DraftKings NBA Picks November 26: Durant is the safest stud

ORLANDO, FL – OCTOBER 17: Nikola Vucevic #9 of the Orlando Magic looks to make a pass against Bam Adebayo #13 of the Miami Heat during the game at Amway Center on October 17, 2018 in Orlando, Florida. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images) DraftKings NBA /

DraftKings NBA Picks November 26: Durant is the safest stud

We have seven games on our Monday, which makes for another decent sized DraftKings NBA slate. Charlotte, Orlando, and Utah are playing in the second game of back to backs, so be on the lookout for resting players.

DraftKings NBA Point Guards:

Best Bets:

Kemba Walker ($9,400): Walker barely managed to hit 5x value against the Hawks last night. It seems that he has come back to earth, and if so, this is a tough sell. Kemba did rack up 55.5 DraftKings points in the first game against the Bucks. There is a chance that he can do it again. There’s also a chance that you win 50 bucks off of a 50 cent pull tab.

Kyrie Irving ($8,700): I have a mild interest in John Wall if Paul is out, but I’m also a little worried about his ankle. It seems more prudent to move on to Irving who is going to be paced up by the Pelicans here. The Knicks and Hornets sped up the C’s, and Kyrie had two of his better games of the year. This could be a huge spot for Irving. If his shot falls, 7x value is within reach.

Honorable Mention:

Jrue Holiday ($8,300): Holiday has not been under 36 DraftKings points in his last dozen games. In that span, he has topped the 50 DraftKings point mark four times and been over 5x value at this price nine times. If you want consistency with a high floor, look no further.

Ricky Rubio ($6,500): Rubio decimated the Pacers a week ago tonight with Oladipo out. If Oladipo is still out, there is a chance that Rubio puts up strong numbers again. However, I don’t see him dropping another 50 bomb. Then again, Rubio was a huge boost to the scoring with Mitchell sidelined. If Mitchell is out, I’m in on Rubio regardless of the status of Oladipo.

Dark Horses:

Malcolm Brogdon ($5,300): Brogdon wasn’t much of a scorer in college, but he has thrived as the scorer on the second unit with the bucks, and hasn’t lost any of that defensive intensity or good passing game that he possessed at Virginia. Brogdon has at least 30 DraftKings points in five of the last eight, and has only missed 5x value once in that span. He’s looking like a pretty strong value pick, but doesn’t have a lot of upside.

Aaron Holiday ($3,600): Holiday has been a huge boost to the Pacers scoring with Oladipo out. The rookie still isn’t seeing big minutes, but he has at least 20 minutes and 20 DraftKings points in each of the last three games, while just missing 20 DraftKings points in the game before. Holiday seems to be a key piece of the rotation right now, something that could stick even when Oladipo returns. Holiday put up 30.25 DraftKings points against Utah a week ago. Can he do it again?

My pick: J. Holiday(PG), J. Holiday(PG)

INDIANAPOLIS, IN – NOVEMBER 05: James Harden #13 of the Houston Rockets watches the action against the Indiana Pacers at Bankers Life Fieldhouse on November 5, 2018 in Indianapolis, Indiana. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Shooting Guards:

Best Bets:

James Harden ($11,400): Most media outlets are saying that the Rockets “should” update Paul’s status prior to this game. Hopefully at 6:58 eastern instead of 7:02. The math here is simple. If Paul sits, lock on Harden. He put up 66 DraftKings points with Paul out on Saturday. If Paul is in there, I’m spending my money elsewhere. Harden has only hit value in three of the last ten games with Paul in there.

DeMar DeRozan ($8,600): Pop, in usual Pop fashion, popped off about finding more rest days for DeMar and LMA. Honestly, I’m shocked that he hasn’t done this more already. This is a smash spot for DeRozan, who racked up 52 DraftKings points against the Bucks on Saturday. He could ravage the Bulls here so long as this isn’t a designated rest day. Of course, Pop will never let the media be privy to these designated rest days until about 30 seconds before tipoff. You have to be quick on the trigger, but at least late swap is back so we can still try!

Honorable Mention:

Zach LaVine ($7,700): I’m not that wild about LaVine against the Spurs, but with his shot falling again and his status as the Bulls go to scorer cemented until they start getting healthy, this is still a pretty safe pick. LaVine’s upside is limited at this price, but that’s a relative term. He could still go over 6x value, but his chances of hitting 7x or higher are pretty slim now. We got spoiled for a bit when it was an every game occurrence.

