DraftKings NBA Picks November 29: Build around Durant

NEW ORLEANS, LA – FEBRUARY 18: James Harden #13 of the Houston Rockets talks with Russell Westbrook #0 of the Oklahoma City Thunder during practice for the 2017 NBA All-Star Game at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome on February 18, 2017 in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images) DraftKings NBA /

DraftKings NBA Picks November 29: Build around Durant

We only have three games for our DraftKings NBA tournament on Thursday. We have had moderate to large slates all week, so this is going to make it harder to make our lineups. The Clippers are the only one of the six teams on a back to back.

DraftKings NBA Point Guards:

Best Bets:

Kyle Lowry ($8,000): Lowry at $8,000 is still overpriced considering he has only hit value at that price once in the last 11 games. However, with Curry still out, there is a slight chance he could hit value against the Warriors. This is really only a contrarian play though. Lowry hasn’t been anywhere close to worth this price and we can do better.

De’Aaron Fox ($7,200): I will preface this by saying that Fox rarely hits value either. However, he has big time upside, and has actually hit value five times in the last 11 games. The Clippers have allowed the most fantasy points to point guards this year, so I’m much more inclined to chase the upside and the matchup than to pay up for Lowry here.

Honorable Mention:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ($4,900): The drop off after the upper tier of PG’s is huge tonight, but I still think there is good value down here, especially if Ball is out. SGA is the last of the true starting point guards. His production has been hit and miss, but you expect that from a rookie. Overall, SGA has been solid, and a decent provider for fantasy purposes in this price range. He’s a lot more reliable than the top tier, and may be the only PG I trust in cash games.

Quinn Cook ($4,800): Well…..he starts. That may not exactly be a ringing endorsement, but Cook has played at least 30 minutes in five straight games and has at least 23 DraftKings points in each of those. Golden State is notorious for changing rotations up with no notice, but Cook’s minutes and production seem safe. Safe is good.

Dark Horse:

Darren Collison ($4,700): It’s kind of good news/bad news with Indy right now. Oladipo has already been ruled out, and Collison will probably start. The good news ends there. We still have no idea who is going to produce at the point. Collison is the safer bet because he plays the most minutes. The 72 DraftKings points over the last two games doesn’t hurt either. One thing to keep an eye on here is the status of Lonzo Ball. I’m not sure I like the idea of Collison or Joseph having to deal with Ingram all night. As of now, Holiday is probably too risky, especially with the price rising a bit again.

My pick: SGA(PG), Collison(G); Fox(PG), Collison(G)

OAKLAND, CA – NOVEMBER 26: Klay Thompson #11 of the Golden State Warriors watches a shot during their game against the Orlando Magic at ORACLE Arena on November 26, 2018 in Oakland, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Shooting Guards:

Best Bet:

Klay Thompson ($7,400): Thompson continues to put up good numbers with Curry and Draymond out. That is the situation that he Warriors are in tonight as well. In the four games with both of them out, Thompson has at least 38 DraftKings points in all of them. In the last 11 games with Curry out, Thompson has only been under 30 DraftKings points once.

Honorable Mention:

Buddy Hield ($5,700): The Kings are giving Hield all the run he can handle this year with mostly good results. He is the leading scorer and is leading the team in minutes. Of course, Hield’s value is still mostly dependent on his scoring, so there will be off nights here and there. The Clippers aren’t great at defending guards though, so Hield is in a very good spot here. There is clear upside at a decent price.

Lou Williams ($5,600): There is going to be a lot of chasing upside in GPP’s on this three game slate, and LouWill has some of the best out there. The Kings aren’t as bad against guards as they used to be, but Williams is still going to see a ton of open shots. The only question is whether he can hit them or not.

Dark Horses:

Fred VanVleet ($4,600): VanVleet has a four game streak with more than 20 DraftKings points. He’s not one that sees big minutes, but VanVleet does more with 20 minutes of court time that a lot of players do with 30. Don’t let the court time fool you. VanVleet is a solid value play.

