NFL picks: Value Monster Saturday, Will the Chargers cover?

The Chargers electrified the football world scoring a thrilling come from behind victory over the NFL Picks favored Chiefs last Thursday.

For fans carrying an interest in the NFL Picks outcome, remember the feeling when the Chargers approached the line of scrimmage for the 2 point conversion.

Now they come home on an emotional high, having secured a playoff berth and wanting a division title.  They are 11-3 straight up and 8-6 ATS, while Baltimore is 8-6 straight up and 7-7 ATS.  In addition they are more rested having played on NFL Thursday night.

The Chargers are currently favored by 4 1/2 to 5 points and at first glance this looks like an easy cover.  But the stats tell a different story, so let’s look at why they make a compelling case for the dog.

San Diego is only 2-4 ATS at home this year while the Ravens are 4-3 ATS on the road.  And Baltimore needs to win their last 2 games to maintain control of their own destiny and make it to week eighteen.  Motivation to make the playoffs is stronger than playoff seeding motivation.

In addition, Baltimore has covered their last 4 games (depending on the line you got last week; they were 8 point favorites over Tampa and won by 8) while the Chargers had trouble with Cincinnati in their last home game, being favored by 17 points and winning by five.

This is the Saturday prime time game and what a game it should be.  Both teams will be sky high with Baltimore especially needing to show why they deserve to be a super bowl contender.  Value Monster NFL picks says this game will be close with a chance the dog wins outright.

Shop around and get at least +5 if you can.  NFL games don’t land 5 too often but don’t ignore it.
In the long run the lines you obtain determine whether you win or lose.  It’s always important.

Value Monster selection:  Baltimore Ravens +5

Good luck!