE – 9th, 5.8 D/ST – 32nd, 1.4 PPG
It’s early in the week but I would imagine Jameis Winston is going to be the chalkiest quarterback of the week and I can’t really find any reason to dispute that. This Atlanta defense has been bad and they will continue to struggle given how many injuries they have. What’s going to be a little tougher is figuring out which pass catcher you want. The easy answer is Mike Evans, since he’s the alpha in this offense and is leading in targets by 17 over DeSean Jackson. He’s not going to come cheaply so if you want a different route to take, Jackson or Chris Goodwin could be the way to go.
They’re dead even in targets and virtually the same in snaps so I might take the discount for Godwin. Jackson and Winston haven’t always shown the best chemistry. The super sneaky play could be Adam Humphries. He’s seeing the most snaps of any player not named Mike Evans and runs most of his routes in the slot. That’s where Brian Poole covers and he’s giving up a passer rating over 135 on targeted throws. Cameron Rate is an option but he’s close to $4,000 on DraftKings. That feels uncomfortable for a tight end that hasn’t exceeded 40 yards reaching yet but he and Winston have always played well together. The last play to talk about is Ronald Jones. He got near 40 percent of the snaps in Chicago during the blowout before the bye. The Bucs need to see what they have in the rookie and Peyton Barber experiment has yielded no positive results. The Falcons have gotten crushed by backs all season long and Jones is under $4,000. I want some GPP exposure for sure.
Buccaneers Targets
Cash Options – Jameis Winston, Mike Evans, Cameron Brate
GPP Options – DeSean Jackson, Chris Godwin, Ronald Jones
DFS NFL – Panthers at Redskins, O/U of 45.0, Redskins -1.0
Panthers Defensive Ranks
QB – 18th, 18.2 RB – 16th, 18.1 WR – 24th, 26.1 TE – 23rd, 8.8 D/ST – 16th, 8.75 PPG
This Redskins offense is sort of a mess right now. They looked out of sync and flat-out bad in New Orleans and that’s not a great thing considering they were coming out of their bye week. The passing game is scuffling along and it’s almost like Kirk Cousins is a pretty good quarterback. Alex Smith hasn’t matched that production and the passing game is spread out through a bunch of players. Jamison Crowder saw eight targets but didn’t really produce in a great spot. The game script and coverage were in Crowder’s favor and all he could muster was four receptions for 55 yards. That’s not something I’m going to chase in what should be a worse spot. Jordan Reed has really cooled off and only saw two targets for some reason. Adrian Peterson suffered a shoulder injury this past week and that’s something that needs to be monitored. If he’s out, Chris Thompson would see more work and even Kapri Bibbs could be in line for some carries. It wouldn’t be something that I’d be too excited about but 30 yards and a rushing touchdown pay off his rock bottom price. The Redskins aren’t a team that I’m looking towards all that much this week.
Redskins Targets
Cash Options – Chris Thompson if Peterson is out
GPP Options – Kabri Bibbs if Peterson is out
Redskins Defensive Ranks
QB – 15th, 17.2 RB – 17th, 18.2 WR – 8th, 22.3 TE – 15th, 7.1 D/ST – 24th, 5.0 PPG
With the Panthers, it’s relatively easy to parse down. Cam Newton is always in play for his rushing floor and crazy upside if he really breaks loose either on the ground or through the air. The Redskins defense has quietly been a really solid unit, despite their struggles in New Orleans. I don’t think it’s going to be a week that I have Newton all that much, if at all. There’s not much jumping off the page. Washington has only given up 22 yards rushing to quarterbacks overall. That’s not exactly the best measure of effectiveness but it should be noted. The passing game is pretty hard to buy into. Devin Funchess isn’t a receiver I want to test Josh Norman with, even though he should avoid Norman a decent amount of the time according to route data so far this year. The other factor is Greg Olsen is due back this week. Whether or not he’s fully healthy is debatable but he takes targets away from Funchess. I’m not interested in either and the passing game is only averaging 210.8 yards per game, 25th in football.