Iman Shumpert ($3,600): Shumpert’s main role with his former teams has been as a lock down defender, but the Kings have also integrated him into the offense as well. Shumpert has three straight games with double digits points. That likely wont change against the Clippers. Shumpert is a great value pick tonight if you need one.

My pick: Shumpert(SG); Thompson(SG)

DENVER, CO – NOVEMBER 27: Lebron James #23 of the Los Angeles Lakers plays the Denver Nuggets at the Pepsi Center on November 27, 2018 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images) NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Small Forwards:

Best Bets:

Kevin Durant ($11,000): You can’t argue with Durant’s output with both Curry and Draymond out. In those four games, Durant has 267.5 DraftKings points. Yes, that’s 66.9 DraftKings points per game. Toronto is probably going to hold Durant to one of his lowest totals in this stretch, but do you really think he’ll be under 60? I’m not sure I’m willing to bet on it unless I’m playing several lineups.

LeBron James ($10,700): I know that last year was a really, really long time ago, but in that galaxy far, far away there lived a King. A King who took out all of his aggressions on the Indiana Pacers. LeBron dismantled the Pacers in every game last year, only falling short of 60 DraftKings points against them once. After back to back disappointments, I expect ownership to be low on LeBron even on a short slate, especially with Durant beasting. This could be the time to pivot back to LeBron to see if he continues his domination of the Pacers.

Honorable Mention:

Kawhi Leonard ($9,300): Is Kawhi finally to a place where we can play him on a daily basis in Toronto? Leonard has at least 44 DraftKings points in three straight games. It should be a fourth against the Warriors. This team loses a lot defensively with both Curry and Draymond out. We could see Leonard come up with a game rivaling the top two plays tonight at potentially very low ownership.

Brandon Ingram ($5,800): Most of my interest in Ingram depends on the status of Ball. If Ball is out, I’m using Ingram everywhere. If not, I may dabble in Ingram, but the Pacers are pretty good on the wing even with Oladipo out. Most of Ingram’s value will come from being the primary ballhandler here should Ball miss the game.

Dark Horses:

Bojan Bogdanovic ($5,300): With Oladipo out, Bojan has upped his scoring output a little. He had issues against Phoenix, but chalk that up to a bit of an off night. They do happen, especially when you’re talking about shooters The Lakers are not good defenders anyway. Losing Ball could be a bit of a blessing since it would presumably mean a larger role for Josh Hart, who is probably their best perimeter defender. I still like Bogdanovic with Oladipo out no matter what.

Bogdan Bogdanovic ($5,200): Ha ha. Very funny DraftKings. It’s hard enough to play Name That Bogdanovic when the play on the same night at the same position, but now their prices are almost identical too? Honestly, I’m not sure that I would sit either one of them tonight. If you can’t tell them apart, just play them both. Both are in good situations tonight. I prefer Bojan slightly with Iman Shumpert back in the fold, but Bogdan is still going to see plenty of minutes.

My pick: James(SF), Durant(F), Bojan(UTIL); Bogdan(SF)

INDIANAPOLIS, IN – NOVEMBER 19: Domantas Sabonis #11 of the Indiana Pacers celebrates against the Utah Jazz at Bankers Life Fieldhouse on November 19, 2018 in Indianapolis, Indiana. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Power Forwards:

Best Bets:

Tobias Harris ($8,200): Harris continues to put up strong numbers for the Clippers. The only team that has been able to handle Harris this calendar month is Memphis. The Kings have a lot of young potential up front, but most of that potential is offensive. They don’t really defend all that well yet. I expect another strong outing from Harris tonight.

Domantas Sabonis ($7,500): Sabonis has at least 38 DraftKings points in each of the last three games. What’s so different about those three games? Oladipo has been out. Sabonis has a ton of upside here against a Lakers interior that has been pushed around on the interior all season long. Even the signing of Tyson Chandler hasn’t helped. Look for another big game from Sabonis with Oladipo out.

Honorable Mention:

Danilo Gallinari ($6,500): Gallinari topped off his normal good shooting with ten rebounds last night, turning in one of his best performances of the year so far. The Clippers are being cautious with Gallo because of all of the injuries he’s had, but it looks as though he may be totally healthy for the first time in about four years. Gallinari has another intriguing matchup with the Kings tonight.

