DraftKings CFB picks December 1: Stack the Big 12

We have eight games during Championship week, which means most of the 12 games are included in this DraftKings CFB slate. After only having a select few to choose from during the year, this is a welcome break and more like what we will see from bowl games.

DraftKings Quarterback Picks December 1

Top Tier:

Kyler Murray‘s 44.36 DraftKings points the first time against Texas wasn’t even his best total of the season. In fact, he has been over that mark in three of the last four games. This Oklahoma offense is firing on all cylinders right now. Lost in how bad Oklahoma’s defense is is just how good this offense is. Texas had trouble in the first meeting, and will here as well. On the other side of this, Sam Ehlinger had a whopping 50.56 DraftKings points in the first meeting with Oklahoma, his highest total of the season. Don’t be shocked if he does it again. I want to use both of these guys today.

Dwayne Haskins and Tua Tagovailoa are going to have good games, but I will be shocked if either one of them gets close to Murray or Ehilnger. If you are using a top tier QB, it’s worth it to pay up.

Middle Tier:

Trevor Lawrence could put up huge numbers against Pitt, but I still think Clemson is going to get to rest their stars in this one. Lawrence could still put up huge numbers in three quarters, but I think I would rather find the extra $800 for Ehilnger.

If you’re digging for value at QB, there isn’t a lot. Brett Rypien only had 16 DraftKings points in the first meeting with Fresno. I would rather take a shot with K.J. Costello instead, though he is far from consistent.

Bargain Shoppers:

Memphis’ defense isn’t all that great either, so I will have a lineup or two where I take a shot with Darriel Mack. I’m not sure how much UCF is going to open up the playbook to him, but if you get 20 DraftKings points out of him at this price, I think that’s a good return. That isn’t too much to expect, and he may even get more.

Stanford’s defense hasn’t been what we would expect of Stanford this year, so I have no issues using Chase Garbers against them. I also like Marcus McMaryion. He had 16.32 DraftKings points against Boise the first time and is capable of big games.

If you want to take a shot with Pickett just because Pitt is going to be throwing a lot you can, but I would rather take a Pitt receiver. Clemson is going to force Pickett into too many mistakes for him to have a good game.

DraftKings Running Back Picks December 1

Top Tier:

Only SMU and Missouri have held Darrell Henderson under 30 DraftKings points since week 6. UCF’s run defense allows 211.6 yards on the ground per game this year. This is a horrible combination, considering UCF usually forces teams to throw to keep up. If you don’t go elite on both QB’s Henderson is a very strong pick.

I don’t really trust Travis Etienne for the same reason I don’t trust Lawrence. I actually think there could be some value here with Alexander Mattison. Despite Fresno’s strong numbers against the run, Mattison racked up 33.9 DraftKings points on them in the first meeting.

Kennedy Brooks could be the secret weapon for Oklahoma. Texas really didn’t have to deal with him the first time around because Trey Sermon got the bulk of the work. Sermon will still see carries, here, but Brooks has looked like the better back for more than a month now. Expect Brooks to run a lot more than he did the first time around.

Middle Tier:

Greg McCrae‘s workload after McKenzie Milton left the game last weekend was through the roof, and Memphis’ run defense is just as bad as South Florida’s. There is a lot of upside here for McCrae, enough to fade the top tier for, or to just build around running backs.

Patrick Taylor may be a backup on paper, but he has over 30 DraftKings points in each of the last two games and has six touchdowns in the last four games. If you can’t afford Henderson, Taylor is a suitable option. I probably trust him more than Bryce Love right now.

Patrick Laird is in a really good spot here. Stanford has been weaker against the pass, but Laird has cracked double digit DraftKings points in every game against an FBS opponent this season. Laird also has no less than three receptions in those games as well. He looks like a bargain for $6,100.

Bargain Shoppers:

Kevontae Ingram had a pretty pedestrian 8.6 DraftKings points against Oklahoma the first time around, but since the firing of Mike Stoops, the Oklahoma run defense has actually looked worse. I could see Ingram having a huge game for the price. Of course, with a quarterback like Ehlinger, the pressure is taken off of the run game.

I believe that there is a lot of hidden value in Isaiah Bowser tonight. Bowser has 74.3 DraftKings points over the last three games. Ohio State’s run defense was shredded by everyone but, uh, Michigan. I don’t know that Bowser is really going to go nuts here, but I wouldn’t be one bit surprised if he hit 20 again.

DraftKings Wide Receiver Picks December 1

Top Tier:

Hollywood racked up 37.1 DraftKings points on Texas, and he broke 50 against West Virginia. 50! By a wide receiver! Brown probably has the biggest upside of any one player on the slate. Yes, that includes the Texas receivers.

Lil’Jordan Humphrey ate Oklahoma alive in the Red River Shootout, and there is a great chance he will again. I really think Ehlinger is the Texas player to build around, but a stack with Humphrey could pay off big time. Humphrey put up 35.7 against Oklahoma. The only other team he did better against was Texas Tech.

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Middle Tier:

KeeSean Johnson put up 23.5 DraftKings points on Boise in the first game, and hasn’t been lower than that in the two games since. This despite Fresno only scoring 54 points in those two games combined. Johnson is the beginning and the end of the Fresno offense. The only thing that has me thinking McMaryion is the price.

I’m off of most of the Ohio State players, but Parris Campbell is the biggest playmaker on the team. I’m not a huge fan of the price, but the only other one besides Johnson in this tier that I would even consider is CeeDee Lamb, and he’s a second option.

Tyre Brady could be huge against a Virginia Tech defense that has been gashed in the pass game. Armani Levias could be a sneaky play. He has had a couple of big plays over the last two games, but still carries some risk.

Bargain Shoppers:

I’m a pretty big fan of Damonte Coxie against UCF. My only fear is that Memphis may not throw much. Still, even if Memphis only throws 15 times, half of those should go to Coxie. Honestly though, Collin Johnson is probably the better option even as the second receiver for Texas. He had 20.1 DraftKings points against Oklahoma the first time. I see no reason why he can’t do it again.

CT Thomas is worth a look on the cheap with John Hightower out. Hightower was the fly threat for Boise, and Thomas seems to have taken over that role and then some. The best part is he will only cost you $4,000.

Mecole Hardman is the big play guy that just might be able to get behind the Alabama defense. He is still a huge risk, but the bottom tier of receivers is going to dictate who else you can have in your offense. Hardman and Taysir Mack look like very good options at depressed prices.

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