Christian McCaffrey is always in play due to his insane snap percentage and the floor of touches he brings every week. He’s touched the ball 90 times through four games for a 22.5 a game average. Even though he’s the second most expensive back on the slate, you’re paying for guaranteed touches. He’s much like Newton in that I’m not going crazy to add him to my lineups. His reception floor should take a little bit of a hit with Olsen coming back as well, though I really don’t expect him to drop under 20 touches in this contest.
Panthers Targets
Cash Options – Christian McCaffrey
GPP Options – Cam Newton
DFS NFL – Seahawks at Raiders, O/U of 48 – Raiders -3.0
Note – This game is at Wembley Stadium
Seahawks Defensive Ranks
QB – 5th, 13.8 RB – 17th, 18.2 WR – 22nd, 25.3 TE – 7th, 5.5 D/ST – 14th, 7.4 PPG
I’m not generally interested in games that take place in England. There’s just so many variables added to a sport that already is prone to wild swings that it doesn’t appeal to me. However, there should be a few things that transfer over. Amari Cooper is going to be someone who won’t get a lot of attention due to recency bias. He scorched people again last week and fantasy player have to be fed up. Coming off a one target game, would it surprise anyone if he saw 10+ this game and paid off? He’s a play just because you’re going to get him at low ownership, but nothing more. Jordy Nelson caught another touchdown but saw his targets dip to four. He’s fine for his price point but not someone I’m jamming in.
Marshawn Lynch might get a full game here. He’s only carried the ball 16 times when the Raiders are trailing but I would be surprised if the Seahawks run away with this game. It’s a little crazy to me that the Seahawks defense has still be pretty stout so far with the turnover they’ve seen personnel wise. I don’t trust the Raiders fully here but the prices are fairly low.
Raiders Defensive Ranks
QB – 19th, 18.4 RB – 28th, 24.8 WR – 26th, 28.4 TE – 16th, 7.2 D/ST – 27th, 3.6 PPG
I’m slightly more interested in the Seattle side of this game but it’s not Russell Wilson I’m chasing. Good on him for throwing three touchdowns last week but playing a quarterback who has maxed out at 26 passing attempts and only rushed the ball six times in the past three weeks isn’t someone I’m interested in. This Seahawk offense is changing, whether anyone likes it or not. They’re running the ball and they’ve been running it effectively. Fortunately for us, both Chris Carson and Mike Davis are super cheap this week. I would lean towards Carson since the price difference is negligible and he saw more carries. The red zone work was right about even this past week with Davis holding a 3-2 edge in opportunities. The Raiders are giving up the fourth most rushing yards and the Seattle offense will want to ground and pound to get on the plane and come home.
I wish I could explain Doug Baldwin getting one target despite playing over 88 percent of the snaps. It’s possible that he’s still hurting and/or Rams corner Nickell Robby-Coleman is just that good. Still, the passing game just isn’t a focal point. Baldwin’s price went up for some reason and while it’s still relatively cheap but he’s nothing more than a GPP play.
Seahawks Targets
Cash Options – Chris Carson
GPP Options – Mike Davis(close to cash) Russell Wilson, Doug Baldwin
DFS NFL – Colts at Jets, O/U of 45.0 – Jets -2.5
Colts Defensive Ranks
QB – 24th, 19.9 RB – 20th, 20.1 WR – 12th, 23.1 TE – 21st, 8.5 D/ST – 20th, 6.4 PPG
Isaiah Crowell is going to draw some attention after his massive game against the Broncos but I’m not sure I want to go there. He’s being consistently out-snapped by Bilal Powell and that will always scare me with a one-dimensional back like Crowell. The red zone opportunity is similar for those two as well with Crowell only having one more chance than Powell. It’s still a situation that I would rather avoid unless something changes during the week. I’m also happy to go right back to Quincy Enunwa, provided his hand injury that was bugging him this week is cleared up. After a fat zero this week, many players will avoid him totally and might even chase Robby Anderson. Enunwa was still getting the majority of the work until he drew Chris Harris and was dealing with a hand injury so I know which direction I believe in. Sam Darnold doesn’t present enough upside/floor combo to pay for him in my opinion. The Jets don’t want to put the game in his hands unless they can help it.
