DraftKings NBA Picks November 14: Attack the Minnesota front

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DraftKings NBA Picks November 14: Attack the Minnesota front

I have returned from somewhere nice and warm to snow and a massive 11 game DraftKings NBA slate. I hope you all are glad to have me back! Who knew that DraftKings isn’t legal on Caribbean Islands or in international waters? Now I know, and it could greatly affect my next vacation plans. I wanted that Ironman achievement!

DraftKings NBA Point Guards:

Best Bets:

John Wall ($9,100): Cleveland has done well defending the point, but a lot of that is the byproduct of the excellent defense of George Hill. Sexton is solid, but he isn’t Hill on D. With the way that Wall is rolling right now, racking up five straight games of 5x value, I like him here against a team on the downside of a back to back. Hell, Wall against Cleveland would be a good bet regardless.

Jrue Holiday ($8,500): With Butler now out of town, the Timberwolves actually acquired guys that can play defense. It will make the lineup look a little different, but I would expect Wiggins back at the two with Covington at the three and Saric and Taj splitting duties at the four. The leaves some combination of Rose and Tyus Jones on Holiday. This looks like Holiday’s ninth straight 40+ DraftKings point game to me.

Honorable Mention:

Kyrie Irving ($8,000): Irving put up big numbers on the Suns and Nuggets, so a date with the Bulls and their mostly awful point defense looks like another good place to use Irving. Kyrie is definitely a matchup play, but when the matchup is right, the numbers could be huge. This is a solid place to avoid the high ownership of Holiday with little to no drop in production.

Luka Doncic ($6,900): It’s becoming really hard for Rose to hit value with his price so high, and now that the Timberwolves will have all of the pieces from the Butler trade and Teague back, there is no way I’m paying for Rose. I’m more willing to go with Doncic, who got very close to 5x value against the Jazz three games ago. He still relies a lot of scoring for a point guard, but I trust Doncic against Utah more than I do Conley against the Bucks.

D’Angelo Russell ($6,700): We all know that Russell can score, and the Nets are going to look to him to do just that with Caris LeVert out for an extended period of time. Becoming more scoring dependent does take away from Russell’s floor, but the ceiling becomes really high with the added usage coming his way. That makes Russell more of a GPP target for the next month or so.

Dark Horses:

Ricky Rubio ($5,800): Rubio is one of the more inconsistent plays out there due to his inconsistency shooting the ball, but he just put up 40.75 DraftKings points on the Mavs last week. How much could his shot have possibly changed? There is really good value potential for Rubio here if you have the Tums handy for game time.

Jeff Teague ($5,600): Teague’s knee is sore. Big surprise considering Thibs ran him ragged upon his return from a knee injury. I would guess that Teague plays here and that his minutes wont be limited, so that gives him good value potential against a Pelicans team that likes to run. If Teague starts, I like him far more as a value play for the price than Rose.

Collin Sexton ($5,000): Sexton is getting big minutes with George Hill out, and the price is right. 5x value is pretty much a certainty while his price is in this area, and as Sexton gets more comfortable, the ceiling could go up. Sexton has 59.25 DraftKings points in the last two games. He is a very safe value play at this price point.

My pick: Sexton(PG); Russell(PG), Sexton(G)

ATLANTA, GA – OCTOBER 27: Zach LaVine #8 of the Chicago Bulls attacks the basket against Dewayne Dedmon #14 of the Atlanta Hawks at State Farm Arena on October 27, 2018 in Atlanta, Georgia. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Shooting Guards:

Best Bets:

Jimmy Butler ($8,200): Butler was averaging 41.2 DraftKings points per game for a team in which he didn’t get along with anyone. What will he do in Philly? There may be some growing pains, but keep in mind that Butler put up that average while skipping the entirety of the preseason. Butler is going to get his looks. The Sixers have no real reason to hold him back.

Zach LaVine ($7,900): Only one player has scored 20 points in every game his team has played this year. You know it’s not Curry, Harden, or Westbrook. It’s not Giannis either. Give up? It’s LaVine, and he can be yours for a ways under elite price. LaVine is mostly a scorer, but he does enough and plays a ton of minutes that he is a lock for value on any given night. I like LaVine for both cash and GPP purposes since he still has solid upside due to high usage.

Honorable Mention:

Donovan Mitchell ($7,400): I like Mitchell at this price just based on shot volume alone. However, the caveat is that his shot isn’t falling right now. Mitchell is just 8-28 from the floor over the last two games, and has only shot better than 42% once in the last five games. His shot will start falling again. Tonight looks like a good place to start against the rebuilding and beat up Mavs.

Tim Hardaway Jr ($7,000): Hardaway is still about the only source of perimeter offense on the Knicks team. There are several reasons to stay off of Hardaway. He has had two bad shooting games in his last four. Statistically, the Thunder are doing well against opposing SG’s. Still, the volume is there for Hardaway, and the ownership wont be all that high. Hardaway has 20 or more points in nine of the 12 games. What are the chances he puts up another dud with this high of usage?

