Every week of the NFL season, I will provide you with my projected ownership of each position for the DraftKings NFL main slate. These DraftKings NFL Week 6 Ownership Projections are based on social trends, pricing, injury reports, match-ups and so on. Sources include beat reporters, weather reports, individual team injury reports, Pro Football Reference, Fantasy Data and FanShare Sports.
For clarity, we will only be analyzing the main slate of the week (1PM and 4PM EST games) on DraftKings NFL which includes the new version of the Millionaire Maker, Roman’s Fantasy Football Millionaire.
In this DraftKings NFL breakdown, I will identify who I believe are the chalk plays you can’t avoid and where you can find the best pivot plays.
Follow me on Twitter @AlexMcKinnonDFS for late breaking news that may affect ownership and chalk.
The best thing that can happen to your DraftKings NFL lineup is finding a low owned, high reward player who can separate you from the competition. There is no better feeling than seeing your top WR score two touchdowns and noticing he is only owned by 2% of the field.
This season, I will provide you with who I expect to be the highest owned players at each position along with some of the top expected performers with low ownership expectations. I will also provide my picks per position based on the ownership and pricing relationship and isolate a few hidden gems.
"A contrarian is a person that takes up a contrary position, especially a position that is opposed to that of the majority."
One thing I will mention regularly is value or ‘hitting value’. What that means is a player scored enough fantasy points to be worth his price tag. What I consider to be value is landing in the ‘cash’ of a particular contest or tournament and making a profit off of your initial entry. The metric we use to discern the value is your players multiplier or Points/Price equation. For example, Player X costs $6700 and this week on DraftKings he managed to score 20.7 DK points. You would then take the point (20.7) and divide it by the players cost by moving a decimal over three spots from the right (stay with me). In this case, $6700 would turn into 6.7 or 6.7K. 20.7 DK Points divided by 6.7 would be 3.09, and that number signifies the ‘value’ of a player. Player X scored 3.09 times his cost.
On to Week 6 where a lot of the biggest names are off of the main slate having played on Thursday, Sunday Night or Monday. You know it will be an interesting week when Eric Ebron is the highest priced tight end on the slate!
Week 6 QBs – DraftKings NFL Highest Projected Ownership
Jameis Winston ($5800) returns as the starter for the Buccaneers this week following their bye after serving his suspension and watching the Ryan Fitzpatrick experiment and all it’s highs and lows. Winston replaced Fitzpatrick in the second half of Week 4 vs. the Bears after the Buccaneers fell behind 28-3. Despite only appearing in 13 games last season and going 3-10, Winston had arguably his best statistical season in 2017. He has had a major problem with interceptions in his first four seasons, including 2 in Week 4 against the Bears.
Winston and the Buccaneers face the Falcons this week in a game between two heavily desperate NFC South opponents. With the Falcons listed as the favorite, the game script should help Jameis Winston as he attempts to keep up with Atlanta’s offensive production against this weak Buccaneers defense. The Falcons have been the 3rd worst defense against the QB on DraftKings this season, allowing 27.2 DraftKings points per week. Additionally, Winston has had a successful career against the Falcons. In 5 games, Winston is 3-2 with 1,245 passing yards, 12 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. The Buccaneers have scored at least 21 points each time Winston and the Bucs have faced the Falcons.
Andy Dalton ($6300) and the Cincinnati Bengals are shocking the league with their 4-1 start despite injuries hitting some of their major weapons (Eifert, Mixon, Bernard). Dalton has 289 passing yards per game this year, which is over 50 yards higher than his career average. Although he still is registering far too many interceptions (on pace for 22.5 INTs), he is also on pace for a career high in TDs (on pace for 38.5 INTs). Following years of an offense that started with the run game, the Bengals are finally letting Andy Dalton loose and he has taken full advantage.
The DFS community surely loves a good match up. The top three highest-owned QBs this week are facing the three worst defenses against the QB on DraftKings. The Bengals opponent, the Steelers, are 2nd worst allowing 28.2 DK points per game. Dalton is averaging 5 passes more per game and has a completion percentage (65.8%) which would be over 3 points higher than his career average. The only problem with Dalton is that he is know priced among the highest costing QBs and is the 5th highest on the slate.
