Welcome to NHL DFS Man Advantage for Monday 10/15! Tonight we have a nice 4 game slate with some interesting matchups and one that could be a blow out.
On Sunday I gave you some NHL DFS advice for the 1pm DraftKings Showdown game between the Sharks and Devils. If you played that you probably did well as Palmieri had another multi goal game, Kinkaid was stellar in net with 37 saves in the win and Taylor Hall had 2 assists. Also Mirco Mueller and Sami Vatanen had good days as well.
Looking at tonight’s slate the Maple Leafs host the Kings who are on the last game of a 4 game road trip. Detroit plays in Montreal against the Canadiens , Dallas travels to Ottawa, and the only game that doesn’t have the home team playing in Canada is Minnesota traveling south to Smashville to take on the Preds.
NHL DFS Goalies
I know what you’re going to say, every time we take a goalie against Ottawa they light him up. Eventually Ottawa will regress to the team they are supposed to be and someone will stonewall them and have a great game against them. On Monday it might just be Ben Bishop from the Stars. Bishop has been pretty good early on this season with a 2-1 record, 1 shut out, a 2.34 GAA, and a .924 SV%.
Bishop has the second best matchup (on paper at least), the goalie with the best matchup is Frederick Andersen of the Maple Leafs. Andersen and the Leafs host the road weary Kings on Monday and this one has the potential to get ugly. L.A. looked tired and slow against the Senators Saturday afternoon and hopefully will look the same on Monday. Andersen has not been in top form to start the year but is 4-1 in 5 starts and has given up 15 goals for a GAA of 3.02 and a SV% of .899. I would not be on Andersen if it wasn’t for the matchup, he has not looked sharp and I don’t think I will have that much exposure to Andersen.
My top pick in net for the night is Pekka Rinne of Nashville in his home matchup with the Wild. Minnesota has only scored 10 goals in 4 games this season with 4 of those coming last game in a 5-4 loss to the Hurricanes. Rinne has been amazing to start the year with a .946 SV% and a minuscule 1.67 GAA. Minnesota’s offense doesn’t really scare me and is even better at home, posting a 25-6 record a .919 SV% and a 2.51 GAA in 2017-18. Rinne is my top pick in net for Monday
Devan Dubnyk will probably be low owned and make for a good GPP against Nashville. While I mentioned the inefficiency of the Wild’s offense, Nashville has not been much better. Nashville has only scored 15 goals in their first 5 games is not much of an offensive threat right now to score right now either. Another possible GPP play in net is Carey Price of Montreal. On a night where Rinne, Bishop, and Andersen are all in net Price may be forgotten in his matchup with the Red Wings at home. Detroit has only 11 goals in 5 games this season, and Price has stopped 70 of 77 shots for a .909 SV%.
NHL DFS Game Breakdowns
Los Angeles Kings @ Toronto Maple Leafs
This game could either be a blowout or a high scoring Leafs win so both teams are definitely on the table for NHL DFS. I am not going to break the top line for you since that is the obvious best plays for the Kings ( Iaffalo/Kopitar/Kovalchuk). Tyler Toffoli has played well to start the season with 1 goal and 3 assists in the first 5 games and also 11 shots on goal. Toffoli is playing with Tanner Pearson ( 1 assists 8 SOG) and Adrian Kempe ( 1 goal 11 SOG). If you are looking to stack power play units Jeff Carter plays with Kopitar and Kovalchuk on the first unit. Carter a goal and 2 assists to go along with 12 shots on goal. Jake Muzzin plays on the second PP unit with Pearson and Toffoli and has 3 assists (most points for a def on the team) and he’s attempted 16 shots (only 3 on goal) and has 16 blocked shots.
Toronto runs their offense through their top 2 centers as Auston Matthews (10) and John Tavares (6) have combined for 16 of the Leafs 29 goals. After those two nobody has more than 3 goals ( Morgan Rielly and Mitch Marner). If you are looking for value here there isn’t much to go with but there is some. Kasperi Kapanen is now playing on Matthews line with Patrick Marleau. I wouldn’t line stack here as Marleau has not been meeting value with only 4 assists, but Kapenen has 6 points (2 g 4 a and 15 sog) in only a few games on the top line. Elsewhere you can use talented winger Par Lindholm who has a goal and an assist and 7 sog and seeing over 13 mins a game on the 3rd line. On the point Ron Hainsey has 2 goals, 2 assists and 8 blocked shots. Jake Gardiner is also an option with his 4 assists.
