DraftKings NBA Picks November 24: Play Harden with CP3 out

DENVER, CO – NOVEMBER 13: Clint Capela #15 of the Houston Rockets plays the Denver Nuggets at the Pepsi Center on November 13, 2018 in Denver, Colorado. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Picks November 24: Use Harden with CP3 out

We are down to seven games on our Saturday, but that still puts half the league in action. That also means that 12 of those 14 teams are in the midst of back to back games. Houston, Cleveland, New Orleans, Washington, Chicago, Minnesota, San Antonio, Denver, Oklahoma City, Milwaukee, Golden State, and Portland all played last night. We really have to watch for resting players here!

DraftKings NBA Point Guards:

Best Bets:

Russell Westbrook ($10,700): Westbrook can still have a low scoring game and rack up a triple double. That makes him one of the best plays of the upper tier due to the high floor. Denver isn’t all that great defending guards either. The Nuggets are pretty solid elsewhere, so that maybe raises Westbrook’s upside a little bit. Still, this is a pretty loaded slate. If you want the stud with the best floor, Westbrook may be it.

Jrue Holiday ($8,600): It was yet another 40+ DraftKings point game for Holiday last night. It’s hard to say that he isn’t worth the price. The problem that we are running into now is that Holiday’s value potential is practically non-existent. He pretty much has to play at the top of his game to hit value. Despite how well he is playing, I am inclined to go somewhere else with so many stars in play.

John Wall ($8,500): Every shooter has an off night once in a while. That’s where Wall was last night. The issue was that Wall had a combined three defensive stats. The assists are nice, but it’s hard to hit value if the shot isn’t falling if you don’t contribute across the board. I’m willing to go back to Wall though because they are going to be paced up against the Hornets. Wall at this price looks like a pretty good deal.

Honorable Mention:

Luka Doncic ($7,200): The rookie is quietly putting on a show in Big D. Doncic has at least 33 DraftKings points in eight of the last ten games, and has show the ability to hit 40 here and there, including twice in the last three games. The price is still right on Doncic, so I have no problem deploying him in any format.

De’Aaron Fox ($7,000): Fox has shown flashes of brilliance this year, including Wednesday night when he and WCS wreaked havoc on Utah. It would be nice if Fox and company could do this with any kind of consistency. For now, we just have to pick the matchups that look the best. Going against the Curry-less Warriors who have had trouble containing centers looks like a good place.

Jamal Murray ($6,300): Murray seems to be back on track after a rough stretch. He has three straight games of more than 5x value. The Thunder are right in the middle of the pack for point guards, so I don’t see any reason for Murray’s production to slip. That makes him a nice mid range play

Dark Horses:

Quinn Cook ($4,900): I’m not entirely sure that I’m ready to head back to Cook. He burned a lot of DFS players in the first few games Curry was out by having a great game, then a fabulous flop immediately afterwards. Cook seems to have gained some kind of consistency now averaging 27.75 DraftKings points per game over his last four. Based on the good matchup here, I think I’m ready to take another shot with Cook.

Ryan Arcidiacono ($3,700): Arcidiacono isn’t really capable of a big game, but that’s not really what we are asking for at his price either. We will settle for 6x value or so. That seems to be the norm right now while he is starting at point for the Bulls. Arcidiacono has at least 6x value in six of the last eight games.

Tomas Satoransky ($3,500): The Wizards finally moved the slumping Austin Rivers down the depth chart, and Satoransky has really taken advantage of his expanded role. He has at least 5x value in all three of those games and has gone as high as 9x value. That makes him a strong value play while his price is this low.

My pick: Cook(PG); Doncic(PG), Arcidiacono(UTIL)

BOSTON, MA – NOVEMBER 14: Zach LaVine #8 of the Chicago Bulls reacts during the first half against the Boston Celtics at TD Garden on November 14, 2018 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Tim Bradbury/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Shooting Guards:

Best Bets:

James Harden ($11,100): I guess there are a few advantages to trying to sleep at night. One being that we get some of the news while writing the article. With CP3 out, Harden is almost a must play, even at this price. His usage rate with Paul off the floor is through the roof. Forget the somewhat disappointing game against the Pistons last night. Harden could be in for a monster here.

Zach LaVine ($7,800): Is this still a revenge game? Probably not, but LaVine may play like it anyway. He has scored 20 or more points in all but two games this year. It’s safe to say that LaVine is back on track, and that the Bulls still don’t have a lot of help for him. That usage rate isn’t going down anytime.