Jets Targets
Cash Options – Quincy Enunwa(if healthy)
GPP Options – Isaiah Crowell/Bilal Powell, Robby Anderson
Jets Defensive Ranks
QB – 14th, 16.4 RB – 18th, 18.9 WR – 25th, 27.0 TE – 3rd, 4.5 D/ST – 2nd, 10.6 PPG
I kind of like Andrew Luck as a GPP option if T.Y. Hilton is going to suit up for this game. We saw last week that Luck started to look like himself a little bit more in the way he was throwing the football. It was pretty impressive considering the fact that the Colts were down their main offensive skill players. The price is the main holdup here since he’s the sixth most expensive quarterback. I’m not sure if I’m ready to play him for that price. Eric Ebron being the most expensive tight end on the slate is one of the weirder things I can remember seeing but here we are. It’s hard to argue three straight weeks of double-digit targets and leading the team in red zone chances. If Jack Doyle is once again out, Ebron is in play even at his inflated price point.
Hilton himself is dirt cheap and if he’s ready to go, he’s a fantastic play, even in cash. He’s been getting a ton of targets and the injury was the only reason his target share dropped in Week 4. Chester Rodgers and Ryan Grant both saw double-digit targets last week with Hilton out of the lineup. The Colts are 29th in rushing yards per game. It’s the passing game or nothing for this team and that means Nyheim Hines remains an option. It was encouraging to see him get double-digit carries this past week and he’s the back to own in the passing game. The price is right on the edge for him since his touchdown equity isn’t the highest, making him more of a GPP play.
Colts Targets
Cash Options – Eric Ebron is Jack Doyle is out, T.Y. Hilton if healthy
GPP Options – Andrew Luck, Nyheim Hines, Chester Rodgers/Ryan Grant, Colts D/ST
DFS NFL – Cardinals at Vikings, O/U of 43.0 – Vikings -10.5
Cardinals Defensive Ranks
QB – 7th, 14.6 RB – 32nd, 31.2 WR – 2nd, 16.9 TE – 15th, 6.9 D/ST – 10th, 8.0 PPG
The Cardinals defense is going to have their hands full with this matchup. Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs are going to give any team fits and what’s going to be interesting is who Patrick Peterson sees. Peterson has occupied the left side of the field over 70 percent of the time and that would mean Diggs would see him more than Thielen. It’s a better matchup for Thielen and I like his chances of continuing his streak of 100 yards receiving in this one. If Dalvin Cook doesn’t make it back for this one, Latavius Murray becomes one of the chalkier backs on the slate. Arizona has been gouged by any back they’ve faced.
Granted, the last time Murray was chalk he destroyed any lineup he was in. I’d be fine going back to him in this spot knowing he would get double-digit touches. I’m a little undecided about paying up for the Vikings passing game. They are combining for about 53 percent of the targets and you know you should get a floor play. Kyle Rudolph is seeing the third amount of targets on the team but there’s no question who the passing game runs through. Still, it’s not the best matchup ever. I would likely find other quarterbacks to pay up for rather than Kirk Cousins in this one. Arizona is giving up less than 250 yards passing a game so at least on paper, there’s better matchups on the board.
Vikings Targets
Cash Options – Adam Thielen, Latavius Murray if Dalvin Cook is out
GPP Options – Stefon Diggs, Kyle Rudolph, Dalvin Cook if active
Vikings Defensive Ranks
QB – 27th, 22.6 RB – 9th, 15.5 WR – 21st, 24.7 TE – 26th, 9.8 D/ST – 19th, 6.8 PPG
I don’t think I’m going to have any Cardinals in my lineup this weekend. Perhaps I would have a share or two of David Johnson because he’s just a great running back but his usage is still a little worrisome. Sure, he’s averaging over 20 touches in the past three weeks but he’s also being used in the most unimaginative ways possible. It’s the same refrain it’s been all season and his coaches just aren’t exactly smart. Under $6,000 is appealing but the matchup stinks. The Vikings defense isn’t exactly the juggernaut we thought it was but the Cardinals offense is far worse. Josh Rosen is going to have issues picking on this defense and there’s no receiver worth playing. Christian Kirk had a monster play last week but only two receptions for 10 yards other than his long touchdown. That’s not something I want to bank on and Larry Fitzgerald is still really struggling, being held under 40 yards the past four weeks.
