Indianapolis Colts @ New York Jets (-2.5)
Sam Darnold wins a game, and the oddsmakers give him the benefit of the doubt. This seems like a weird contest to do it.
Andrew Luck is starting to look like a starting-caliber quarterback again. He’s not quite to the elite player he once was, but he’s closer than we all thought he’d be at this point of the season. Luck got a little more than a week off after throwing a ridiculous 121 pass attempts in four days. This is a guy coming off major shoulder surgery, but a lack of a running game is forcing Luck to do just about everything.
This matchup comes down to whether Luck has T.Y. Hilton on the field. Without him, Chester Rogers is his number one target. That’s not a recipe for success. On the other side, it’s hard to believe Robby Anderson can repeat the ridiculous game he had last week. It’s a major risk, and overall I would steer clear of this game, but for this exercise let’s go with the Colts.
Indianapolis 17, New York (J) 14
Carolina Panthers @ Washington Redskins (-2)
The Washington Redskins seem to be the team that tells us who is good and bad in the NHL. They lost big to the Colts and New Orleans Saints, and beat the Cardinals and Packers by large margins. Say what you want about the Colts, but they could be 3-2 with a few calls going their way.
The Redskins welcome the Panthers to FedEx field on Sunday. The Panthers are coming off a thrilling win against the New York Giants where Graham Gano’s 63-yard field goal won it at the end of the game. This showed a lot of moxy from the Panthers, but against a Giants team dealing with a lot of issues it didn’t provide a ton of confidence.
The Redskins are a hard egg to crack, but we think the Panthers are actually good. Go with Carolina and the points.
Carolina 24, Washington 17
Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans (-8.5)
This line is insane. The Buffalo Bills have two wins, the same amount as the Houston Texans. I’ve said before to bet against the Bills until the lines start to get insane. We are here.
The Texans have so much more talent than the Bills, but Sean McDermott holds a massive coaching advantage over Bill O’Brien. There’s not a lot to say about this matchup. Deshaun Watson is dealing with a chest injury. The Texans will rely too much on DeAndre Hopkins on offense. This is too many points to spare.
Houston 17, Buffalo 10