DraftKings MLB Main Picks April 5: Me Gusta Quintana
By Mike Marteny
DraftKings MLB Main Picks April 5: Me Gusta Quintana
We have eight games for our main DraftKings MLB tournaments. After a few days of smaller ones, we have quite a few games, but not a lot of star pitching. Honestly, the pitching was probably better with the six pitchers on the day slate. Which way should we go with this? Let’s take a look!
More from DFS
- DraftKings Open Championship picks 2023: Best PGA DFS golf lineup
- Genesis Scottish Open DraftKings picks 2023: Best PGA DFS golf lineup
- Rocket Mortgage Classic DraftKings picks 2023: Best PGA DFS golf lineup
- US Open DraftKings picks 2023: Best PGA DFS golf lineup
- RBC Canadian Open DraftKings picks 2023: Best PGA DFS golf lineup
The all day lineup went well yesterday Thanks to Markakis, Alex Gordon, and Bauer. The night slate was great until Matt Harvey showed up. I would have cashed twice had I got a zero from Harvey instead of him losing points.
Rain could be an issue in Philadelphia to the point where this game is either going to be hounded by light rain, or it’s going to be washed out altogether. The only sure thing is that it will rain in Philly tomorrow. We will have to keep an eye to the meteorologists out there to see if it’s worth the risk. However, since it’s an interleague contest, the powers that be are going to try their best to get this one in.
These tips are based mostly on past performance. This is a nice tool for building a lineup, but should not be the only pieces of information you use. We have plenty of writers on here who give you relevant information no matter which site you play on, and we all attack the slate from different angles.
For you first time players, if you would like a free $10 ticket on DraftKings, use this link for the referral bonus with your first deposit of $5 or more!
DraftKings MLB Main Pitcher Plays:
Top Tier:
Collin McHugh ($9,500): McHugh is the highest price on the slate against an Oakland offense that looked really good against Boston. I don’t like this price, but it’s hard to argue with the results from McHugh’s first start. He put up 22.9 DraftKings points on the Rays. The A’s are only hitting .212 with three homers and five runs in 85 at bats with 24 strikeouts. That’s a strong strikeout rate and an offense that hasn’t done well against McHugh thus far. I see the upside here.
Shane Bieber ($9,300): Beiber wasn’t all that good in the first start of the year, but this Blue Jays offense isn’t striking fear into anyone. The Indians behind Bauer and the bullpen locked down the Jays yesterday. There’s a good chance Bieber gets back on track here.
Middle Tier:
Jose Quintana ($8,400): It takes a leap of faith here to go after Quintana, but there are stats to back it up. First off, Quintana has dominated at Miller Park. He is 4-1 with a 1.55 ERA in six career Miller Park starts. Since Quintana joined the Cubs, he has really only been a train wreck at Wrigley. The Brewers are a really good offense, but a bulk of the power if from the left side. There is serious potential here.
Frankie Montas ($8,000): The Astros have only scored 15 runs in the first seven games of the season. Meanwhile, Montas was sharp in his first start, allowing just three hits and one run while striking out six Angels in six innings. Montas checks all the boxes as far as prospects go, and he can really make a statement by holding down this struggling Astros offense.
Bargain Pitchers:
Lance Lynn ($7,000): The Angels are only hitting .211 against Lynn, but this offense teed off on the Rangers last night. Lynn isn’t much of a strikeout guy, but he does induce a whole lot of weak contact. If Andrelton Simmons misses this game, the Angels are down yet another one of their better bats. This is looking better and better!
Trent Thornton ($6,200): Thornton was outstanding in his first start, but it’s one thing to dominate the Tigers. It’s another thing entirely to do the same to Cleveland. The Indians have not scored more than five runs in a game though, so there is potential here. However, if Thornton gives up five, we’ll be pretty upset with that. Therein lies the risk.
My picks: Quintana, Montas
Boston Red Sox vs. Zack Godley:
If the Red Sox offense is ever going to wake up, it should be here. Godley was destroyed in his first outing, allowing eight runs (seven earned) in 5.1 innings against the Dodgers. On paper, the Red Sox offense is at least as good. On top of that, Godley has a 4.76 career ERA in 35 starts at Chase Field. Godley has a reverse splits thing going on, and has allowed far more home runs to righties. I want all of Mookie, J.D., and Xander Bogaerts. Benintendi and Mitch Moreland are worth a look here as well.
Atlanta Braves vs. Pablo Lopez:
The Braves beat up on Lopez last year, and this offense could be better than it was last year. Atlanta just got done hammering the Cubs for 23 runs in that three game series. The ball is flying in SunTrust, so this looks bad for Pablo. Ronald Acuna was the only guy to homer off of him in the start last year, but Camargo, Ender Inciarte, and Tyler Flowers hit him well too. The Braves hit .316 off of him last year. Freeman was the only one that really struggled (0-5), so just about anyone else in this lineup is worth a shot.