Cardinals Targets
Cash Options – None
GPP Options – David Johnson
DFS NFL – Steelers at Bengals, O/U of 53.0, Bengals -2.5
Steelers Defensive Ranks
QB – 30th, 25.2 RB – 6th, 13.2 WR – 30th, 31.2 TE – 31st, 12.1 D/ST – 4th, 9.2 PPG
This is a big game for both teams and I’m not real sure that the Steelers defense is as good as they played this past week. T.J. Watt is emerging as a force and he and his brother J.J. are in a three-way tie for the league lead in sacks. I’m still interested in some of the Bengals offensive players like Joe Mixon and Tyler Boyd and maybe even A.J. Green but these players aren’t going to come cheap. Mixon is still worth his price since he’s going to get 20+ touches and a big tempo game. Even if he’s not getting it done on the ground, he’s got some upside through the air.
The performance against Julio Jones this past week was interesting. Pittsburgh did a pretty solid job of containing him and Joe Haden made a major difference in that secondary. Green should mostly avoid Haden but the Steelers still have played much better with Haden in the lineup. I think I’d rather play Tyler Boyd if I had to pick one but the price isn’t ideal. $6,000 is getting to the point where it might be tough to hit 3x return. Andy Dalton has a good matchup on paper but he has a pretty poor history in his own division. Being the fifth highest salaried quarterback is a non-starter for me. The last player to talk about is C.J. Uzomah. If Tyler Kroft is out, Uzomah is the only real tight end the Bengals have. Pittsburgh has been ripped up by tight ends all season long.
Bengals Targets
Cash Options – Joe Mixon, C.J. Uzomah(if Tyler Kroft is out)
GPP Options – A.J. Green, Tyler Boyd, Andy Dalton
Bengals Defensive Ranks
QB – 26th, 20.8 RB – 23rd, 20.6 WR – 14th, 23.7 TE – 24th, 8.9 D/ST – 7th, 8.6 PPG
A lot of people will avoid the majority of the Steeler offense this week since the “Ben Roethlisberger on the road” narrative will come up almost without a doubt. Now, I might not be that excited to play Big Ben since he’s the third most expensive option on the board but he’s not been awful on the road this year. Sure, the Cleveland game was poor but the turnovers were somewhat due to the game environment. He didn’t have any issues in Tampa. What is interesting is the Bengals have been not too bad against wide receivers. Most teams can’t roll out the duo of Antonio Brown and JuJu Smith-Schuster so it’s tough to avoid these two players as options. The Bengals have also given up the 12th most passing yards in the game and an average of two passing touchdowns a contest.
Roethlisberger missed Brown on a couple easy throws last week but it was the first game that Brown severely out-targeted JuJu all season. I tend to think that’s kind of an outlier and both receivers will typically see at least the 8-10 target range every game. It was just nice to finally see the Big Ben to AB connection going mostly strong. The best is still in front of that duo. Vance McDonald has a quiet week which means he’s a solid, low-owned GPP play since he had been seeing five targets a game for the few weeks prior. I’m likely to pass on James Conner this week. I’m highly annoyed I wasn’t 100% on him given the matchup last week and that was a poor mistake on my part. Still, the Bengals aren’t the Falcons and Conner had been fairly average leading into that game. The price is fair but I would rather play Mixon in this very game.
