DraftKings Early CFB picks October 20: Look for hidden value

AUSTIN, TX – OCTOBER 21: Trey Carter #99 of the Oklahoma State Cowboys sacks Sam Ehlinger #11 of the Texas Longhorns and forces a fumble in the second quarter at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium on October 21, 2017 in Austin, Texas. (Photo by Tim Warner/Getty Images) /

DraftKings Early CFB picks October 20: Look for hidden value

DraftKings has a nice ten game slate for us to choose from in the main Saturday slate again. There are some high flying offenses, some poor defenses, and everything in between. I am a little disappointed that the Nebraska-Minnesota game isn’t in there because there is a lot of fantasy goodness to be had from that game. Let’s see what we can find to replace it!

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My early lineups last Saturday were torched when Sam Ehlinger got injured. It was on to the night game early for me. Hopefully that’s not the case this Saturday.

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DALLAS, TX – OCTOBER 06: Kyler Murray #1 of the Oklahoma Sooners during the 2018 AT&T Red River Showdown at Cotton Bowl on October 6, 2018 in Dallas, Texas. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images) /

Top Tier:

Tua Tagovailoa ($10,200): There is a bit of risk with Tua, but he has been practicing like normal this week. If he is a go against Tennessee, he at least deserves consideration. Tennessee has been playing better lately, but this is the kind of team that can destroy your confidence. Alabama is going to win and win big. The only question is how much of it Tua will actually be involved in.

Kyler Murray ($9,800): Murray is still the feature back in the Oklahoma offense, essentially. For that reason, he deserves consideration every time he steps no the field. A guy that throws for 300 yards a game and gets you decent rushing totals is DFS gold. Expect Murray to be a huge part of the Oklahoma offense once again. Every game is a must win for the Sooners now.

Middle Tier:

Jett Duffey ($8,500): The Texas Tech offense looks a little different with Duffey back there, but he is still being given the keys to a Ferrari. This is a fast and powerful offense. All he has to do is keep it on the road against Kansas. Duffey’s rushing ability gives his upside a nice little boost as well.

Shawn Robinson ($8,200): I’m curious as to how Oklahoma’s defense is going to look, but until I see something good from them, I don’t trust them. An enigmatic quarterback isn’t usually the place to attack them, but Robinson has enough upside to rip off chunks against this defense, especially if he can throw an accurate deep ball. This is a decent price for Robinson with adequate upside.

Bargain Shoppers:

Brady White ($6,600): White has put up modest numbers all year, and was en route to a big game against UCF before the monsoon hit Memphis. Mired in those modest numbers are some pretty good percentages against bad defense. I think Missouri certainly qualifies as at least a below average, if not bad, defense. There is good potential for White and his receivers should Memphis decide to throw it.

Peyton Bender ($5,700): Bender is back under center for the Jayhawks again. It’s always a question as to how long. Kansas is spinning the QB wheel, sometimes during games. This is a good spot for Bender. The Texas Tech defense is better than it has been in recent years, but the yards are there for Bender since Kansas is going to be playing from behind the whole time. He doesn’t make a ton of mistakes, so Bender has a pretty good floor.

MADISON, WI – OCTOBER 06: Jonathan Taylor #23 of the Wisconsin Badgers celebrates with teammates after scoring a touchdown in the third quarter against the Nebraska Cornhuskers at Camp Randall Stadium on October 6, 2018 in Madison, Wisconsin. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images) /

Top Tier:

Jonathan Taylor ($9,700): Taylor still ran for 101 yards on a stout Michigan defense. He is going to get the Heisman train back on track with a big game against the Illini, who are allowing an average of 200 rushing yards per game. Taylor is better than any back they’ve faced so far. The only question I have here is just how much Wisconsin will run him.

Darrell Henderson ($8,800): Henderson is leading the NCAA in rushing yards, so even though Missouri is only allowing 120 rushing yards per game, he is at least worth a look. I have a feeling that Memphis will try and get Henderson the ball by any means necessary, which means he could see a few more passes his way. For this reason, I like Henderson over Etienne. NC State also has a tough run defense, but Clemson’s offense can function without Etienne if it has to. Memphis’s can’t without Henderson.

Middle Tier:

Karan Higdon ($7,700): I think many are going too look at the Michigan State run defense and pas on Higdon, but Higdon hit triple digits rushing on Wisconsin, and Miles Sanders had over 150 against Michigan State last week. There is enough to like to use Higdon as a low ownership play in GPP tournaments.

