2018 Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl Odds And Prediction
By Mike Marteny
2018 Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl Odds And Prediction
Bowl season is finally upon us! We had six bowl games to kick us off on Saturday. There were games all week, and now we have another four game Saturday. After Christmas we get up to more than one game per day, so the season is really picking up now.
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I did pretty well to open bowl season on Saturday with my against the spread picks. We can make some money on these games. Are you with me?
For the rest of the bowls, you will get my picks against the spread and point wagers just like I did all season long. I had a solid regular season, but I can make it look a whole lot better with a strong bowl season!
Just in case you missed any:
Autonation Cure Bowl
Progressive New Mexico Bowl
Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Cheribundi Boca Raton Bowl
DXL Frisco Bowl
Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl
Makers Wanted Bahamas Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Jared Birmingham Bowl
Houston vs. Army(-6.5) at Fort Worth, TX(5):
Houston 8-4, 5-3 (t-1st AAC West):
Wins: at Rice(45-27), vs. Arizona(45-18), vs. Texas Southern(70-14), vs. Tulsa(41-26), at East Carolina(42-20), at Navy(49-36), vs. South Florida(57-36), vs. Tulane(48-17)
Losses: at Texas Tech(49-63), at SMU(31-45), vs. Temple(49-59), at Memphis(31-52)
Record vs. bowl teams: 2-2
Houston’s defense was a mess even with Ed Oliver. We also got a glimpse of what they were like without him for a stretch in the middle of the season. It wasn’t pretty.
The Houston offense was elite with D’Eriq King under center. They are still dangerous with Clayton Tune, but it is mostly due to the receivers. King was such a great athlete and this offense was tailored to him. Tune performed well, but defenses can key in on Patrick Carr when he is the only threat to run the ball.
Army 10-2
Wins: vs. Liberty(38-14), vs. Hawaii(28-21), at Buffalo(42-13), vs. San Jose State(52-3), vs. Miami(OH)(31-30), at Eastern Michigan(37-22), vs. Air Force(17-14), vs. Lafayette(31-13), vs. Colgate(28-14), vs. Navy(17-10)
Losses: at Duke(14-34), at Oklahoma(21-28)
Record vs. bowl teams: 3-2
Army hasn’t lost since September when they took Oklahoma to the limit in Norman, all while holding the most high powered offense in the college football universe to just 28 points, and that was with an overtime period.
There are still some teams that run options around here, but none do so as efficiently as Army. Their ball control offense keeps the elite defense rested. It’s a vicious cycle. If you can’t get them out of it, you’re in a world of trouble.
Prediction:
I liked this line when it was lower, but as long as it doesn’t get over a touchdown, I’m pretty confident in Army. I haven’t seen anything from this Houston defense that says they can stop an option. Even when they were playing well. That seems like so long ago.
As we saw in the Army-Navy game, Army can dominate a game and still only win by seven points. That’s why I’m less confident if the line goes any higher. However, this line is still only -6.5 at one casino. Most of them still have it at -6.
Pick: Army
Stay tuned for the rest of the bowl picks against the spread, and our DFS picks for the NBA, NFL, and even some NHL action! We have something for everyone!