Good day and greetings from your NCAA Basketball Bets to win host. Thursday gives us a few games where the line is in our favor.
Wednesday our NCAA Basketball Bets went 1-1 pushing the overall record to 106-86-2.
For those seeing this for the first time, I will be giving NCAA basketball best bets for the upcoming days games having written this article the night before. The lines I quote are the live lines at the time of writing.
Lines are very important and are key to creating value. On average, 1 out of every 14 games moving at least 1 1/2 points from the opening number will land (the final score will be within the line move) so we want to make sure to get the proper number.
All times Eastern, here we go with our NCAA basketball bets to win:
Connecticut -1 versus Temple, 7 pm
UConn has quietly turned things around big time and is now a formidable ATS threat at home. Getting the best line, they are now 7-0 ATS in that venue while Temple has trouble putting away teams with a losing record, going 1-6 in that situation.
The power rating is Connecticut -1, right on the posted line, so there is no premium for going with the team having all the momentum. UConn has held their own at home recently in the head to head series as well.
Central Florida -2 1/2 versus Cincinnati, 7 pm
Although Cincy has won 9 of 10 straight up, they are on a 0-6 ATS slide including 0-3 on the road. UCF meanwhile is on a 7-0 ATS winning streak including beating SMU in their last home game 95-48 as a small favorite.
Here as well, no premium is being placed on UCF for this recent ATS dominance as they are favored by 3 in the power ratings. I am trying Central Florida.
NCAA Basketball Bets To Win – Indiana upsets Illinois
Indiana +2 versus Illinois, 8 pm
I make the game Indiana a 2 point favorite, and coupled with the teams recent play I will be backing the Hoosiers tonight. After a long ATS losing skid, Indiana has now covered 4 in a row and appears to be on the upswing.
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Illinois has trouble covering against weaker teams, having dropped 5 of 6 ATS in that situation. Couple that with Indiana going 5-0 ATS the last 5 times at Illinois and I think we have enough for a play.
Houston -14 versus SMU, 9 pm
Houston loves to beat up weaker teams – their favorite spot is to be a double-digit favorite as they are 4-0 in recent play in that situation. SMU has been a big disappointment overall this season and I don’t see anything ready to change yet.
In addition, SMU is especially vulnerable against the spread versus good teams on the road. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the series recently. I think Houston has enough to take a big lead and hold off the late back door cover.
Colorado -6 versus UCLA, 9 pm
The Bruins are an up and down team that is capable of pulling off some surprises, but for the most part they are a weak road team susceptible to getting blown out at any time. By contrast, Colorado has covered their last 4 home games and are now defending their building very well.
The favorite lines up fairly well here as the Bruins fare very poorly to the number against good home teams while Colorado likes to beat up and cover weaker teams at home. They should have enough to cover.
Manhattan +1 1/2 versus Fairfield, 7 pm (added game)
While Manhattan is no juggernaut, Fairfield is exceptionally bad on the road and are a go-against away until further notice. We have been winning fading FF on the road and hopefully tonight will be no different. Manhattan is a play.
That’s all for today.