Good day and greetings from your NCAA basketball best bets to win host and value gambler. We’ve got 6 games on this Tuesday slate where I believe we can stay ahead of the number.
For those seeing this for the first time, I will be giving NCAA basketball best bets for the upcoming days games having written this article the night before. The lines I quote are the live lines at the time of writing, and if the line mentioned here is significantly worse for you then consider it a no bet.
Lines are very important and are key to the value plays. On average, 1 out of every 14 games moving at least 1 1/2 points from the opening number will land (the final score will be within the line move) so we want to make sure to get the proper number.
Last article was for Sunday’s games where we went 5-3 advancing our overall record to 65-47-2. I play all these games myself, so for as long as I can provide overall winning selections I will continue to write these articles. Hopefully we are winning together, as I would like to see money go into your hands and away from the books.
Analysis of every contest consists of the number I make the game and the associated trends, including and especially how the teams are currently playing. One thing I have long noticed is if almost all stats point to one team, the other is usually the winner.
Sometimes you will see a stat saying team X has covered 8/10, then upon examination that team lost the last 2 in a row. Stats can be a trap so I filter them out for you. All times Eastern, here we go:
NCAA Basketball Best Bets To Win – Maryland finds the win column
Maryland PK versus Purdue, 6:30 pm
Although Purdue has won and covered 7 of their last 8 (and nearly 8/8), Maryland is too strong to brush aside in their own building and will have enough to outplay the visitors in the end. This should be an entertaining game that finds the home fans going home happy.
St. Bonaventure +2 versus St. Joseph’s, 6:30 pm
We may see this line climb higher during the day which will only be to our benefit if it happens. I am willing to take +2 or better on a Bonny squad that has seen them play fairly well on the road, covering their last 3 games in a row.
Akron +7 versus Buffalo, 7 pm
I make this game a PK so I will be playing Akron plus the points along with some underdog money line. After a great start, Buffalo has been faltering, losing 5 of 7 ATS including their last away game at Bowling Green where they lost straight up as a 9 point favorite.
Akron has broken out of a huge ATS losing streak, winning 2 of 3 ATS including their last home game where they won by 19 as a small favorite.
Eastern Michigan +1 1/2 versus Ohio, 7 pm
Ohio has lost 8 of 10 ATS with the two victories both coming against Ball State. Eastern Michigan has been faring well on the road having covered 4 of 5 including a straight up win over Ball State as a 12 point dog.
This line opened PK and is moving out on Ohio; picking up a +2 or better just would increase the value. However if the line does reverse, I am willing to take Eastern Michigan at Pick or better.
Wisconsin PK versus Michigan State, 8:30 pm
The Badgers have been playing well at home recently while Michigan State has not been in top form their last few games. Wisky has covered the last 3 in their series and I think they grab a victory tonight.
Colorado State +2 versus San Diego State, 11 pm
SG St. has lost 4 of their last 5 road games ATS while Colorado State has cooled off in their last 2 games after an impressive winning streak. I think the nod goes to the home team here – I make the number Col St. by 5 and I will go with it.