Steelers Targets
Cash Options – Antonio Brown, JuJu Smith-Schuster
GPP Options – Ben Roethlisberger, James Conner, Vance McDonald
DFS NFL – Chargers at Browns, O/U of 44.0, Browns -1.0
Chargers Defensive Ranks
QB – 23rd, 19.6 RB – 12th, 16.6 WR – 27th, 28.6 TE – 10th, 5.8 D/ST – 25th, 4.8 PPG
The points didn’t follow but the Browns offense played pretty well this past week against the Ravens. Front and center was Baker Mayfield with over 300 yards and a touchdown. The Chargers defense hasn’t been playing nearly as well as the Ravens have. Los Angeles has already given up 26 plays of 20+ yards through the air, second most in the league. They’re also tied for the third most touchdown passes allowed so Mayfield is a great value this week. Jarvis Landry and Mayfield haven’t struck gold yet but it’s a matter of time. Landry has seen 20 targets the past two games and he’s not going to catch 45 percent of them for long. The Chargers are one of the worst teams in the league against receivers so Landry is the perfect way to stack this team.
The only time the Chargers have given up a lot to tight ends was when George Kittle broke off an 82 yard touchdown against them. Derwin James has helped defend that position pretty well and I’m leaning towards not playing David Njoku. It’s great that he’s seeing so many targets but there’s better matchups at cheaper prices for tight ends. Wait until the next couple weeks to play him. Antonio Callaway has been terrible so far and is about as raw as it gets. The talent flashes but he’s not there yet. Carlos Hyde is under $5,000 and should see 15+ touches. The matchup is poor against the Chargers front seven but the volume should be locked in.
Browns Targets
Cash Options – Baker Mayfield, Jarvis Landry
GPP Options – Antonio Callaway, Carlos Hyde, Browns D/ST, David Njoku
Browns Defensive Ranks
QB – 7th, 14.6 RB – 21st, 20.2 WR – 20th, 24.5 TE – 19th, 7.8 D/ST – 5th, 9.0 PPG
The Chargers are in a bit of a tough spot here. Traveling East doesn’t always work out for the West Coast teams and the Browns defense is a good unit. That doesn’t mean that the Chargers can’t score some points but I think I’m going to limit myself to the core four for this team. The first player has to be Melvin Gordon. He could be in play despite any matchup and I feel like he’s perennially underrated. He’s going to see 20 touches and the Browns are giving up about 158 yards per game to running backs. Gordon is seeing a 22 percent target share so that’s always going to raise the floor. He’s one of the best fantasy running backs every single week.
Austin Ekeler is always cheap way to get a piece of the Chargers offense but he’s really never going to see more than 10 touches. You’re going to need a big pay score to pay off. Keenan Allen has had a slow start to the season by his standards but the 26 percent target share is still in the top 15 in football. Things are going to start clicking in sooner than later. Philip Rivers has a nice price but there’s better matchups across that price range. Nobody else on the team is getting enough touches to warrant anything but a very deep tournament play.
Chargers Targets
Cash Options – Melvin Gordon
GPP Options – Philip Rivers, Austin Ekeler, Keenan Allen
DFS NFL – Bills at Texans, No Line Yet
Bills Defensive Ranks
QB – 11th, 15.7 RB – 22nd, 20.3 WR – 5th, 19.5 TE – 17th, 7.2 D/ST – 15th, 7.2 PPG
This game is going to be very interesting. The Texans offense hasn’t exactly changed, but they’ve added another element in Keke Coutee. He’s seen 93 percent of the snaps and then backed it up with a little over 71 percent this past week. That’s normally a cause for alarm but Coutee still saw that many snaps with Will Fuller being over 90 percent. It would appear that Coutee has a role moving forward in the offense and both he and Fuller are very attractive this week. Fuller himself had a very poor game but you can go right back to the well provided he didn’t suffer a setback. DeAndre Hopkins is one of the best to play the game but is also up against one of the better corners in the league, Tre’Davious White. That doesn’t mean Hopkins can’t go off but I won’t be paying up for him in this matchup.
It kind of makes me a little concerned about Deshaun Watson but at the same time, Houston can’t run the ball well outside of Watson scrambling and creating rushing yards on his own. They need Watson to carry the offense not matter what. I’d rather not play any of Lamar Miller or Alfred Blue, despite the nice matchup. There’s still to enough upside to tempt me. Maybe if Miller is out again, you can make the case for Blue but I’d rather play Chris Carson at the same price. Watson is expensive but the red number next to his name might scare some people off. He’s always got tournament winning upside.