Bradley Beal ($7,400): In two games since the public blowout and in-fighting became public, Beal has 80.25 DraftKings points. Either he is playing at a high level to increase the chances of a trade or he took the comments from most sports outlets to heart and is trying to take his game to another level and win with what they have. Whatever the case, ride the hot streak while it lasts.

Honorable Mention:

Klay Thompson ($6,700): Klay has at least 30 DraftKings points in each of the last four games. I’m all over Klay tonight. The two biggest games of his career have come against the Kings. With Curry out, don’t be shocked if Klay mistreats the Kings yet again tonight.

Derrick Rose ($6,500): Rose isn’t as dangerous with the ball as he once was, but he can still score almost at will. His role with the Timberwolves has expanded with Butler gone, and his game has evolved to fit it. Rose has at least 30 DraftKings points in eight of the last ten games. That’s a pretty solid floor, especially in cash games.

Dennis Schroder ($6,000): Who said that Schoder and Westbrook can’t coexist? Schroder has at least 5x value in nine of the last ten games. Most of those were without Westbrook, but it just goes to show that his production hasn’t really slipped much alongside Westbrook. There are plenty of minutes to pick up off the ball, and it looks like Schroder isn’t going to have much of a problem filling them.

Dark Horses:

Malcolm Brogdon ($5,000): Brogdon is playing very well with the second unit for the Bucks, racking up at least 24 DraftKings points in eight of the last ten games. If Bledsoe is a little off like he was last night, Brogdon has stepped up and poured in some points. He can do a little bit of everything with makes him a solid value play.

Justin Holiday ($4,600): Holiday dropped 56.25 DraftKings points last night in what appeared to be a tough matchup with Miami. Predicting just which Bulls guard will go off on any given night is usually too much risk for most players. After all, the goal of most of us is to cash. We have seen just what Holiday is capable of more than once, but until he has any kind of consistency, he is far too volatile to rely on. Still, he is the kind of guy that can win you a GPP.

J.J. Barea ($4,500): Barea has at least 25 DraftKings points in four of the last five games. He has quietly nudged Dennis Smith out of the picture. This will likely continue until Smith gets back on track. Through all of the fluctuation in the Dallas backcourt though, Barea’s production has remained consistent. That makes him a strong value pick.

My pick: Harden(SG), Thompson(G), Rose(UTIL); Harden(SG), Thompson(G)

OAKLAND, CA – NOVEMBER 13: Kevin Durant #35 of the Golden State Warriors reacts after the Warriors made a basket against the Atlanta Hawks at ORACLE Arena on November 13, 2018 in Oakland, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Small Forwards:

Best Bets:

Kevin Durant ($10,600): KD must have remembered that Curry was out. The production has been there over the last three games. After a couple of rough games and the run in with Draymond, it appears to be business as usual for Durant and the Warriors now. Use Durant while he is still a sure thing. He wont be when Curry gets back.

Paul George ($8,300): George has still done a lot to keep value with Westbrook back. Moving Melo seems to have helped the whole team. This team looks completely different than last year. George has at least 42 DraftKings points in nine straight games. This will likely be the tenth.

Honorable Mention:

Nikola Mirotic ($6,800): Interest in Mirotic is going to vary wildly depending on it Brow sits or not. If Davis is out, Holiday, Mirotic, and Randle could be in for huge games and we could build around the Pelicans. Even with Davis in there, Mirotic has put up plenty of games of 5x value. Mirotic and Randle do seem to fluctuate some with Davis in there. With him out, they could both flourish.

Robert Covington ($5,700): Covington seems to have found his groove with Minnesota. His numbers have been consistently at 5x value since he arrived. We wont see Covington have any huge games in the near future, but so long as he is hitting value, Covington is a strong cash game play. He lacks upside for GPP’s unless its a short slate, but if you just looking for a solid play to go along with your high upside plays, Covington can help.

Otto Porter ($5,500): Porter has emerged from his slump, but his price has yet to fully recover. That makes Porter a pretty strong value play right now. He has at least 30 DraftKings points in each of the last two games and nearly got to 40 last night.

Dark Horses:

Cedi Osman ($4,800): Osman has 70.75 DraftKings points over the last two games, so he finally seems to be back to full speed. This is a tougher matchup with Houston, but this is going to be an uptempo game. So long as Osman can run with them for a while and still make shots, he is in for well over 5x value again.

Eric Gordon ($4,500): Gordon is chalk, but he is also a lock with Paul out. Forget the ownership. We need this value in our lineups to cash tonight. I’m pretty certain of it.

