DraftKings EuroLeague Basketball Picks March 20

ATHENS, GREECE – MAY 06: A general view during the EuroLeague Final match between Panathinaikos and CSKA Moscow at the Oaka Arena on May 6, 2007 in Athens, Greece. (Photo by Julian Finney/Getty Images /

DraftKings EuroLeague Basketball Picks March 20

We are to the guard heavy day of the first round of a two round week for DraftKings EuroLeague. Yesterday, Moerman threatened to derail my lineup, but strong value put me in minimum cash anyway. Where are the values to afford these high prices?

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The injuries are not many on this slate besides the major ones that we already know about. Matt Janning, Patricio Garino, Egor Vialtsev, and Paulius Jankunas join Anthony Gill, Tornike Shengelia, Jayson Granger, Nikos Pappas, Laurynas Birutis, Arturas Gudaitis, and Melwin Pantazar as sidelined this week.

Jordan Mickey is showing up as questionable, but he played well last week, so the general assumption is that he will play because there wasn’t a reported setback. Gustavo Ayon left last week after just 11 minutes, but is scheduled to take the court today. We are still waiting on the status of Matt Lojeski, Andrew Harrison, Jake Cohen, and Konstantinos Mitoglu are all still questionable.

The rotations can be frustrating sometimes as more players see the court than in your average NBA game. The games themselves are also shorter, playing four ten minute quarters as opposed to 12 minutes in the NBA. The court is smaller, the lane is bigger, and the three point line is closer, but the action is still what you would expect from world class basketball!

For DraftKings EuroLeague, we can’t expect 5x value like in the NBA. Most winning lineups are around 180-200 DraftKings points, which is around 3.5 – 4x value.

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PHOENIX, AZ – NOVEMBER 06: Mike James #55 of the Phoenix Suns reacts after scoring against the Brooklyn Nets during the second half of the NBA game at Talking Stick Resort Arena on November 6, 2017 in Phoenix, Arizona. The Nets defeated the Suns 98-92. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images) /

DraftKings EuroLeague Guards:

It comes down to Mike James and Alexey Shved for top billing again. Unlike last week, I don’t think it’s a good idea to fade both of them. I think we need at least one of them this time around. Mike James put up 38 in the first meeting with Real Madrid, but Shved has the better matchup against Darussafaka. You really can’t go wrong with either of them. You can take the known with James or the unknown with Shved and likely still be happy with either choice.

Nick Calathes is priced up to the point where he can probably be included with the other two. However, Calathes hasn’t performed at the level that they have for the entire season. Calathes has a lower floor, but all of the upside. Still, with the price difference as low as it is now, I think I want the higher floors.

I kind of think the next tier is going to be totally ignored because people will be trying to cram in two of the top three. I don’t trust Sergio Llull or Toney Douglas enough, but Marius Grigonis could still be in play even with Nate Wolters back. Zalgiris held Wolters to just eight minutes in his return. Even though his minutes should go up some, Wolters still isn’t going to be close to his normal production this round. That could make Grigonis a sneaky play.

Facundo Campazzo dropped 40 DraftKings points on Milan the first time around, but that was with Llull out. That was easily Campazzo’s best game of the season, so expecting a repeat seems foolish. Still, this middle tier is littered with inconsistency. Michael Roll and Keith Langford have good matchups. Thomas Walkup has been superb since Wolters went down, and still played well in his return. Can we trust that trend to continue?

For now, Stefan Markovic has eclipsed Charles Jenkins. Markovic has a nice matchup here. He’s a little higher priced than most value picks, but he should be worth it. Leo Westermann also continues to play well, but the amount of Zalgiris guards playing well terrifies me. At least one of them will be a disappointment every game, and we really have no way of telling which ones will be. You can add Arturas Milaknis to that list as well. He’s the only cheaper Zalgiris guard that has three straight double digit DraftKings point games.

Markel Brown has been unable to recapture the hot streak that he had before getting hurt, and a lot of that has to do with Kartal Ozmizrak stealing his starting job. Ozmizrak is the better play right now, but both are worth a look. Brown has enormous upside if he gets hot again.

I’ve been saying this for the last few rounds, and it still holds true. If Andrew Harrison makes his debut, I’m going to play him. Harrison finally made the roster, so his debut will come anytime. When it does, Stefan Markovic and Charles Jenkins are both going to see a decrease in value.

PHILADELPHIA, PA – NOVEMBER 1: Norris Cole #30 of the Miami Heat and Malcolm Thomas #11 of the Philadelphia 76ers both go for the ball on November 1, 2014 at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images) /

DraftKings EuroLeague Forwards:

I was wondering when this would happen. Johannes Voigtmann’s 12 straight rounds of more than 20 DraftKings points has finally caused his price to get up over $11,000. He may still be worth it. Voigtmann’s upside isn’t that of Shved or James, but its pretty close to that of Calathes, and he’s $1,400 cheaper.

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As much as I like Voigtmann here, Malcolm Thomas might be my favorite play on the whole slate. The return of Shved hasn’t affected his output. Even Mickey having a strong game last week didn’t hurt. Thomas’s production is here to stay, or so it seems.

Vincent Poirier’s recent strong play is probably worth chasing, but what can I say? I’m a sucker for the consistency of Tarik Black. Black has at least 23 DraftKings points in seven straight games. And honestly, Anthony Randolph is putting up the same kind of numbers over a longer amount of time and is less than both of them. Do you trust that Ayon is completely healthy? I don’t either.

What to do with Jordan Mickey? I’m sure he’ll play. He will probably put up solid numbers again. However, I still like Malcolm Thomas more. A lot more. The problem is that after Mickey there are a lot of pitfalls. Jeremy Evans and Shavon Shields both look good, but neither are very consistent.

Kaleb Tarcewski has been able to keep his strong streak going because a large number of his points are via rebounds. I could see using him even against Real Madrid since the price is right. Stanton Kidd looks like a good play in the value tier as well. Zanis Peiners is a bit more of a risk, but he has outplayed Kidd off the Darussafaka bench in two of the last three games.

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