Bradley Beal ($7,400): Beal has three straight games of 5x value or more, but he doesn’t clear that mark by a lot. Honestly, Beal never has. He has picked up slack with Wall out or slumping, but you rarely see Beal in a winning DFS lineup because he just doesn’t go far over value. On the other hand, Beal is one of the better cash game plays you can use for the same reason.

Klay Thompson ($7,300): Klay put up at least 5x value for the seventh time in the last nine games on Saturday. So long as Curry remains sidelined, Thompson is a strong cash game play, and in most cases still has enough upside for use in GPP formats. One of those games that he missed was against the Spurs, and just barely. The other was the unmitigated disaster that the entire team was against Houston.

Dark Horses:

Jeremy Lamb ($5,600): Lamb put up his third straight game with more than 30 DraftKings points and eighth straight game with at least 5x value. In fact, that only team that held Lamb under 5x value in the last dozen games was the Hawks. Lamb is playing a lot more minutes now than the 23 he logged against Atlanta at the beginning of the month. Lamb remains a strong mid range value play with decent upside.

Jordan Clarkson ($5,400): Clarkson continues to thrive in a bench role for Cleveland with J.R. Smith punching his ticket to limbo with Melo. Clarkson has at least 5x value in five of the eight games with Smith gone. Expect that trend to continue.

E’Twaun Moore ($5,400): Moore had a strong scoring night with Brow out on Saturday. If Davis is unable to give this a go again, Moore becomes a huge value play. Eat the chalk and go with Moore if Davis is out. He will be one of the more sure things out there. If Chris Paul is out, ignore this whole paragraph and lock in Eric Gordon. The difference between the two is that I would actually still consider Moore even if Davis plays.

My pick: Thompson(SG), Clarkson(G); Lamb(SG), Gordon(G) if Paul out

DENVER, CO – NOVEMBER 11: Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 of the Milwaukee Bucks plays the Denver Nuggets at the Pepsi Center on November 11, 2018 in Denver, Colorado. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Small Forwards:

Best Bets:

Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,600): Statistically, Charlotte has given up the least fantasy points to small forwards this year. So did they count Giannis as a SF or PF? He mauled them for 59 DraftKings points in the first meeting. Now here’s the bad news: those 59 DraftKings points barely get you to 5x value. For the price, I feel there are better options, but few have the upside of Giannis when he’s really rolling.

Kevin Durant ($10,900): Durant is just destroying people lately. His latest hot streak has also come with Draymond ailing, so if Draymond makes a return, the production could slip a little. Still, Durant’s 134.75 DraftKings points over the last two games is a massive total, and I really don’t see anyone on Orlando that can stop him either. Look out below!

Honorable Mention:

Joe Ingles ($6,000): Ingles is one of the most consistent value plays around. He has at least 28 DraftKings points in seven of the last nine games. Ingles is an efficient shooter, solid rebounder, and a good passer. That will keep his floor high enough to make him a safer value pick and gives him enough upside to consider in the right matchups.

Otto Porter ($5,700): The best part about Porter’s ghastly start to the season is that it created and crashed the Oubre chalk market and it has depressed Porter’s price now that he is playing at a high level. Porter has at least 34 DraftKings points in three straight games, including 48.75 last game against the Pelicans. Houston is going to provide more resistance, but I still see Porter hitting value at this price with ease.

Dark Horses:

Gordon Hayward ($5,500): Hayward appears good to go today. He has looked strong in the last couple of outings, and has even seen his minutes increase. If Hayward plays 30 minutes against the Pelicans, the potential is there for a big score for the price.

Cedi Osman ($5,000): If you are someone that doesn’t mind stubbing your toe on the same wall on the way to the kitchen in the middle of the night every night without installing a night light, then Osman may be the guy for you. He has boomed and busted twice each in the last four games with no in between. However, it is worth noting that he posted a season high 40.5 DraftKings points against Minnesota in the first meeting.

Justin Holiday ($4,800): Holiday has 99 DraftKings points over the last two games. We have seen him come up with big games here and there throughout his career. We have even seen two in a row from time to time. However, Holiday has never had three huge games in a row. Not once. Are you going to bet on him to buck that trend? If you’re a big fan of theme lineups, there are three Holiday’s in play tonight. In honor of that….