Jerami Grant ($4,400): Grant continues to see plenty of meaningful minutes for the Thunder. He has had no problems blowing away 5x value most games. There are a few other interesting plays below Grant including P.J. Tucker and James Ennis for the shorthanded Rockets, but to me, paying the extra $500 for Grant seems to be the safest thing to do.

My pick: Gordon(SF), Grant(F); Osman(SF), Gordon(F), Grant(PF)

OAKLAND, CA – NOVEMBER 08: Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 of the Milwaukee Bucks stands for the National Anthem before their game against the Golden State Warriors at ORACLE Arena on November 8, 2018 in Oakland, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Power Forwards:

Best Bets:

Anthony Davis ($11,400): Davis left the game last night, but was able to return. Unless he experienced some major discomfort today, I would think he’ll be in there. However, with the Rockets news, I would definitely use Harden over Davis at this point. However, that should also help ownership on Davis remain low if he plays.

Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,200): With most everyone either hopping on Harden and/or Westbrook tonight, we could see Giannis go with low ownership too. Giannis has quietly scored 48 or more DraftKings points in nine of the last ten games. That’s a solid floor, and you know his upside. Aside from Davis, Giannis has more games of more than 70 DraftKings points than anyone else in the league.

Honorable Mention:

LaMarcus Aldridge ($7,600): One thing we haven’t see yet is LMA and DeRozan have a big game together yet. Due to that, it’s pretty hard to predict which one of them will come up big on any given night. Milwaukee is weaker up front than at the guards, so if you are rolling with a Spur star, LMA would appear to be the way to go tonight.

Jabari Parker ($5,900): Parker has been on quite a roll lately. He has 93.25 DraftKings points in the last two games. That’s almost 9x value. Now he gets A Timberwolves team that hasn’t really met a frontcourt that didn’t run them over. Advantage: Parker.

Dark Horses:

Dario Saric ($4,600): As much as I really don’t like putting this here, if Saric is ever going to make an impact with Minnesota, it would appear to be here. This is the perfect spot for Saric to showcase his skills for his new team, but we know how it goes. If you aren’t one of the top seven for Thibs, good luck getting minutes. Saric put up 33 DraftKings points on Chicago with Philly earlier this year. If Saric can log 28 minutes or so, a repeat of that is likely.

P.J. Tucker ($4,100): The one other time that Tucker looked like chalk earlier this year he was an absolute bust. That could keep people off of him tonight. More often than not, Tucker has wound up being a solid punt option. I think he will be again tonight regardless of if his minutes increase or not.

My pick: Parker(PF), N/A

MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA – NOVEMBER 16: Karl-Anthony Towns #32 of the Minnesota Timberwolves celebrates a three-point basket against the Portland Trail Blazers during the first quarter of the game at Target Center on November 16, 2018 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Center

Best Bets:

Karl-Anthony Towns ($9,100): Towns was a big bust yesterday in what should have been a smash spot against the Nets. Towns has another favorable matchup here against the Bulls, but how much can we really trust him? This is two straight poor games for Towns (by his standards and by price point) in games where he should have been huge. This should be a great spot for Towns, but should hasn’t come to the forefront lately.

Clint Capela ($7,500): Thompson is a strong defender, but Capela has put up three straight games with more than 50 DraftKings points. He is playing more minutes than before, and Capela has responded with some huge lines lately. We have to temper our expectations against Thompson, but I could still see Capela hitting 40 DraftKings points with the potential for more. That makes him a strong mid range option.

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Honorable Mention:

Julius Randle ($7,300): Randle is a must play if Davis misses. If not, I view Mirotic as a slightly better play based on price. That said, Mirotic has nowhere near the upside that Randle does. If you can afford him, Randle is a good high upside play.

Dwight Howard ($6,100): Howard is suffering from a literal pain in the ass instead of just being one. If he can play against the Pelicans, Howard is worth a look for this price. I especially like D12 if Davis sits. His rebounding ability makes Howard a solid play most days, especially when his price is this low.

Dark Horses:

Willie Cauley-Stein ($5,800): WCS and Fox are becoming a pretty dangerous duo, and I will happily use both if Draymond is forced to sit out again. I will consider it even with Draymond in there for the Warriors, but it is somewhat less appealing, and we can probably find value elsewhere.

Gorgui Dieng ($3,200): Towns has only played 28 minutes in each of the last two games with Dieng notching 20 minutes in each of those. We may see Minnesota limiting Towns’ minutes so long as he continues to struggle. If that trend continues tonight, Dieng is a huge value at this price.

My pick: Cauley-Stein(C), Capela(C)

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