Texans Targets
Cash Options – Keke Coutee, Texans D/ST
GPP Options – Deshaun Watson, DeAndre Hopkins, Will Fuller, Alfred Blue/Lamar Miller
Texans Defensive Ranks
QB – 22nd, 19.5 RB – 15th, 17.1 WR – 9th, 22.7 TE – 28th, 10.2 D/ST – 18th, 7.2 PPG
The ranks aren’t exactly what matters here for Buffalo’s offense because they just aren’t good. They somehow won a game last week despite their quarterback throwing for under 100 yards so the entire passing game is out the window here. LeSean McCoy is the only player here you can consider simply for volume and you have to hope he stays involved in the passing game as well. He’s coming off a game where he saw 26 touches but still didn’t find the end zone. Without much chance for a touchdown, it would be really hard for McCoy to pay off his price. It likely sounds like a broken record, but there’s really not much here from the Buffalo side.
Bills Targets
Cash Options – None
GPP Options – LeSean McCoy
DFS NFL – Bears at Dolphins, O/U of 42.0, Bears -3.0
Bears Defensive Ranks
QB – 6th, 14.1 RB – 1st, 8.1 WR – 23rd, 25.4 TE – 22nd, 8.7 D/ST – 1st, 14.5 PPG
I’m not finding much value in the Miami offense at this point. The passing game is a disaster for fantasy purposes. Out of all the teams that have yet to have a bye week, Miami has the fewest attempts at just 135 through five weeks. 27 passing attempts a game isn’t great unless they would be insanely efficient and the Miami passing attack is far from that. No one receiver has seen more than 25 targets and the share is divided between six players.
That’s impossible to pick a player to use, even though player like Kenny Stills can breakout at any moment. You have nothing else to fall back on other than him scoring a long touchdown. You’re surely not going to trust Ryan Tannehill against this nasty Bears defense and their pass rush. They’re second in sacks despite already having a bye week. I’d love to trust Kenyan Drake since he had a big game for once but that seems like fool’s gold. Drake got 11 targets this past game which is great since he can make hay through the air but the six rushing attempts are pretty terrifying. Frank Gore got 12 carries for reasons that I can’t understand. There’s nobody on the offense that has a safe floor or frankly, much upside in this spot.
Dolphins Targets
Cash Options – None
GPP Options – Kenyan Drake, Kenny Stills
Dolphins Defensive Ranks
QB – 3rd, 12.6 RB – 27th, 24.5 WR – 6th, 20.7 TE – 6th, 5.4 D/ST – 6th, 9.0 PPG
In case anyone forgot, the Bears offense blew up in their last game but it was versus the Buccaneers so take it with a grain of salt. I’d love to use Jordan Howard but Tarik Cohen out-touched him in the last game and went crazy with seven receptions for over 100 yards. Cohen is still at a really solid price but we also don’t know what his usage will really be. In his previous games, Cohen had 21 total touches. The Bucs game saw him touch the ball 20 times. It’s hard to know what the reason was but Cohen has certainly earned more touches. They’re both GPP options since we don’t have a good handle on the workload split right now.
I won’t buy into the passing game until we see Mitchell Trubisky do it against a real defense, not Tampa. Trubisky had a total of two passing touchdowns in the three games this season before the six touchdown outburst. Trey Burton is on the radar but the 4-5 targets a game are a little scary for a passing game that is turbulent at best. Even when Trubisky went nuts, Burton only had two receptions. The Miami defense has been quietly really good against the passing game so far so this game as a whole is mostly a fade.