My pick: Porter(SF); Durant(SF), Porter(F), Holiday(UTIL)

PHILADELPHIA, PA – NOVEMBER 21: Anthony Davis #23 of the New Orleans Pelicans slaps hands with Julius Randle #30 after scoring his 10,000 career point in the second quarter against the Philadelphia 76ers at the Wells Fargo Center on November 21, 2018 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Power Forwards:

Best Bets:

Anthony Davis ($11,200): The Pelicans aren’t going to throw Davis out there unless he is ready to go, so if he is in the lineup, go nuts. I don’t think there is a team that I would actively look to avoid Davis against right now. He is playing well against everyone. If he’s in the lineup and you can afford it, your best bet in most formats is to look for A.D. Personally, I’m hoping for another Randle value night.

Julius Randle ($7,600): Randle was unstoppable against Washington in 39 minutes with Davis out. If for some reason Davis sits, I can’t say it enough times to use Randle. The bad news is that Randle has dropped 60 DraftKings points three times in the last 11 games, so it’s a lot harder to rely on Randle as a value play with Davis in there. Most games Randle gets in the 30’s, but he now needs high 30’s to hit just 5x value.

Honorable Mention:

Jayson Tatum ($6,400): Tatum is putting up some pretty big stat lines lately, and this matchup against the Pelicans leaves the door wide open for another one. Most nights I regard Tatum as overpriced because his season average is below 5x value for the price, and Tatum is usually really close to his average on a consistent basis. This could be a place where that average goes up being sped up by the Pelicans.

Jabari Parker ($6,300): It took Parker some time to get accustomed to starting in this lineup, but he looks very comfortable now. Parker has at least 40 DraftKings points in each of the last three games and shows no signs of slowing down. The lowest of that was 41 DraftKings points against the Heat, a team in the top five against power forwards. I’m riding this hot streak again. I don’t care who the opponent is because Parker doesn’t seem to.

Dark Horses:

Robert Covington ($5,900): Covington doesn’t quite have the upside that he had in Philly last season, but he remains a very strong cash game play. With guys like Porter and Parker playing like they are for around the same price, I see no reason to move to Covington in a GPP. Both Porter and Parker have a lot of upside. However, Covington is that sure thing you covet in cash games.

Marvin Williams ($3,700): This is the good and the bad thing about Charlotte playing in a back to back. On one hand, Williams raked yesterday with 41.25 DraftKings points. His lines had been trending upward anyway, but this means Williams is an all out chalk play tonight that is a high risk to fade because of the minutes he is seeing. We are pretty much resigning that one of our roster spots is going to be owned by three out of every five DFS players, but I don’t see how we can fade Williams here unless you make dozens of lineups.

My pick: Parker(PF), Williams(F); Williams(PF)

DENVER, CO – NOVEMBER 13: Clint Capela #15 of the Houston Rockets plays the Denver Nuggets at the Pepsi Center on November 13, 2018 in Denver, Colorado. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Center

Best Bets:

LaMarcus Aldridge ($8,100): LMA is about as reliable as a Powerball ticket right now. He has four games of 3x value in the last ten and three games of more than 5x value. It takes hitting on a play like this to take down a GPP, but you have to be totaly comfortable with finishing near the bottom if LMA lays an egg again. That said, I would still use LMA over Towns. He wont even hit half of his last output against the Cavs tonight.

Clint Capela ($7,900): Capela still hit value against a very tough interior defense in Cleveland on Saturday. There is a great chance that Capela completely destroys the Washington interior, especially if Howard is out with a pain in the ass again. The Rockets have used Capela more than 40 minutes in each of the last two games. He is a strong value play, but his price wont be in this range for long.

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Honorable Mention:

Nikola Vucevic ($7,800): Can Vucevic just play the Lakers every game? He destroyed them again with over 70 DraftKings points…..again. Temper your expectations against the Warriors, especially if Draymond returns, but Green can only guard one of Gordon or Vucevic. I tend to think that it’s Vucevic that has the big game again for Orlando.

Tristan Thompson ($6,100): Not only did Thompson do a nice job defensively on Capela, but he had one of the finest games of his career with 53 DraftKings points and a massive double double. The only narrative stronger than play any center against the Nets is just how weak of a defender Towns is. This could be another great spot for Thompson.

Dark Horses:

Al Horford ($5,400): I find it pretty hard to trust Horford anymore, but he can succeed where other traditional center fail against New Orleans. Horford has always been one of the more versatile bigs in the league, so he can run with and defend these guys. Horford still has to make shots, but I could definitely see him going well over value for this price.

Myles Turner ($5,100): Both Turner and Sabonis had really good games against Utah last week, so I want whichever of them, if any, plays in this game. Both carry a questionable designation, and I totally get going to safer route with so many good options at center, but you can stash Sabonis at PF too.

My pick: Capela(C), Horford(UTIL); Thompson(C)

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