Who had the Falcons penciled in at the bottom of the NFC South come Week 5? The Falcons offense has, for the most part, shown up each week including three 30+ point performances. The defense has been a complete disaster, no thanks to a multitude of injuries, allowing 32.6 points per game. A lot has been made about Matt Ryan’s match up this week as he gets to face the Buccaneers defense that has allowed the most DraftKings points per game to opposing QBs at 32.1 ppg. Matt Ryan ($6800) faced the team that allowed the 2nd most DK points to QBs last week in the Pittsburgh Steelers but only put up 15.4 DK points. Ryan is also the highest priced QB this week at $6800. Nonetheless, Ryan has not thrown an interception since Week 2 and has been spectacular this season with 1,601 passing yards, 11 TDs and only 2 INTs with 320.2 passing yards per game despite being 1-4. Plus, he is at home this week…
Who Should I Play Out Of The Chalk
Jameis Winston is a really hard fade this week. I expect his ownership to be between 15-20% in most DraftKings contests due to his match up and price ($5800) this week. He has numerous weapons, only missing the blossoming OJ Howard. However, due to a few great options in the low-ownership field, I would fade all three of these guys this weekend.
Week 6 QBs – DraftKings NFL Low Ownership Targets
Cam Newton ($6100) gets Greg Olsen back this week as the Panthers travel to Landover, MD to face the Washington Redskins this week hoping to improve to 4-1 and keep up with the Saints. Newton has struggled to put up legitimate passing numbers, only eclipsing 240 passing yards once this season with only 7 TDs and 3 INTs but has been quite efficient, completing 65.4% of his passes which would be far above his career average. With Olsen back and the continuous improvement of Christian McCaffrey in the passing game, Newton has the offensive weapons along with Devin Funchess to put up big numbers. The Redskins have been average against QBs this season, allowing 19.2 DraftKings points per game thus far but have struggled a bit against running QBs. Cam has 3 rushing touchdowns on 165 rushing yards. With his consistency in the running game, his performance floor is very high and he of course has the potential for an explosive game.
Kirk Cousins ($6700) has been a ‘successful’ free agency pickup for the Vikings thus far despite their disappointing 2-2-1 start, sitting at 2nd in the league in passing yards 1,688 and has an impressive TD/INT ratio of 11:2. Despite averaging more than 12 more passes per game, his current completion percentage of 71.2% is 5 points higher than his career average. His 337 yards per game would be 70 yards per game higher than his career average and his interceptions % would be the lowest of his career by far.
In his Week 6 match up, Cousins faces a Arizona Cardinals defense that is 7th best against opposing QBs on DraftKings this season allowing only 17.2 DK points per game. Cousins put up huge numbers against the 9th best defense on DraftKings against QBs in the Los Angeles Rams (422 yards and 3 TDs). His chemistry with both Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs is blossoming and should continue in an important game against the Cardinals. His only downside is his price, $6700.
Similar to Cousins, Ben Roethlisberger ($6500) and the Steelers (2-2-1) are in a situation where they have to start winning games to compete in their division. Their opponent, the Cincinnati Bengals, are the surprise leaders of the division but have struggled containing the opposing QB in their first 5 games. The Bengals allow the 7th most DraftKings points to QBs at 24 points per game. Roethlisberger has 11 TDs on the season and is 3rd in the league with 1,664 yards. Roethlisberger is an outstanding 21-7 in his career against the Bengals with 6654 yards, 38 touchdowns, 28 interceptions. He has won the last 5 match ups against Cincinnati. He has historically struggled on the road in his career but was impressive in Tampa Bay in Week 3. Also similar to Cousins, his major downside would be his price, $6500.
Baker Mayfield ($5500) quietly had a 300 yard passing performance in the Browns Week 5 win over the Ravens, 12-9. With 342 yards, 1 TD and 23 rushing yards, his 21.98 DK points was good enough for 4.13x value at the price of $5300. He is only $5500 this week and faces a Chargers defense that has allowed 21.4 DK points per game to opposing QBs this season, good for 11th worst. He has yet to use his running ability much in his first 3 games which could become a factor throughout this season. The Browns have a chance to go above .500 for the first time in a LONG time and are home looking for their third straight home win (Yes, the Browns). Tight End David Njoku is becoming more of a factor in this offense and his continued growth with Jarvis Landry should help Mayfield craft a legitimate offense.