Pooka Williams ($7,400): Williams has been a big part of the Kansas offense no matter who is under center and no matter how far they are ahead or behind. His consistent usage is one reason that Williams remains a relatively safe fantasy option. Texas Tech is only allowing around 142 rushing yards per game. If they fall behind early, it’s going to be hard to keep Pooka involved, but they team has made an effort at every juncture so far. We have to believe that continues.

Miles Sanders ($7,100): The Indiana defense is equal opportunity bad, but they are allowing 158 rushing yards per game. Sanders just got more than that on a Michigan State run defense that was top five in rushing yards allowed. I tend to think that Penn State will go after Indiana more on the ground, so there is a lot to like with Sanders here.

Bargain Shoppers:

Travon McMillian ($5,500): McMillian took a beating against USC, just like the rest of his teammates here. Most think Washington will do the same, but I’m not sure about that. Washington’s pass defense is very good, but they have been gashed on the ground, allowing 137 rushing yards per game. I think Montez is going to have a rough go of it again, but McMillian could have a very good game relative to his price point.

Stevie Scott ($5,300): Scott is going to go under the radar because he has been a non-factor against Ohio State and Indiana in the last two weeks. Penn State’s run defense isn’t all that great. They have allowed 155 rushing yards per game. Scott could be in for a big game if Indiana keeps it somewhat close. For this price, it’s worth finding out if they can do it.

DALLAS, TX – OCTOBER 06: Marquise Brown #5 of the Oklahoma Sooners runs for a touchdown against the Texas Longhorns in the first quarter of the 2018 AT&T Red River Showdown at Cotton Bowl on October 6, 2018 in Dallas, Texas. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images) /

Top Tier:

LaViska Shenault ($8,700): Keep an eye to the ground, more specifically to Shenault’s toe here. If he is in the game, I want some exposure. Shenault is good enough that the matchup doesn’t matter a whole lot, but I do have reservations about using him against a team like Washington if he isn’t 100%.

Hollywood Brown ($8,400): Brown is pretty much matchup proof at this point. TCU’s defense is pretty good, but we saw Ohio State get chunk plays in the passing game. That will likely happen again. Oklahoma’s run game isn’t much right now, but they have a good passer and great receivers. They are going to get some against TCU.

Jerry Jeudy ($8,100): Jeudy isn’t a target monster, but when Bama goes deep, it’s to him. Jeudy is a strong play every week.

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Middle Tier:

Kelvin Harmon ($7,600): Harmon has at least six receptions and at least 90 yards in every game but the opener against James Madison. He has only found the end zone twice, but if the Wolfpack are playing catch up the whole time, there is pretty good potential here for Harmson.

Antoine Wesley ($7,400): The passing game suffered a bit with Duffey at QB, but Wesley still had a solid game. Kansas has given up a ton of big plays in the passing game. Texas Tech is going to get a few, and I would bet that Wesley is involved in at least one of them. Ja’Deion High is a great play as well, even though he was targeted a little less with Duffey in there.

Jalen Reagor ($6,900): Oklahoma had trouble with the Texas receivers, and TCU’s are great athletes just like Texas has. Big plays are waiting to happen against this Oklahoma defense, and TCU has the athletes all over the field to gash them. Reagor will get the most chances, but he isn’t the only good option here.

CeeDee Lamb ($6,700): Lamb has caught at least one touchdown in five straight games. Even if this isn’t the best matchup, Lamb is still getting into the end zone. You can pretty much bank on that at this point.

Bargain Shoppers:

Kavontae Turpin ($6,200): Turpin is one of the most electric players in college football. I can’t believe he is still this cheap, especially since he returns punts as well. Turpin in a strong play in any game, but especially so in a game where athletes have had their way with the defense. That’s what we have here. If Turpin gets the ball in space, he’s not stopping for a long time.

KJ Hamler ($6,100): Nate Stanley threw six touchdowns last week. He plays for Iowa, another run first team. Penn State can dominate in the pass game if they so choose. If they do, Hamler is in for a huge game at this price point.

Damonte Coxie ($5,600): Memphis is probably going to throw more than usual since Missouri actually has a decent run defense. Coxie had 11 targets last week, but only caught four due to the poor weather conditions in the second half. Memphis is going to have their way with the Missouri secondary, and Coxie is going to be a huge part of that. Pop Williams is even worth a look here. Just be aware that he has only caught one touchdown this year.

Next. ESPN College Pick Em picks week 8. dark

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