DraftKings NBA Picks March 27: Attack of the killer B’s
By Mike Marteny
DraftKings NBA Picks March 27: Attack of the killer B’s
Tonight’s DraftKings NBA slate is exactly half the size of last night, but I think there’s more star power on this one and better value plays. The only game between playoff bound teams is the Pacer and Thunder though, so watch for resting players.
Last night was a disaster for me as my three core plays; Towns, Thomas Bryant, and Bagley, were all disasters. I had zero chance from very early on.
Jdemshock1 took it down with 370.25 DraftKings points, almost six points ahead of second place. He built with Kemba, Trae Young, and Vucevic and had huge value from Belinelli, Shaq Harrison, Stephenson, and KCP.
By popular demand, I am switching back to the old format. As always, if you have suggestions to improve the article (besides making better picks), let me know!
If you would like to try DraftKings for the first time, use this link for the referral bonus! It is good for $10 in free DraftKings entry tickets with your first deposit of $5 or more.
DraftKings NBA Point Guards:
Best Bets:
Russell Westbrook ($10,500): You can pretty much throw defensive stats out the window when it comes to Russ. Westbrook racked up 68 DraftKings points on the Pacers in the first meeting. Indiana gets Collison back tonight, but it wont matter. So long as George struggles against his former team again, Russ can dominate.
Damian Lillard ($10,300): Lillard is definitely justifying the price, but there is no way I would pay this for him tonight. The Bulls are a beaten up G-League squad at best. It is more important now than ever for the Blazers to keep Lillard healthy since Nurkic is out for the playoffs. I wouldn’t be shocked if the Blazers sat him all together. Curry, Hood, Harkess, Aminu, and Kanter are a better starting five than the Bulls could throw together right now.
Honorable Mention:
Tomas Satoransky ($6,100): Satoransky put up 37 DraftKings points in the first meeting with the Suns. If last night is any indication, the Suns are more the Wizards’ speed right now than the Lakers are. Satoransky has at least 5x value in four straight games. Tonight should be number five.
Darren Collison ($5,700): Collison had one of his better offensive performances of the season in the first game against the Thunder. Collison put up 41 DraftKings points in that first meeting. This game is the only one that matters to both teams tonight, so it makes sense to draw heavily on players from these teams and build around it with value. Collison is a little of both. He can be part of the core and a solid value.
Dark Horses:
Tyler Dorsey ($4,500): Dorsey is the guy you want if Conley is out. Otherwise he is second fiddle to Wright. In the last two games Conley has missed, Dorsey has 89.75 DraftKings points in 82 minutes. That’s nearly 10x value! If Conley is out, Dorsey is a lock in all formats.
Antonio Blakeney ($3,600): I don’t think we can trust Arcidiacono to put up the 28 he put up last night, but Blakeney put up 25.5 DraftKings points last night against Toronto as well. And he’s $500 cheaper. Blakeney will be the one playing when this gets out of hand, so he has a little more upside than Arcidiacono.
My pick: Dorsey(PG)
DraftKings NBA Shooting Guards:
Best Bets:
Devin Booker ($9,200): Blowout or not, the Suns are going to let Booker play. They proved that against the Jazz on Monday night. Not that there’s anything wrong with developing Booker. If anything, that makes Booker a better DFS play because the minutes are guaranteed no matter what. This is a great matchup against Washington. Booker racked up 63.5 DraftKings points on them the first time in 54 minutes. I wouldn’t be shocked if Booker plays 45 here tonight.
Bradley Beal ($9,000): Wait a minute…..Beal is cheaper than Booker? Sure, I’ll take those odds! As great as Booker was in the first meeting, Beal went nuts for 80.75 DraftKings points, also playing 54 minutes. Though it is tempting to build with Westbrook, we may be better served to use both Beal and Booker. They could put on a show once again.
Honorable Mention:
Donovan Mitchell ($7,900): Mitchell’s inconsistent sophomore campaign continues, but there’s a lot to like here against the Lakers. Mitchell put up 70.25 DraftKings points in just 44 minutes in the first two games against the Lakers. Don’t look now, but the Lakers are actually playing pretty well right now. If the Lakers can keep this close, Mitchell could be in for a huge night.