Josh Allen at $4700 is the second cheapest starting QB on the slate this week. Despite a terrible performance last weekend, the Bills are surprisingly 2-3 through the first 5 weeks of the season. He was only responsible for 82 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 INT but added another rushing TD to bring his total to three on the season. He seems to be a legitimate candidate for a rushing touchdown in each match up which is where his true value lies. The major issue with Josh Allen is the fact that he is averaging 24.4 passes per game and has yet to throw for more than 245 yards. The Texans have struggled against opposing QBs and give Allen and the Bills a chance to put up some points in Week 6. Purely based on his ability to add a rushing touchdown and the potential of a solid performance if he is given the opportunity to throw the ball 30 or more times, Allen is an okay punt play for this slate.
Andrew Luck ($6200) leads the league in pass attempts as well as completions. His 245 attempts (49 per game) is incredibly high for a guy that is recovering from an injury but the DFS surely won’t complain. Despite losing both contests, his last two performances have been incredible from a fantasy perspective; 464 yards and 4 touchdowns against the Texans in Week 4 and 365 yards with 3 touchdowns against the Patriots in Week 5. Despite the high level of pass attempts, his 66.5% completion rate would be the highest of his career. The major concern on the week would be his lack of true weapons with TY Hilton and Jack Doyle expected to be sidelined, but Luck has shown the ability to find the open man. His opponent, the New York Jets, have only allowed Broncos QB Case Keenum to surpass 20+ fantasy points but the game script works in Luck’s favor to have another 45+ pass attempt performance.
I am surprised to see Bears QB Mitch Trubisky ($5300) likely to be one of the lowest owned QBs on the slate despite his Week 4 outburst. On only 26 pass attempts, Trubisky was able to throw for 354 yards with SIX touchdowns and added 53 rushing yards for the best performance of his career in a blowout win against the Buccaneers. It was the first 300 yard or 3 TD+ performance on the year for the second-year QB but he is clearly clicking with an offense that has more weapons than it has had in many years. He is only $5300 this week against a Dolphins defense that has fared well against QBs this season. Only allowing 15.8 DraftKings points per game to opposing QBs, the Dolphins sit at 3rd best in the league in this category. With his rushing ability and clear potential for making the best out of his limited pass attempts, I like Trubisky as a contrarian play with the Bears setting their sights on a 4-1 start.
Who Should I Play Out Of The Low Ownership Targets
I consistently try to run three different QBs throughout a number of lineups on DraftKings in any given week. I can identify three in this bunch that I will have some major exposure to. Cam Newton is primed for a huge performance against the Redskins this week and will be my main QB from this slate. I am also a big fan of Baker Mayfield at his price and Andrew Luck for his low floor and contrarian position.
Week 6 RBs – DraftKings NFL Highest Projected Ownership
TJ Yeldon ($6400) has done an excellent job as Leonard Fournette‘s replacement thus far for the 3-2 Jaguars. Through 5 weeks, Yeldon has 258 yards and 1 TD on 59 carries along with 194 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns on 22 catches (32 targets). He has a huge snap count and will continue to be the guy according to Doug Marrone despite the recent addition of Jamaal Charles. The Jaguars face a Cowboys defense that allows 23.5 DK Points per game to running backs, around the middle-of-the-pack. However, the Cowboys could be without their defensive leader, Sean Lee, this week which would be a major blow to their rush defense. Yeldon is still at a very friendly price of $6400 for a guy who sees as much action as he does.
Joe Mixon ($7500) returned to action last week against the Dolphins where he rushed for 93 yards on 22 rushes and added a receiving touchdown with 22 yards on 3 catches. Mixon has been very consistent in his three starts this week rushing for 95, 84 and 93 yards in his three starts but has really added his wrinkle to his game being involved in the air attack. At $7500, he is higher priced than usual but remains viable due to Giovani Bernard being out for Week 6. Despite the Steelers inability to stop the QB, they have been incredibly stout against the running back this season. Only allowing 16.8 DK points per game, the Steelers are tied for 3rd best in the league. With that being said, this should be a high scoring affair and Mixon will be heavily involved no matter the Bengals position on the field.