Pascal Siakam ($6,100): Siakam is a bit of a tough sell for me. He has had 25 DraftKings points or less twice in the last three games and his price is only down $300. The Warriors have allowed the least fantasy points to power forwards on the season. Now, there is a chance that Siakam has a solid game here with Draymond out, but I still don’t trust this. There are better options.

Dark Horses:

Marvin Bagley ($5,300): The Kings have finally unwrapped their first round pick and are starting to play with him. Bagley has at least 26 DraftKings points in five straight games, playing 25 minutes or more in all of those contests. That may not seem like a huge deal, but Utah, Golden State, Oklahoma City, and Houston are all in the top 12 in the league defending power forwards. A matchup with the Clippers wont be easy either, but I’m not moving off of Bagley with the way he is playing.

Doug McDermott ($3,500): Many have been on Thad with Oladipo out, myself included. However, the Pacers have gradually shifted to Dougie. McDermott has at least 25 DraftKings points in three of the last four games. The Lakers shouldn’t provide a lot of resistance either. He is a perimeter sharpshooter that helps pick up some scoring slack with Oladipo out. There is a chance that McDermott whiffs here, but he only costs you just over the minimum, and could easily get you 7x value.

Harry Giles ($3,300): Giles put up a monster line of 40 DraftKings points in just 20 minutes against the Jazz on Sunday. Giles stuffed the stat sheet in those 20 minutes. The Kings rotations are almost like the Knicks, so you never quite know what you are going to get. However, with the kind of game he had on Sunday, you would hope the Kings would give him a chance. How can you rebuild if you are only trying for lottery picks and not actually doing anything with said picks?

My pick: McDermott(PF); Gallinari(PF), Sabonis(F), Bagley(UTIL)

LOS ANGELES, CA – NOVEMBER 15: Montrezl Harrell #5 of the Los Angeles Clippers reacts to a shot against the San Antonio Spurs LaMarcus Aldridge #12 of the San Antonio Spurs looks on during the second half of a game at Staples Center on November 15, 2018 in Los Angeles, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement (Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Center

Best Bet:

Montrezl Harrell ($7,600): Harrell may not start, but he is still the center of record for this team. There are some really bad teams against bigs (Brooklyn, Minnesota, and both LA teams). Sacramento is statistically worse than all of them. The inflated price on Harrell is off-putting, especially when he doesn’t start. However, you wont find a matchup better than this one, statistically speaking.

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Honorable Mention:

Myles Turner ($6,200): As we have seen in Turner’s first couple of years in the league, he is capable of big games. The maddening thing is that those are pretty few and far between. This year we have seen more consistency from Turner when he can stay on the court. He has at least 25 DraftKings points in each of the last six games. This is another good matchup for Turner, so enjoy the production!

Willie Cauley-Stein ($5,900): Cauley-Stein has only played 46 minutes over the last two games combined after playing at least 30 minutes in all but two prior games this month. Just chalk it up to Kings rotations. This is statistically a great spot for WCS, but will he play enough minutes to actually get to enjoy it?

Dark Horse:

Boban Marjanovic ($3,500): I’m going to be blunt for a minute. The Clippers are idiots. The same can be said for the Knicks, Kings, and few others, but what sets the Clippers apart is that they are well above .500 and could make a playoff run. Yet for some reason, they keep using Marcin Gortat to start the game at center when healthy. Meanwhile, Boban crushes value every time he starts, while every time Gortat starts, Boban rarely makes it off the bench. So yeah, the Clippers are idiots. I’m not saying they should take minutes away from Harrell, but they should definitely use Boban as the starter and play him half the game. The team ranks dead last in fantasy points allowed to centers starting Gortat. If Gortat is out, lock in Boban!

My pick: Turner(C); Turner(C)

Last but not least – we have some exciting news as the folks at FantasyDraft have been kind enough to sponsor a Picks and Pivots Free Roll – well technically two! The first one filled so quickly that they were kind enough to create another one which will award THREE $25 Pick and Roll tickets to tomorrow’s NBA slate. Get in now!

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