C.J. McCollum ($6,600): McCollum has 71 DraftKings points in two games against the Lakers so far this year, so him hitting value seems like a sure thing. As we saw against the Bucks last week, McCollum is still capable of having monster games. If Lillard misses this contest, CJ is a must play.

Dark Horses:

Jordan Clarkson ($5,600): The loss of Hill and Love has let the youngsters run wild in Cleveland, and it has been a great source of value in DFS circles. Clarkson has averaged more than 30 DraftKings points per game with Hill out. Sexton is a fine value play, but Clarkson may be even better at this point. We know he’s going to get a ton of shots.

Malcolm Brogdon ($5,200): Brogdon has added some offense to his lock down defense. Brogdon now has three straight games of more than 30 DraftKings points. His chances of hitting that against Memphis are less than ideal, but two of those three came against the likes of Denver and Golden State, both of whom are in the top quarter of the league in PG defense. I like Brogdon as a value play again, but his upside is a little less than it has been recently.

J.J. Barea ($4,300): If the Mavs are going to keep riding Barea while he’s hot, we can’t hardly afford not to use him as a value play. Barea has at least 5x value in four of the last six games. The matchup with Utah isn’t a great one, but if Barea keeps stealing Smith’s minutes, he is definitely worth a look.

My pick: N/A; LaVine(SG)

CHARLOTTE, NC – NOVEMBER 01: Paul George #13 of the Oklahoma City Thunder watches on against the Charlotte Hornets during their game at Spectrum Center on November 1, 2018 in Charlotte, North Carolina. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Small Forwards:

Best Bets:

Paul George ($9,600): I think sometimes that DFS players just lock in a stud because it’s the thing to do when in reality outside of A.D., very few studs hit value with regularity. LeBron has played Portland twice already, picking up 98.25 DraftKings points combined. That leaves him under 5x value. It’s hard to fade Giannis because he is a 60 waiting to happen, right? Maybe not. Memphis is a top five defense, and Giannis has only hit value three times in his last seven games. Give me PG with Westbrook out instead. George has 159 DraftKings points in three games with Westy out.

Nikola Mirotic ($7,500): If Mirotic plays, I’m interested, but his matchup with Minnesota isn’t as good as it would have been last night. Robert Covington is likely going to play the three, and he is a much better defender than Wiggins. However, with the way Mirotic has played to start the season, there is no reason to think he wont hit value here even with Covington guarding him.

Honorable Mention:

Josh Richardson ($6,800): On paper, this looks like a bad matchup for Richardson, but with LeVert out, Brooklyn’s perimeter defense is going to suffer. The Sixers kept JRich pretty quiet on Monday, but I expect him to bounce back with another 30+ DraftKings points tonight.

Joe Ingles ($6,100): Ingles has slowed down some, but he picked it back up with 85.75 DraftKings points over the last two games. What makes that total particularly impressive is that one of those games was against Memphis. Ingles was mostly a dud against Dallas last week, but he put up 30 DraftKings points on them the first time. Add that in with his current success, and Ingles looks like a pretty solid play.

T.J. Warren ($5,800): Warren is lighting the lamp for the Suns a lot lately, scoring 75 points over the last three games. It is no coincidence that Warren also has well over 6x value in each of those games. With the Spurs resting Rudy Gay tonight, Warren could be in for another big shooting night.

Dark Horses:

Gordon Hayward ($5,100): It stands to reason that Hayward isn’t near his Utah production. The minutes aren’t there, and he is still recovering from a bad injury. He may never hit his Utah numbers again, but Hayward playing 30+ minutes at this price is a steal. Boston has a lot of mouths to feed, but Hayward is one of the best perimeter shooters they have. He is going to remain a strong offensive play, and I like the upside for this price.

Terrence Ross ($5,000): This is what many of us expected when Ross was dealt to Orlando last February. He is finally getting more run with the team, and if Gordon is sidelined again, Ross will have another big game for the price. Ross has 65.5 DraftKings points in two games with Gordon out in just 47 minutes of court time. Someone that can provide that kind of output in those few minutes is DFS gold.

Kyle Anderson ($4,800): We saw flashes of what Anderson was capable of last year when Kawhi was out. Anderson has moved on to a full time role with the Grizzlies. He isn’t really needed as a scorer on this team, so Anderson stuffs the stat sheet everywhere else. He has 13 rebounds in each of the last two games. Anderson now has four straight games of 5x value. While his upside is capped with all of the good offense on this team, Anderson still puts up good numbers, making him a great punt in any format.

My pick: Ross(SG), Anderson(G); Warren(SF), Anderson(F)

ORLANDO, FL – OCTOBER 17: Aaron Gordon #00 of the Orlando Magic celebrates during the game against the Miami Heat at Amway Center on October 17, 2018 in Orlando, Florida. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Power Forwards:

Best Bets:

Anthony Davis ($11,300): Davis has hit 5x value in nine of 12 games so far, and now he gets the Timberwolves who are among the league’s worst when it comes to interior defense. The Brow isn’t going to waste this gift. There is plenty of value on the slate to put Davis in any kind of lineup you build, and I would strongly suggest using him. His ownership is going to be very high even on this large of a slate, but I don’t see anyone outdoing Davis tonight.