Todd Gurley is a mind-boggling $10000 this week, $1300 higher than the next highest priced player on the entire slate (Antonio Brown). Gurley has scored NINE touchdowns through five weeks for the Rams this season, 7 on the ground and 2 through the air. His consistency is next level each and every week and the Rams rarely look elsewhere when they are within scoring distance. Their opponent this week, the Broncos, have given up the 8th most DraftKings points to opposing RBs this season with 29.5 DK points per game. With the Rams likely to take command of this game early along with the fact that we could see some light flurries in Denver, Todd Gurley should be utilized even more than he is typically.
Despite an average performance by Christian McCaffrey ($8300) in Week 5 against the Giants, he was still able to get in the end zone on a 4th quarter touchdown pass from Cam Newton. Outside of his Week 3 performance against the Bengals where he posted 184 rushing yards, McCaffrey has been unable to surpass 58 yards on the ground. Fortunate for DFS players, that doesn’t stop McCaffrey from producing. His 192 reception yards on 27 catches (32 targets) and 1 TD are up there with some elite receivers and gives McCaffrey the dual capabilities of only a few RBs. McCaffrey faces a Redskins defense that allows 25 DraftKings points per week to opposing running backs. At $8300, McCaffrey only trails Todd Gurley among the highest priced running backs.
Melvin Gordon ($8200) has averaged 4.6 yards per carry this year, close to 1 yard more per carry in his first three seasons. Gordon has also averaged almost a yard more per reception this season as well. With 595 total yards and 6 total touchdowns, Gordon is as safe as a bet as they come. The Chargers face a Browns defense that allows 27.4 DraftKings points per game to opposing running backs. Finding the end zone in every game this season with the exception of Week 1, Gordon is a safe bet to find it again against the Browns.
With the return of Le’Veon Bell around the corner, James Conner ($7700) has one final chance to prove his worth in the Steelers game plan for the remainder of the season. His continued success also allows for the Steelers to explore trade options and gives them an incredible back up plan should they lose Bell to free agency. With 185 all-purpose yards and 2 rushing touchdowns in Week 5 against the Falcons, Conner brought his season totals to 342 rushing yards with 5 TDs and 239 receiving yards. The Steelers opponent, the Bengals, allows 28 DraftKings points per game to opposing RBs as the Steelers look to defeat the division leaders.
Who Should I Play Out Of The Chalk
Already a huge fan of Cam Newton this week, I see a lot of value in Christian McCaffrey this week. TJ Yeldon will likely be too chalky for me this week and Todd Gurley remains too high priced to see the value. I would lean towards Joe Mixon and James Conner in this ownership range.
Week 6 RBs – DraftKings NFL Low Ownership Targets
This RB slate is VERY thin this week leading to numerous top-end running backs likely to end up over 10-12% owned this week. In the lower owned bracket, there are a few options to differentiate your lineups come Sunday.
Despite being completely overshadowed by Isaiah Crowell and his 231 all-purpose yards in Week 5, Bilal Powell ($4500) still put up 99 yards on 20 carries (5 more than Crowell) and is clearly still the lead back, by a small margin, in New York. More importantly, Crowell is dealing with a slight ankle issue but is still expected to play despite a predictably lower snap count. Powell has been spotty in his involvement in the passing game with 2, 6, 1, 7 and 0 targets through five games. At $4500, Powell is an excellent value in a game which should see plenty of offense between the Jets and Colts (who allow 27.9 DraftKings points per week to opposing RBs).
Tarik Cohen ($4600), like Mitch Trubisky, may be less noticed by the DFS public after the Bears spent Week 5 on a bye. In Week 4, Cohen saw a season high 13 carries and 8 targets which he turned into 53 rushing yards and 7 catches for 121 yards and a TD. At $4600, it won’t take a mammoth game like Week 4’s performance to hit value. The Bears face a Dolphins defense that has been very weak against the run this year, allowing 32.3 DraftKings points per week to RBs (6th worst). The Dolphins have struggled against dual-threat running backs this season, allowing 100 or more total yards to similar backs, Joe Mixon and James White.
Marshawn Lynch ($5300) had a terrible performance in Week 5 only rushing for 31 yards on 9 carries and catching 2 balls for 10 yards. Prior to that, Lynch had 100 yards OR at least 1 TD in each game Weeks 1-4. His opponent? The team which he won a Super Bowl with, the Seattle Seahawks who allow 23 DraftKings points per game to opposing RBs. At $5300, he remains as one of the lowest priced starting RBs in the league.