Bears Targets
Cash Options – Bears D/ST
GPP Options – Jordan Howard/Tarik Cohen, Mitchell Trubisky, Allen Robinson, Trey Burton
DFS NFL – Rams at Broncos, O/U of 52.5, Rams -7.0
Rams Defensive Ranks
QB – 10th, 15.3 RB – 10th, 16.1 WR – 17th, 24.2 TE – 18th, 7.4 D/ST – 3rd, 9.6 PPG
The Rams have allowed just 234.6 passing yards a game which makes the passing game for the Broncos a little unappealing. Sure, Case Keenum threw for over 350 yards and two touchdowns this past game in a bad game script for the Broncos but he still has more interceptions than touchdowns. Despite the Rams being down Aqib Talib, the defense is still formidable. I’d be more interested in the running game after seeing how the Seahawks tortured the Rams on the ground this past week. The issue is Seattle was able to keep the score close throughout the game and had the opportunity to continue running the ball. Denver might not be able to replicate that feat which leads me to play Phillip Lindsay. He’s involved in the passing game and will get 8-12 rushing attempts to go along with the targets. It doesn’t seem like a game to use Royce Freeman in because of the probable game script. The options are pretty limited on the Denver side.
Broncos Targets
Cash Options – Phillip Lindsay
GPP Options – Emmanuel Sanders, Demaryius Thomas
Broncos Defensive Ranks
QB – 20th, 18.5 RB – 25th, 23.3 WR – 13th, 23.2 TE – 29th, 10.4 D/ST – 26th, 4.2 PPG
He might be $10,000 on DraftKings but Todd Gurley is turning into a difficult fade considering his constant production. The man is averaging near 30 DK points and his floor so far has been 25. That’s just ridiculous and the Broncos have been getting destroyed by running backs lately –
If they can’t handle those backs, Gurley should have an absolute field day. The pass catching options are all going to be injury dependent and something we have to monitor through the week. If Brandin Cooks and Cooper Kupp both are forced to miss this game, not only does Robert Woods become one of the best options in his range, but Josh Reynolds would be in line for a lot fo work at a super cheap price. He played over 50 percent of the snaps and might be part of the game plan this week. If both players are active, it reverts back to what it normally is and that’s hard to predict. Cooks is coming off a zero but it wouldn’t concern me. Kupp seemingly has a higher floor than last year as well and there’s really not a defense that scare me with this offense. Sean McVay and Jared Goff can handle it.
Rams Targets
Cash Options – Todd Gurley, Robert Woods/Josh Reynolds if their the top two receivers
GPP Options – Jared Goff, Brandin Cooks, Cooper Kupp, Rams D/ST
DFS NFL – Ravens at Titans, O/U of 41.0, Ravens -3.0
Ravens Defensive Ranks
QB – 4th, 13.6 RB – 3rd, 11.1 WR – 15th, 23.7 TE – 24th, 8.9 D/ST – 13th, 7.8 PPG
After the letdown game the Titans had in Buffalo, it’s hard not to view them as a matchup dependent offense. The Ravens aren’t really the matchup I’d want to test them in and it’s discouraging for the running backs that they’re splitting work so much. Dion Lewis has the massive advantage in snaps and has had it for most of the season. The problem is the touches are very close with Lewis holding a 76-68 margin. I’m not interested in either player in a tough spot. Corey Davis and Marcus Mariota have exactly one monster game and basically nothing else. They’ve just been wildly inconsistent so far this year. Davis is fine as a GPP style play but past that, there’s really not much here. It would have been nice to see Taywan Taylor continue his ascent last week but that didn’t happen at all last week. Three receptions for 30 yards and a fumble was a little discouraging. The Tennessee side is pretty unattractive and there’s a reason the over/under is so low for this game.
Titans Targets
Cash Options – None
GPP Options – Corey Davis, Dion Lewis, Titans D/ST
Titans Defensive Ranks
QB – 9th, 15.0 RB – 4th, 12.6 WR – 10th, 22.7 TE – 1st, 4.3 D/ST – 8th, 8.6 PPG
I pretty much don’t play running backs against the Titans and haven’t for a while. That’s especially true when the duo of Alex Collins and Buck Allen are almost a carbon copy of the Tennessee backfield. The snaps are closer to even and Collins is winning the touch battle 66-55. The only slightly interesting thing is Collins is actually a hair cheaper than Allen. That doesn’t put me on Collins per se, but it should be noted. I’m still all the way in on John Brown. He’s fallen behind the target lead to Michael Crabtree but it’s only by two targets. Brown still has the most air yards in the NFL and leads the league in aDOT for any receiver that has at least 10 targets. That’s always going to be a valuable role and regardless of how good Tennessee has been so far on the defensive side, Brown is certainly in play. Also, they’re coming off a game against Buffalo which has no receivers to speak of. Crabtree hasn’t shown enough upside even with the targets he’s getting to make him worth a play. Hayden Hurst didn’t see enough snaps or targets yet to try to play but he’s a name to keep in mind.