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Detroit Red Wings @ Montreal Canadiens
This game matches up two pretty anemic offenses (both teams combined have less goals than Toronto). For the Red Wings it’s the top line and not much else beyond that. Dylan Larkin leads the Wings in goals with 3 and is tied for second on the team with 2 assists. Gustav Nyquist has 4 assists and Anthony Mantha has only a goal and assist. Tyler Bertuzzi has 2 goals and 2 assists and plays on the first pp unit with Larkin and Nyquist. Filip Hronek is the best option if Dennis Cholowski is not back from an injury on Monday. Hronek is play on the pp unit as well and has 1 goal and an assist with 12 sog.
For Montreal their best players right now with 2 goals and 2 assists each are Tomas Tatar and Paul Byron. Byron is a 3rd line winger who sees no PP time so is really a one-off player. Tatar plays on the top line with Phillip Danault and Brendan Gallagher which makes for the best line stack in this game. Artturi Lehkonen is also a good one-off play with 1 goal and 3 assists and 10 shots on goal and is seeing over 17 mins of ice time a game. Jeff Petry is only defender to get on the score sheet this season with 4 assists and makes for the only real viable option on defense for this team as of now.
Dallas Stars @ Ottawa Senators
This is another game that has a blow out potential feel to it, but Ottawa has played so well recently that they should hang around in this one as well. Ottawa’s best two players so far have been defensemen Thomas Chabot ( 2 g 4 a) and surprise rookie Maxime Lajoie (3 g 3 a). You are not really going to be able to get these defenders for cheap on DraftKings much longer as they are both at $5K+ (Chabot is up to $5.8K). Up front for Ottawa Chris Tierney has 2 goals and 5 assists but only 4 sog. I don’t really like any line stacks, but you can stack Tierney with Brady Tkachuk and Chabot as a pp stack and it won’t break the bank for you (Tierney – $4.1k and Chabot and Tkachuk $5.8k each)
Dallas has a very good line stack, but this one will cost you big time. Jamie Benn / Tyler Seguin / Alexander Radulov have combined for 27 points (11 goals) and that is just about where the offense stops. They are going to score on most nights but the question is can you use them and afford to fade the Maple Leafs. For cash games I wouldn’t suggest fading Toronto, but in GPP’s this line would be my pivot off them. John Klingberg is Dallas’ best offensive d man with 3 goals 2 assists and 17 sog. Klingberg also plays on the first pp unit with the top line along with Jason Spezza (3 assists).
Minnesota Wild @ Nashville Predators
Minnesota comes into Nashville playing 3 straight overtime comes ( 2 losses). There hasn’t been much offense from the Wild with only 1 player scoring more than 1 goal for them ( Jason Zucker 3 goals). I don’t know if they score more than once against Rinne on Monday night. If they do get some pucks passed him it will most likely come from the first line of the aforementioned Zucker and Eric Staal and Jordan Greenway. On defense Ryan Suter is the man with 1 goal and 3 assists and 6 sog.
Nashville is not much better on offense and Devan Dubnyk has been playing well like Rinne. This game could possibly be the lowest scoring game on the slate so I don’t plan on having too much exposure to either team. If you want to roster some Predators the first line of Viktor Arvidsson / Ryan Johanson / Filip Forsberg has combined for 7 goals and 7 assists, that would be where I would start. Ryan Hartman has also started out well for the Preds with 1 goal, 3 assists, and 11 sog. Mattias Ekholm also has 1 goal, 3 assists and 11 sog on defense, but neither him nor Hartman see pp time. If you are looking for a pp d man then both Ryan Ellis and P.K. Subban see pp time and both has 3 points this season.
Stay tuned to Fantasy CPR for all the latest NHL DFS news and Fantasy Hockey analysis all season long!