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NFL DFS Bargain Bin- Week 16 Titans vs. Redskins Quick Hits

By Juan Carlos Blanco

LANDOVER, MD - AUGUST 24: Running back Adrian Peterson #26 of the Washington Redskins warmsup before playing the Denver Broncos during a preseason game at FedExField on August 24, 2018 in Landover, Maryland. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images)
LANDOVER, MD - AUGUST 24: Running back Adrian Peterson #26 of the Washington Redskins warmsup before playing the Denver Broncos during a preseason game at FedExField on August 24, 2018 in Landover, Maryland. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images) /
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GLENDALE, AZ – DECEMBER 10: Derrick Henry #22 of the Tennessee Titans rushes the football for a six yard touchdown against the Arizona Cardinals in the first half at University of Phoenix Stadium on December 10, 2017 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images) /

NFL DFS Bargain Bin- Week 16 Saturday Slate Quick Hits

Welcome to the Week 16 Saturday edition of the NFL DFS Bargain Bin, where the goal is to provide a general overview of the ledger and touch on where there may be some mis-priced players across Yahoo, FanDuel, DraftKings and FantasyDraft in favorable Fantasy Football match-ups.

Before we go NFL DFS Bargain Bin hunting, a few particulars about format and content:

  • The nature of the beast with value plays is at least a modest amount (and sometimes substantially more) of risk. After all, these players are usually priced where they are for a reason. Therefore, the Bargain Bin may prove to be a bit more of a rollercoaster ride on some slates than your typical “tout” article!

Naturally, that doesn’t mean there isn’t upside to be had. All of these selections are therefore suitable for GPPs (and usually avoidable for cash games), and they can often help you accommodate multiple higher-priced studs into your lineup.

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  • Typically, I’ll suggest players that are value-priced across all four major DFS sites (Yahoo, FanDuel, DraftKings and FantasyDraft).  However, there are certainly occasions where one or more site prices a player significantly lower than others. Whenever possible, I’ll typically at least note those players as a “XYZ site(s) special”.
  • In this NFL DFS Bargain Bin Quick Hits version, I’ll suggest players that are typically value-priced across all four major DFS sites (Yahoo, FanDuel, DraftKings and FantasyDraft). Naturally, check final pricing before making your lineup decisions, as I am not listing salaries in this edition.
  • This is not a position-by-position breakdown, but rather, I’m just identifying games where I think there’s value players in potentially favorable fantasy spots.
  • These players are but a sampling of who I feel are some of the best values at each position that week. However, with so many skills players in the NFL, there are certainly others worth considering, especially as late-breaking injury news comes out Sunday morning. Therefore, feel free to utilize this piece as a good guide for where some of the most prominent value lies, but not as an exhaustive list.
  • The goal is to recommend truly affordable players, as opposed to, say, a player priced just $300-$400 away from the highest-priced option at his position. I don’t have set-in-stone price limits in mind for each site, but I do consider legitimate affordability a very important criteria.

With those housekeeping items out-of-the-way, I’ll give you my thoughts on where there may be some value spots to exploit on the Saturday Week 16 slate!

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    NFL DFS Bargain Bin- Week 16 Saturday Slate Quick Hits

Redskins- Titans/ Saturday, 4:30pm ET

Potential Redskins/Titans Bargain Plays

Naturally, all of the Redskins skill players are priced cheap enough across the industry to be considered value plays, but a combination of their own limitations and the matchup still makes them low-upside plays for tournaments.

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  • At quarterback, Josh Johnson has actually looked serviceable in his first taste of NFL regular-season game action since 2011. Johnson brings somewhat of a floor with his ability to make plays with his legs, as evidenced by his 94 rushing yards at 5.9 yards per clip thus far over his game-plus for Washington. In that regard, the Titans aren’t a bad matchup, having allowed QBs 4.8 yards per rush on 47 carries, along with a pair of rushing touchdowns.
  • It’s a different story through the air, however, as Tennessee has allowed the sixth-fewest passing yards (3,275), along with the eighth-fewest receptions (304), third-lowest catch rate (63.0 percent), sixth-fewest receiving yards (3,337) and the third-fewest yards after catch (1,410). In other words, the upside here is significantly limited through the air.
  • On the ground, Adrian Peterson runs into a defense that’s allowed 4.2 yards per carry overall to running backs, along with six touchdowns, with the latter figure tying them with several other teams for third fewest allowed in the NFL. Peterson has surprisingly held up well over the course of the season, now just 77 yards short of his first 1,000-yard campaign since 2015. Through the air, Peterson doesn’t have much of a presence (19-200-1), and it’s just as well; the Titans have been stingy to RBs in terms of air production, allowing the third-fewest receptions to the position (58).
  • The latter stat also dampens the outlook for pass-catching back extraordinaire Chris Thompson, who’s been offering muted production anyhow since returning from an extended absence due to a rib injury. Thompson has only garnered seven receptions over that span and saw a meager two targets from Johnson in Week 15 against the Jaguars.
  • With both Jordan Reed and Vernon Davis out of action for the Redskins, second-year man Jeremy Sprinkle takes center stage as the primary tight end. He found his way into the end zone in Week 15 and will make for a viable flyer in GPPs based solely on his projected snap count, but it’s important to note that the Titans have given up a rather miserly 8.9 DK and 6.5 FD points per game to the tight end position this season.
  • On the Titans side, they too sport cheap prices across the board, but Derrick Henry clearly stands out as the one clear-cut play that is likely the most reliable. Coach Mike Vrabel seems to have finally been convinced that feeding Henry’s elite size/speed combo more than just 10-12 times a game is the way to. The third-year phenom has logged 17 and 33 carries, respectively, over the last two games turning them into a whopping 408 yards and six touchdowns. While his passing game work has been negligible lately, his matchup vs. a Washington squad that’s gotten progressively more vulnerable to the run and is giving up a healthy 4.7 yards per carry to running backs is definitely appealing.
  • As Henry has risen, Dion Lewis‘ profile has fallen to a degree, but he’s still garnered 25 total touches (17 rushing, eight receiving) over the last two games. It’s worth noting Washington has allowed the seventh-most receptions to RBs (83), so Lewis could have some value as a change-of-pace option versus a Redskins defense that Henry might wear down.
  • The Corey Davis–Taywan Taylor duo always carries upside, and it’s worth noting Tennessee hasn’t been shy about targeting Taylor deep downfield throughout his rookie campaign. Whether Marcus Mariota will successfully connect on any of those passes is always the question, but it’s worth being aware that the Skins have allowed the second-most yards after catch (2,016) and 14.0 yards per reception to receivers.
  • Tight end Anthony Firkser only played 15 snaps against the Giants last week as the starting tight end and the Redskins aren’t especially vulnerable to the position, so he’s purely a tournament flyer.

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