Blake Griffin ($9,400): It’s hard to advocate a fade of Brow for Griffin, but I’m not opposed to using both of them. Griffin is doing what many of us thought he would do upon his arrival in Detroit. It has just taken Blake being healthy to come to fruition. Griffin has at least 20 points in ten games so far, and has a nice matchup with the Raptors tonight if you want to pay up.

Honorable Mention:

Aaron Gordon ($7,700): Gordon went for 47 DraftKings points on the Sixers the first time around, and now he wont have to deal with Saric or Robert Covington on him. It could happen that Philly puts a better defender at the four, but the only way I realistically see that happening is if they play Simmons at the four. That isn’t going to happen, so I’m high on Gordon tonight.

Jayson Tatum ($6,600): Tatum has back to back 40+ DraftKings points games, and now gets the Bulls who are without Markkanen and Bobby Portis up front. That hasn’t really hurt the Bulls yet since their perimeter defense is so bad, but Tatum has emerged as one of the keys to this Boston offense. I could seem him coming up big for the price again.

Dark Horses:

Pascal Siakam ($5,900): I could make a case for Ibaka the defensive guru here as well, but Siakam has more upside at a lower price. Siakam has three straight 20+ point games, going over 30 DraftKIngs points in each of them. We saw that Siakam is a solid defender last year. Now that he is also part of the offense, Siakam is worth using in GPP’s because when he finally puts this together, huge games are going to come. The downside is that I wouldn’t count on it against the towers of Detroit.

Larry Nance Jr. ($5,500): Injuries to Love and Dekker have afforded Nance another chance to run off with a starting gig. Cleveland wants him to have the job. Nance is doing much better this time around, picking up 58 DraftKings points over the last two games. Washington is decent on the interior, but Nance isn’t much of a scorer anyway. You are playing him for defense and hoping for enough scoring to get him near 6x value.

Robert Covington ($4,700): I expect Covington to start at the three for Minnesota. He should fill a role that he can thrive in in this offense, so I am probably taking at least one shot with Covington in GPP formats. It is not official that he will start yet, but it’s looking like both he and Saric will be available. Saric and Gibson are going to fight for minutes, but Covington should see upwards of 30, making him a very good value play.

My pick: Covington(SF), Davis(PF); Nance(PF)

FanDuel NBA: PHILADELPHIA, PA – OCTOBER 20: Joel Embiid #21 of the Philadelphia 76ers celebrates a three point shot against the Orlando Magic at Wells Fargo Center on October 20, 2018 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Drew Hallowell/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Center

Best Bets:

Joel Embiid ($10,500): Vucevic is an offensive whiz, but his defense isn’t great. That makes both he and Embiid strong plays if you are fading Davis. Embiid racked up 52 DraftKings points against the Magic earlier this season. There is nothing stopping him from doing the same, though having Butler around could lower his usage a bit.

More from FanSided

Andre Drummond ($9,300): Drummond is pretty much a lock for 15 or more rebounds regardless of what he does on offense. However, Drummond has scored at least 20 points in four straight and five of six along with his world class rebounding totals. Fading Embiid for Drummond is acceptable if you aren’t sure how the Butler in Philly situation is going to play out.

Honorable Mention:

Hassan Whiteside ($8,400): He’s playing the Nets. Lock in Whiteside and decide which other center you can play at F or UTIL.

LaMarcus Aldridge ($8,300): The Suns are one of the weaker teams on the interior, and LMA is dominating the boards with Pau out. Aldridge has 44 rebounds in just the last three games, and has topped 40 DraftKings points in two of those. Look for similar output in the desert tonight.

Nikola Vucevic ($8,200): Vucevic destroyed the Sixers for 70.75 DraftKings points in the first meeting, easily the best game of his career. The chances of Vucevic duplicating that feat aren’t great, but there is no reason that he can’t flirt with 50 DraftKings points here. That makes Vucevic a great mid range value target, especially if you don’t trust Whiteside, no matter the opponent.

Dark Horses:

Julius Randle ($6,900): Randle has been a force for the Pelicans either starting or off the bench, much like he was with the Lakers last season. Again, Minnesota is horrid on the interior. I’m probably using Randle and Davis in at least one lineup, and I will use them in all my builds if Mirotic sits. That’s how great of a matchup this is.

DeAndre Jordan ($6,500): Jordan has racked up 87.75 DraftKings points in two meetings with the Jazz already this year. As usual, Jordan’s rebounding keeps him a solid DFS play, but his offensive upside only makes him a GPP target in a good matchup. This looks good judging by how well Jordan has done against Utah so far this year.

Tristan Thompson ($5,800): Thompson, an afterthought during the reign of King James II in Cleveland, has dominated the interior with Love out this year. Only the Thunder have kept Thompson from topping 40 DraftKings points over the last four games. I doubt Washington can keep him under that either. Thompson has huge upside, and is a great, albeit chalky, value play.

My pick: Randle(F), Thompson(C), Jordan(UTIL); Whiteside(C), Thompson(UTIL)

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