With Chris Thompson likely to sit against the Panthers, the Redskins will need to turn to Adrian Peterson ($4800) in a big way if they want to keep up with the deadly Panthers offense. The Panthers have only allowed 23.2 DraftKings points per game to be scored by opposing RBs through five games but have been exposed by the next level of RBs (Saquon Barkley and Ezekiel Elliott). Peterson has two excellent performances this season, rushing for 96 yards and a TD in Week 1 and 120 yards and 2 TDs in Week 3. When he gets the carries, he has gotten the job done.
This may be a week early, but Tampa Bay Buccaneers rookie Ronald Jones II ($3900) is in line for a breakout performance at some point this season in this offense. He saw 10 carries in Week 4 in a blowout loss to the Bears and should see at minimum, a split in carries with Peyton Barber this week. The Atlanta Falcons are dismal against the run, allowing 36.4 DraftKings points per game to opposing RBs, good for 2nd worst in the league. With the majority of the DFS community leaning towards a Buccaneers stack with Winston, Evans, Brate and others…Ronald Jones II and his $3900 price tag may be an advanced pivot in this match up.
Who Should I Play Out Of The Low Ownership Targets
Adrian Peterson should see a big leap in ownership as we approach the Redskins 1 PM EST kickoff but should still remain within reason. That being said, I still love Peterson in this match up. I will also have plenty of exposure to Tarik Cohen and will give Ronald Jones II some love when I need salary cap relief.
Week 6 WRs – DraftKings NFL Highest Projected Ownership
Julio Jones ($7900) continues to drop in price as his WR counterparts (Mohamed Sanu and Calvin Ridley) continue to carve out their own place in the Falcons offense. Unlike past opponents this season, the Buccaneers do not have a legitimate option in their secondary to stick on Jones. Despite Julio Jones averaging 112.8 yards per game, the 8th-year veteran has yet to see the end zone. He has only seen 10 or more targets in Week 1 and shockingly has zero catches in the red zone. Something has to change and this week against the Buccaneers is a prime spot for Jones. Allowing 51.5 DraftKings points per week to opposing WRs, Jones and his WR corps has an opportunity to all have monster performances in the Falcons last chance to get back into contention.
Mike Evans ($8100) LOVES playing the Atlanta Falcons. Over 8 career games against the Falcons, Evans has 6 TDs on 46 catches. Evans also has over 78 receiving yards in his last four performances against Atlanta. The Falcons allow 45.2 DraftKings points per week to WRs (6th worst) and will have their hands full against numerous Buccaneers weapons. After grabbing a TD in his first three games, Evans failed to score against Chicago and will look to rebound in Week 6. With the Falcons missing their starting FS and SS, look for Evans to be a top producer this weekend.
AJ Green ($8000) ranks second in the league with 5 touchdowns despite only seeing 10 or more targets in a game once, last week against Miami. He has 409 yards on 26 catches and faces a Steelers defense that allows the 3rd most DraftKings points to opposing WRs at 47.8 DK points per game. As receiving options continue to drop for the Bengals, Green should see more and more targets each week which could start during this weeks likely shootout between the Bengals and Steelers.
Despite John Brown‘s low catch percentage, he is still stringing together a great campaign with his new team, the Baltimore Ravens. On 44 targets, John Brown ($5500) has only brought in 19 for receptions but has 396 yards (20.8 yards per reception) and has seen the end zone 3 times, already matching his 2017 production. Standing out as the clear #1 target for Joe Flacco, Brown will look to grow on his disappointing 4/14 (rec/tgt) performance in Week 5 as he faces a Titans defense that allows 39.1 DraftKings points per game to opposing WRs. The reason for his low catch percentage is also a reason to see John Brown’s high upside. 8 of the 14 targets Brown saw in Week 5 were of 20 yards or more. If he is able to wrangle in a few more of these down field attempts, he could be in for a giant week at only $5500.
Mohamed Sanu ($4800) will look to continue his impressive hot streak where he has seen 23 targets over the past three games for 16 receptions, 220 yards and 2 TDs. He has been apart of the three headed monster developing in Atlanta between Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley and Sanu. As we mentioned with Julio Jones, the Buccaneers struggle in a major way against opposing WRs and Sanu could be in for a great value pivot off of or with Jones at only $4800.
