DraftKings CFB picks October 12: Ride the stud running backs

LOUISVILLE, KY – OCTOBER 05: TaQuon Marshall #16 of the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets runs the ball in the second half of the game against the Louisville Cardinals at Cardinal Stadium on October 5, 2018 in Louisville, Kentucky. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images) /

DraftKings CFB picks October 12: Ride the stud running backs

We have three games on Friday night, so we have some solid options to build a DraftKings lineup with. Unlike the last couple of Friday’s, we don’t really have a chalk quarterback. That is going to open up the ownership a lot more.

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TaQuon Marshall came up big for me, but a horrible game from the Marshall offense. left me on the outside looking in last Friday.

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TAMPA, FL – SEPTEMBER 08: Blake Barnett #11 of the South Florida Bulls rushes during a game against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Raymond James Stadium on September 8, 2018 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images) /

Top Tier:

Blake Barnett ($8,400): I know that Huntley has a great matchup with Arizona, but I just don’t trust him. Not that Barnett has set the world on fire lately either. The ECU defense shut him down, and the Bulls really didn’t have to open up the offense to beat UMass. I would expect a matchup with Tulsa to be hotly contested. That means Barnett should be far more involved in the offense in this one. We have seen him put up in the mid 30s for DraftKings points this year. Huntley hasn’t broken 30 DraftKings points yet this year.

Middle Tier:

Seth Boomer ($6,500): I like Tate, but not as a one man gang against a defense like Utah. You can save money with Boomer, who had some moments against Houston, but he needs to get the completion percentage up to really big a big DFS asset. Boomer only completed 13 of 31 passes while throwing an interception and losing two fumbles. I get it. Skipper wasn’t setting the world on fire. Boomer has more upside, but as he showed against Houston, this may not end favorably. Though not having to deal with Ed Oliver automatically moves him up the rankings a bit.

Bargain Shoppers:

Donald Hammond III ($5,500): Hammond led the Falcons to a dominating win over Navy, running for 60 yards and throwing for 142 more. San Diego State’s defense is strong, but I still see Hammond having another good game here for the price. Navy’s D isn’t bad. I see Hammond turning in somewhere around 4x value, which makes him one of my favorite plays of the night.

TAMPA, FL SEPTEMBER 22: Running back Jordan Cronkrite #2 of the South Florida Bulls talks with teammates wide receiver Zion Roland #82 and safety JaJuan Cherry #13 after scoring a touchdown in the third quarter of the game against the East Carolina Pirates at Raymond James Stadium on September 22, 2018 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Joseph Garnett Jr./Getty Images) /

Top Tier:

Jordan Cronkrite ($9,600): Want to know why Barnett’s stats have been down the last two games? This is why. Cronkrite ran for a staggering 302 yards on UMass last week on just 23 carries, giving him his third straight 100 yard game. Tulsa isn’t going to give up 302, but Cronkrite is a good bet for half that and another touchdown or two. That makes him worth this huge price, especially since we don’t have a must own quarterback on the slate.

Zack Moss ($9,200): This slate is dominated with run-first teams, so I like paying up for two RB’s, especially since we can save at QB. Moss ran wild on what is a pretty solid Stanford D last week. That gives Moss two straight 100 yard rushing games, and he has scored at least one touchdown in every game this season. Expect to see a heavy dose of Moss against an Arizona squad that is give up right around 200 yards per game on the ground.

Middle Tier:

Chase Jasmin ($8,000): The Aztecs just keep reloading at running back. Jasmin has run for 284 yards and two touchdowns over the last three games with James Washington out. He isn’t as strong of a runner as Washington, but Jasmin adds big play ability to a lineup that doesn’t really have any. There is a huge dropoff after the top two backs, especially if Jasmin’s hamstring isn’t 100 percent. I would try and find a way to cram both Moss and Cronkrite in if you are allocating this much to running backs.

Bargain Shoppers:

Shamari Brooks ($5,800): I was on Brooks last week only to watch him be a late scratch and see Corey Taylor run for tripled digits on Houston. We still don’t have anything clear, but it looks as though Brooks is closer to playing than Taylor is. I want whichever one starts against South Florida, who is giving up 213 yards per game on the ground. Play one of them if you have the flexibility to move between them on a moment’s notice right before kickoff. I would even consider Javon Thomas is both Brooks and Taylor sit.

Joseph Saucier ($3,100): With Fagan struggling, it has to be bad news for him that Saucier ran for 62 yards on just three carries against Navy. I would think that Saucier sees a lot more touches since three of his four touches against Navy went for more than ten yards. This is pure speculation, but this is the kind of upside you look for if you are punting a position in a GPP.

TUCSON, AZ – NOVEMBER 14: Wide receiver Britain Covey #18 of the Utah Utes signals back to the bench in the first half of the football game against the Arizona Wildcats at Arizona Stadium on November 14, 2015 in Tucson, Arizona. (Photo by Jennifer Stewart/Getty Images) /

Top Tier:

Britain Covey ($6,400): There isn’t much at receiver with run heavy teams, but Covey handles the ball so much that he has to be considered. Covey returns kicks and punts as well, so if he breaks one of those, that’s a free six points. Utah may not pass much here, but Covey has had some carries out of the backfield from time to time. I still think Covey sees enough touches to make a difference here.

Tyre McCants ($5,900): I still think USF is going to run the ball as much as possible with Cronkrite, and he has proven that he can handle a pretty heavy load. That said, I think this game stays pretty close, so the Bulls are going to have to throw more than they have in the past two weeks. McCants has been mostly matchup proof as the lead receiver, and he is very reasonably priced.

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Middle Tier:

Justin Hobbs ($5,600): Hobbs has hauled in 13 passes in the last two games alone as we have seen Tulsa’s passing offense stabilize a little. If Tulsa is without both of their top two running backs, we could see a monster game from Hobbs. Even if Brooks is in there, I think Hobbs is a pretty safe play.

Shun Brown ($5,200): Honestly, there isn’t much to like about the Arizona passing game right now. Tate is more runner than passer, and when he passes, he hasn’t been all that great. Brown is the big play guy among the Arizona receivers, so if anyone is going to break one other than Tate, it’s Brown. Surprisingly, Utah has allowed 253 passing yards per game. There could be sneaky value for Brown here, albeit with pretty big risk.

Bargain Shoppers:

Keenen Johnson ($4,600): It’s hard to rely on a passing attack with a quarterback that is completing a low number of passes, but Johnson turned in the big plays where Hobbs had more catches. I do see improvement coming for Boomer. It may be forced upon him depending on the success, or lack of, in the running game.

Fred Trevillion ($3,400): Trevillion’s stat line on the season looks like one game’s worth for a Texas Tech receiver, but Air Force’s pass defense has not been good. The Aztecs don’t throw much, but if they decide to go after Air Force, Trevillion is the lead receiver with Dedeaux out. Where else can you find a starter for this price? If Trevillion catches two passes, you likely hit value. This is a low risk value play even if the reward isn’t all that high.

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