Bojan Bogdanovic ($5,900): Bojan has been automatic with Oladipo sidelined. He put up 35.5 DraftKings points in that first meeting with the Thunder. That number could creep even higher. Bojan was on fire against the Nuggets over the weekend, hitting 13 of 16 shot attempts in just 26 minutes. If he can pull that off again, he’ll hit 8x value or more.
Dark Horses:
Delon Wright ($5,600): The Grizzlies have zero reason to push Conley to return, so I’m operating as if he is out again. Wright put up 49.25 DraftKings points against the Thunder starting for Conley. He could be in line for a similar big line tonight. Wright’s price is up, but not to the point where he can’t hit value even if Conley plays.
Seth Curry ($4,200): Curry has 86.5 DraftKings points in the last three games with McCollum out. C.J. will miss at least one more game, so Curry remains a strong value play. I don’t really think that the Blazers will rest Curry with the other starters just in case they need him to play a larger role in the post season. He should be in there even when the game gets out of hand.
Wayne Selden ($3,600): Selden played a career high 40 minutes last night, putting up 30.5 DraftKings points. That’s a great return for the price. The Bulls really have no choice with almost all of the starting five hurt. That said, Selden and Harrison have all earned this extended run. They are both very strong value plays tonight.
My pick: Booker(SG), Beal(G)
DraftKings NBA Small Forwards:
Best Bets:
LeBron James ($10,100): I find it hard to believe that the Lakers are going to play LeBron in a back to back. They really have no reason to. If LeBron sits, it adds value to Kuzma and maybe Stephenson. However, I’m not going out of my way to play Lakers against Utah regardless of LeBron’s status. The King is the only one I would consider here, and even then, I’m not that crazy about it.
Paul George ($9,900): I wanted no part of George against his former team. He was putrid against the Pacers in two games last year. He got his revenge in Indy, putting up 55.5 DraftKings against his former team. The numbers say to avoid George, but given what he did the first time around, George is worth considering. However, with so many strong shooting guards, it’s hard to completely sell me on this.
Honorable Mention:
Jabari Parker ($6,400): Parker has tremendous upside, but his floor is very low for someone of this price. Washington hasn’t really played him all that consistently, and their commitment to using both Portis and Bryant together is cutting into his minutes. This is probably the time to pass on Parker, but if Bryant was ineffective like he was last night, there is clear upside for Parker. This is a big risk though. If Ariza ends up sitting out though, Parker borders on an elite play.
Joe Ingles ($5,800): Ingles has 71 DraftKings points in 68 minutes against the Lakers this year. What that tells me is that Utah left Ingles in there even after Rubio and Mitchell exited the game. That’s when most of his stats came. Still, this game has blowout potential yet again. At any rate, I expect Ingles to be a solid part of the offense.
Dark Horses:
Shaq Harrison ($4,900): Harrison is playing big minutes lately for the beaten up Bulls. Perhaps the best part is that the Bulls don’t have a ton of able bodies available. Harrison is going to have to play a large amount of minutes no matter what the score is. Harrison has 92.5 DraftKings points over the last three games, pushing him up over 6x value. You want this value play in your lineups.
Rodney Hood ($3,900): I like Hood a lot more if Harkless is out, but at any rate, Hood is going to see good run in this game. Regardless of what the starting lineup looks like, Hood is likely to see strong minutes when the game gets out of hand. There is always a risk in betting on a blowout though.
My pick: Harrison(SF)
DraftKings NBA Power Forwards:
Best Bet:
Lauri Markkanen ($6,700): As if the Bulls needed any more injuries, Markkanen is questionable tonight. However, his is just an illness. If Markkanen can’t go, there literally are G-League teams better than the Bulls. Power forward is actually extraordinarily weak. Durant hasn’t been near value in almost a month. I don’t trust the inconsistent Kuzma. It seems better to go with value here.
Honorable Mention:
Domantas Sabonis ($6,300): Sabonis racked up 42.75 DraftKings points in the first revenge round this year. The Thunder have been destroyed by power forwards all year. This is another time for Sabonis to shine. He could have a huge game for the price here.