Who Should I Play Out Of The Chalk
Similar to the QB slate this week, I see a lot of benefit in pivoting to a lower owned batch of WRs this week but I am certainly interested in having some exposure to John Brown and Julio Jones this week.
Week 6 WRs – DraftKings NFL Low Ownership Targets
This will likely be the last week you will be able to get exposure to Keke Coutee ($4600) at an affordable cost and relatively low ownership. The rookie has been fantastic in his two-game debut this season with 22 total targets, 17 receptions, 160 yards and a TD. Deshaun Watson has found a new weapon in an offense that already has DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller. At $4600 against a Bills defense that has the potential to be demolished, Coutee has great value this week.
Adam Thielen ($8500) has arguably been the most consistent WR in the league this season reaching the 100-yard mark in every single game this season. He has 10 or more targets in every contest and has 3 TDs on 47 catches (66 targets) with 589 receiving yards. Playing mostly out of the slot, the Arizona Cardinals defense will struggle to keep up with Thielen in an important match up for the Vikings this week.
Antonio Brown ($8700) and Juju Smith-Schuster ($7300) are being undervalued this week and will likely be in the lower-tier of ownership on a thin slate. Sounds pretty attractive, no? Coming off a big week where he caught 6 out of 13 targets for 101 yards and 2 TDs, Brown will look to continue his reconnection with Ben Roethlisberger against a Bengals defense that has been average against WRs this season, allowing 40.7 DraftKings points per game to opposing receivers. Juju Smith-Schuster will look to rebound after a modest 4 catch, 34 yards and 1 TD performance against the Falcons. In a game that is close to a must-win for the Steelers, it is inevitable that both Brown and Smith-Schuster have the potential for huge performances this week.
Calvin Ridley ($6300) is a strong pivot play off of his teammates, Julio Jones and Mohamed Sanu. After three straight incredible performances, Ridley was only able to put up 4 catches for 38 yards in the Falcons loss to the Steelers. Against the Buccaneers putrid secondary, Ridley will look to replicate his performance against another weak defense, the Saints. With most of the attention likely to be shifted towards Julio Jones, Ridley at $6300 is in a nice position where he is priced high enough to scare off the DFS community but is still affordable enough to roster without sacrificing at other positions.
Andrew Luck will be limited to a few recognizable options in Week 6, one of them being Chester Rogers ($4500). Coming off of a game vs. the Patriots where Rogers showed a solid connection with Luck, Rogers will be one of the beneficiaries of the TY Hilton and Jack Doyle injuries. In back to back weeks, Rogers has exactly 11 targets and 8 receptions in each game with 151 combined reception yards. At $4500, Rogers is in line to provide incredible value against a Jets defense that allows 46.4 DraftKings points per game to opposing WRs.
Keenan Allen ($7500) has been solid this season, posting 372 receiving yards on 32 catches (45 targets) but has left a lot to be desired only seeing the end zone once. He also remains one of the highest priced WRs at $7500. Facing a young Cleveland Browns secondary that allows 41.5 DraftKings points per game to opposing WRs, Allen will look to stand out amongst a crowded Chargers offense full of viable options. Likely to be around 5% owned or lower, Allen is a great pivot play off of the top priced options.
IF Devante Parker misses Week 6, Albert Wilson is a sneaky great play against the Bears this weekend at only $3800. After seeing an uptick in targets over the past two weeks, Wilson will look to make an impact in a Dolphins offense that has desperately missed Jarvis Landry to begin the season, despite their 3-2 start. Wilson was able to grab 2 TDs in Weeks 2 and 3 and has brought in 17 of his 23 targets for 204 yards. The Bears have an elite rush defense which should limit Kenyan Drake and Frank Gore but have allowed the 10th most DraftKings points per game to opposing WRs this season at 41.9 DK points.
Who Should I Play Out Of The Low Ownership Targets
There is an argument to be made for any of the above options. I will be locking Adam Thielen into most of my major lineups on Sunday and will also have heavy exposure to Chester Rogers, Calvin Ridley and Keenan Allen. If Devante Parker is listed as OUT, I am definitely in on Albert Wilson as well.
