NFL DFS Best Plays To Win – Rams vs Saints Game
By John Fazio
Good day and greetings from your NFL DFS best plays to win host and avid DFS player. Let’s take an early look at these 2 important Sunday games.
The key to winning your DFS tournament this Sunday will be correctly prognosticating the game outcome. That may sound obvious but it’s not always the case regarding our NFL DFS best plays. Take last weekend when we advised using Prescott but to completely fade Goff. Even though the Rams won, Goff racked up 8.64 DraftKings points, all but eliminating any lineup using him.
This coming Sunday, the Rams will be at the Saints with New Orleans favored by 3 1/2 points. The Vegas odds-makers creating this line are not displaying what they think will happen. They are establishing a line they feel will result in the greatest probability of an even 2 way action.
A perfect line for a sportsbook would be an exact amount of money on each side so there is no risk of losing. All they want to do is collect the juice if they are a true book and not a hidden gambling operation.
A home team favored by 3 1/2 means on a neutral field they would make this game about a pick. Neither side would be favored. My opinion? That’s insane. The definition of insanity is not being able to tell fantasy from reality, so maybe I am crazy. I just don’t think the Rams have a chance.
If I am right, then that’s great news for us fantasy players because we can stack the Saints and totally fade Goff again. It’s a great spot for showdown DFS lineups as well as the 2 game main slate.
I am going to do the same thing I did last weekend, namely not use Goff in any of my lineups. I will be using New Orleans defense (DST) as well, and stacking their position players because I believe the Saints can make some interceptions and if we are lucky enough, a pick six. Let’s take a look at how this might play out for our NFL DFS best play to win.
NFL DFS Best Plays To Win – Rotate Around Brees
Let me repeat – I think the Saints will crush the Rams. Maybe a final of 33-13. If I am wrong then all these lineups will fail, but I am not going to spread lineups around in multiple roster tournaments to cover all 4 QB’s. I would rather see us take a chance at more combinations with Brees as our core play and hope 1 of those will turn out to be the optimum lineup.
Saints Player Stacking Pool
Drew Brees ($5900), QB
I’ll be making Brees my core play rostering him in about 60% of my lineups, rounding out with 20% Mahomes and 20% Brady. Using him with RB Kamara is okay as A.K. was targeted 20 times in a single game this season, and has recorded 4 passing TD’s.
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Alvin Kamara ($6500), RB
As stated above, Kamara is good in this player pool stack. By contrast Mark Ingram ($4600) was targeted far less this season and has only recorded 1 passing TD. Kamara could easily score 2 TD’s for us in this game, hopefully 1 thru the air.
Michael Thomas ($8200), WR
No surprise here as he is the clear WR1 and priced to show it, but still worth every penny. The Saints only scored 20 points against Philadelphia yet Thomas racked up over 38 DraftKings points catching 12 of 16 passes accumulating 171 yards.
Ted Ginn Jr. ($4300), WR
Worth a spot in our pool as a salary saver and a very viable outlet for Brees for when they double cover Thomas. He was targeted 7 times last week indicating he is not forgotten in their rotation. He probably needs a TD to beat salary expectations but I think that happens.
Tre’Quan Smith ($3600) and Keith Kirkwood ($3200), WR’s
Take random flyers only on these 2 wide receivers. They are targeted too infrequently to help us, evidenced last week as Kirkwood caught a TD but only managed 8.8 DraftKings points. I don’t see anyone at TE that I will be trying either.
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