Thaddeus Young ($5,600): Young is probably better suited for cash games since he almost always hits 5x value and doesn’t have a ton of upside. Still, the upside is that Young is playing the Thunder. Given the choice, I’m using Sabonis. I don’t have an issue with playing both together though.
Dark Horses:
Jeff Green ($4,400): I only want Green if Ariza is out, and even then, he’s a risk. The Wizards want to play Parker, Portis, and Bryant more. Green will get plenty of minutes if Ariza is out. If not, I don’t trust this despite Green’s outstanding game against Phoenix earlier this year.
Bruno Caboclo ($4,400): Caboclo finally lived up to the promise bestowed upon him by the RG optimizer over the weekend. Bruno erupted for 47.75 DraftKings points against the Thunder. This feels like a spot for the Warriors to rest some players. If they don’t I’m probably fading most Memphis value, particularly up front. If Durant or Draymond end up sitting, you can make a case for firing up Bruno.
Zach Collins ($4,000): The unfortunate injury to Jusuf Nurkic is going to clear a lot more minutes for Collins. Collins had his best game of the season against the Bulls earlier this year. If you are going to take a chance on Collins, this is the place to do it. He is a great GPP dart.
My pick: Sabonis(PF), Collins(F)
DraftKings NBA Centers:
Best Bets:
Rudy Gobert ($8,200): This is one of the better matchups Gobert can get, but I still don’t like this situation. Gobert has played 64 minutes against the Lakers this year, but somehow only has 70.75 DraftKings points. That’s going to leave us wanting more. I think we can do better tonight. We’ll have to if we want to cash with all of this value floating around.
Jonas Valanciunas ($7,700): This is going to be quite the test for Jonas, but he has no choice but to take it. Joakim Noah is still out, so this is another 40 minute game for Valanciunas. Can he hit value against the Warriors? His chances with Boogie there are less, but Cousins still wont play more than 32 minutes or so. There is decent value potential here.
More from DFS
- DraftKings Open Championship picks 2023: Best PGA DFS golf lineup
- Genesis Scottish Open DraftKings picks 2023: Best PGA DFS golf lineup
- Rocket Mortgage Classic DraftKings picks 2023: Best PGA DFS golf lineup
- US Open DraftKings picks 2023: Best PGA DFS golf lineup
- RBC Canadian Open DraftKings picks 2023: Best PGA DFS golf lineup
Honorable Mention:
DeMarcus Cousins ($7,200): 30 minutes seems to be more than enough time for Boogie to hit value. Jonas can’t handle him defensively, and if the Warriors wind up sitting someone, Cousins could have a really big game here.
JaVale McGee ($6,900): McGee is on quite a roll right now. He has 172 DraftKings points over the last three games. The Lakers are playing him over 30 minutes per outing now, so there is reason to believe that he can keep this up. Utah could provide a bit of a test, but if this game stays close, McGee could be a huge value once again.
Deandre Ayton ($6,800): Ayton put up a monster 52.75 DraftKings points in his first game against the Wizards. As we have seen throughout his rookie year, Ayton is a great play when the matchup is right. The matchup is definitely right tonight. Ayton is going to be part of my core.
Dark Horses:
Thomas Bryant ($6,000): Bryant put up a whopping 51.25 DraftKings points in the first game against Phoenix. He wasn’t effective at all against the Lakers last night, so that makes me a little nervous coming into this one. However, Bryant has far more upside than Portis does.
Enes Kanter ($5,000): Kanter was putting up good numbers as the backup to Nurkic. Now he is finally going to get the run he deserved in New York. Kanter is good enough to keep Portland dangerous enough in the playoffs. It remains to be seen just how Portland will use Kanter since he was so good off the bench, but at any rate, he should play closer to 30 minutes than the 20 he has been playing. Kanter is an excellent value play, but it going to be very highly owned.
Cristiano Felicio ($3,200): Felicio is the better offensive center for the Bulls even though he comes off the bench. Felicio has at least 6x value in five straight games. He has little upside, but if we’re getting 6x value or more, isn’t that all the upside we need?
My pick: Ayton(C), Kanter(UTIL)
Stay tuned to Fantasy CPR for a ton of NFL advice and DFS plays for the EPL, PGA tour, and much more!