Week 6 TEs – DraftKings NFL Highest Projected Ownership
Cameron Brate ($3700) and/or OJ Howard ($3500) will both be highly owned depending on how the injury report is finalized on Sunday afternoon. With OJ Howard struggling to get past a knee injury, Cameron Brate could be in line for a big leap in targets whether or not Howard plays. Coming off of back to back weeks (weeks 3 and 4) with a TD, Brate will look to reconnect with Jameis Winston who he connected with for 6 touchdowns in 2017. At $3700, Brate will be a top value play in a match up with the highest over/under on the main slate at 57.5 points. If Howard suits up, he will look to continue his solid start with 222 receiving yards on 11 catches (17 targets) and a TD.
Austin Hooper ($3500) and the Falcons will face a Buccaneers defense who has struggled to slow down anyone this season. They have allowed the most DraftKings points per week to opposing TEs this season with 20.9 DK points. Hooper was impressive last week bringing in 9 of 12 targets for 77 yards. The Falcons should spend a LOT of time in the red zone on Sunday, an area where Hooper becomes a much more vital option. At $3500, Hooper may jump to the highest owned TE should OJ Howard suit up for the Buccaneers.
David Njoku ($3800) is finally finding his groove with 18 targets in the past two weeks, catching 11 for 111 yards. His growing relationship with Baker Mayfield since the rookie took over the helm for the Browns is something to keep an eye on, especially with limited offensive options for Cleveland. With Rashad Higgins likely out, that is another few targets that could be aimed at Njoku this week. Njoku is another solid option in that sub-$4000 range for TEs.
With Tyler Eifert done for the season, the clear next man in line is CJ Uzomah ($3000) who will improve off of his 43 yard performance in Week 5. The best argument to be made for Uzomah is his opponent. The Bengals face the Steelers who allow the second most DraftKings points per game to the opposing TEs at 20.7 DK points. At $3000, DraftKings was unable to match Uzomah’s expected snap count and target share heading into Week 6.
Who Should I Play Out Of The Chalk
To be completely honest, I hate all five of these options for this slate. This is a perfect opportunity to differentiate your lineups with low-owned targets. Please click next to find the best of these options.
Week 6 TEs – DraftKings NFL Low Ownership Targets
Unbelievably, Eric Ebron ($5400) is the highest priced TE on this weeks thin main slate. Ebron has been excellent with the absence of Jack Doyle thus far. Through 5 games, Ebron has 255 reception yards on 26 receptions (45 targets) with 5 TDs. Even with TY Hilton and others, Ebron has been a favorite of Andrew Luck in the red zone. With TY Hilton expected to sit out on Sunday alongside Jack Doyle, Ebron will be Luck’s top target against the Jets. The major problem (aside from the price tag) for Ebron this week is that the Jets are the best against the TE, only allowing 7.5 DraftKings points per game to the position. Additionally, Ebron is dealing with a multitude of injuries as well this week, so keep an eye on the reports heading into Sunday’s match up.
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Vance McDonald ($3400) disappointed a ton of fantasy owners last week only catching 1 ball for 6 yards against the Falcons after a pair of solid performances in weeks 3 and 4. McDonald will look to rebound against a Bengals defense that allows 14.7 DraftKings points per week to opposing TEs. At $3400, McDonald has an opportunity to produce with a low floor and still provides a ton of value if he finds the end zone.
With Chris Thompson, Jamison Crowder, Josh Doctson and Paul Richardson all dealing with injuries that may keep multiple of them out of Sunday’s contest against the Panthers, someone will have to be the recipient of Alex Smith‘s targets. Despite a dismal Week 5 performance, Jordan Reed ($5200) has been solid this year with 5, 8 and 7 targets weeks 1, 2 and 3 bringing in 289 yards on 15 catches (22 targets). The Panthers have allowed the 10th most DraftKings points to opposing TEs this season at 13.8 DK points per game. At $5200, Reed does sit among the highest priced TEs on the slate.
Greg Olsen ($4300) returns to the Panthers lineup with no major setbacks heading into Week 6. Olsen has had a successful career with Cam Newton in the pocket and will look to reconnect this week against the Redskins. At $4300, Olsen is priced far below his typical mark and has the ability to create some value at very low ownership.
Who Should I Play Out Of The Low Ownership Targets
ERIC EBRON. This is a perfect week to start Ebron with the injuries for the Colts combined with his relatively low ownership projections. In a similar position with missing offensive weapons, Jordan Reed is also a great play.