Ravens Targets
Cash Options – John Brown, Ravens D/ST
GPP Options – Buck Allen/Alex Collins
DFS NFL – Jaguars at Cowboys, O/U of 40.5, Jaguars -3.0
Jaguars Defensive Ranks
QB – 2nd, 12.1 RB – 7th, 13.7 WR – 1st, 15.3 TE – 11th, 6.0 D/ST – 12th, 7.8 PPG
As much as I typically love playing Ezekiel Elliott, this week is not that week. Jacksonville is the one defense that I still fear in the league and the Cowboys simply don’t have the weapons to challenge the Jaguars in this game. They can key in on Zeke and shut him down without much of an issue. It’s always possible that Zeke can break a big run or reception and pay off so there’s an argument to be made he could be a GPP play. He should carry almost no ownership since he’s still the sixth highest priced back on the board. Unless you’re playing a lot of volume, he’s likely an avoid this week.
More from FanSided
- USWNT vs. Vietnam: Key takeaways before they take on the Dutch
- NFL rumors: 49ers trending toward contract drama with defensive star
- Steelers avoid any camp drama with latest roster move
- MLB Rumors: Potential Braves reunion, Lance Lynn no-trade clause and Orioles deadline intentions
- Caesars, BetMGM and PointsBet Promo Codes Give $1,850 Bonus for ANY World Cup or MLB Game!
Cowboys Targets
Cash Options – None
GPP Options – Ezekiel Elliott
Cowboys Defensive Ranks
QB – 15th, 17.0 RB – 30th, 25.9 WR – 7th, 20.9 TE – 20th, 8.1 D/ST – 22nd, 5.8 PPG
Blake Bortles may have played like garbage in real life last week but he was a boss in fantasy. If Dallas has their way, this game will get dragged down into the mud. The Cowboys run the third fewest plays in the league so I’d rather not play Bortles, even though Jacksonville surprisingly sits in the top 10 in that category. I’d rather just play T.J. Yeldon despite his price climbing by $800. There’s nobody left in the Jacksonville backfield after the injury to Corey Grant. The Jags signed Jamaal Charles but he’s no threat. Yeldon is locked into a 20 touch role moving forward and might keep that until the bye week if Leonard Fournette remains out.
If there’s any way to discern how the targets will be divided up among the pass catchers, I’ve yet to figure it out. Last week it was Donte Moncrief who led the way and he’s still the cheapest. He was third in snaps behind Keelan Cole and Dede Westbrook so it’s really a crapshoot. Moncrief is the cheapest and is tied with Cole in red zone opportunities. I’d throw the dart with him if you want to get involved in the passing game for the Jaguars. Speaking of darts, Niles Paul could be the cheap tight end of the week that drops a big game. He saw nine targets last week which is not going to happen very often. Still, Austin Seferian-Jenkins is now on the injured reserve so Paul is going to be the starting tight end in this offense. The Jaguar offense is another one that has talent but has been all over the board so far. Yeldon is the only player to consider safe.
Jaguars Targets
Cash Options – T.J. Yeldon, Jaguars D/ST
GPP Options – Blake Bortles, Any of the three receivers, Niles Paul
Sample Lineup
QB – Jameis Winston
RB – Todd Gurley, Chris Carson
WR – Antonio Brown, Chris Godwin, Mohamed Sanu
TE – Austin Hooper
Flex – John Brown
D/ST – Colts
Best of luck in your Fantasy Football contests and stay tuned to Fantasy CPR for all the latest DFS news and analysis!