Florida Marlins vs. Kevin Gausman:
You may not see the Marlins in this space again, except when they face Gausman again. The Marlins are hitting .380 in 71 at bats against Gausman with four homers and 13 runs. Lewis Brinson is 2-3. Both hits were triples. Curtis Granderson is 3-7 with a pair of homers. Jorge Alfaro is 4-6 with a homer, and his average exit velocity off of Gausman is 100.7 mph, the highest on the slate. Brian Anderson‘s exit velocity is 92.5, good enough for fourth. Starlin Castro is 11-35(.314) with a homer and four RBI. This is also a nice, cheap stack.
Texas Rangers vs. Felix Pena:
Pena was really good against the Rangers last year, but I can’t get his first start out of my head. He was a disaster. Ronald Guzman has the only Rangers homer off of Pena. This team destroyed Mike Harvey last night. Everything is lining up for a repeat performance here. The Rangers offense is rolling, the Angels pitchers are reeling. Here’s your late night hammer, probably in the form of Joey Gallo.
Sonny Gray wasn’t necessarily hit hard by the Pirates, but they certainly got on base a lot against him. The Pirates drew four walks in 2.2 innings and picked up five hits as well. That’s nine base runners and eight outs if you’re keeping score at home. No part of me wants to use Gray here, but Adam Frazier, Colin Moran, and Kang look very good here. So does Starling Marte if you want to spend up. The only reason I’m not stacking is because Pittsburgh never got that one big hit for maximum points on DraftKings. There is a lot to like about this though.
More from DFS
- DraftKings Open Championship picks 2023: Best PGA DFS golf lineup
- Genesis Scottish Open DraftKings picks 2023: Best PGA DFS golf lineup
- Rocket Mortgage Classic DraftKings picks 2023: Best PGA DFS golf lineup
- US Open DraftKings picks 2023: Best PGA DFS golf lineup
- RBC Canadian Open DraftKings picks 2023: Best PGA DFS golf lineup
Yasiel Puig and Eugenio Suarez have both homered off of Joe Musgrove in his career. Musgrove looked sharp against the Reds out of the bullpen last week once his start was rained out, but his past stats against them aren’t good enough to make me want to roll with him here. His 4.61 career ERA at PNC Park in 12 starts is particularly ominous.
Jake Odorizzi was solid in his first start, but Philly is an entirely different animal. If the rain thing isn’t enough to scare you off, maybe the Phillies’ 320 average against him is. Jean Segura has the only homer off of him so far and is 6-13, but Bryce Harper and Rhys Hoskins have never faced Odorizzi. I like their odds here.
The new look Twins offense could pose a few issues for Nick Pivetta here. He was knocked around by the Braves some in his first start. Add to that his nasty 4.61 ERA in 30 career home starts, and you can find some value. Be careful about going too heavily on Twins though. They only have one home run on the season.
Zack Cozart has three of the homers and five RBI off of Lance Lynn, but a .178 average. Andrelton Simmons and Justin Bour have each homered off of Lynn as well, but Simmons may miss this game. More bad news? Mike Trout is 1-9 lifetime against Lynn.
Marcus Semien is the guy you probably want to target McHugh with. Semien is 10-26(.385) with a homer and three RBI against McHugh. Stephen Piscotty was huge yesterday, and he is 2-6 with a homer off of McHugh.
The Arizona offense has been surprisingly good without Goldy so far. Rick Porcello was walloped for nine runs by Seattle in 2.2 innings in his first start. Only four were earned, but that’s still not a good line. Adam Jones has slugged three homers off of Porcello from his time in the American League. David Peralta is 2-3 with a pair of runs. The red hot Nick Ahmed is worth a look too.
After the way Thornton looked in the opener, it may not be the best idea to go after him. However, this will be the first road start for Thornton. With Lindor out, this offense isn’t nearly as potent, but Jake Bauers and Jose Martinez are worth a look.
Jesus Aguilar, Lorenzo Cain, and Ryan Braun are all worth a look against Jose Quintana, but as I mentioned above, he has been great at Miller Park. There are probably better places to attack unless you expect Quintana to be highly owned. Mike Moustakas has homered off of Quintana three times though.
Brandon Woodruff was solid in the first start of the season, but this Cubs offense has been pretty good this year. Anthony Rizzo, Kyle Schwarber, and Ben Zobrist are my favorite targets here.
Houston only has ten runs in the last six games, but if you want to run him at Montas, I’m not opposed. Houston hit .375 with eight runs in 40 at bats last year, but they didn’t hit a homer. Jose Altuve, Michael Brantley, and Carlos Correa all look good if you want to go after him.
We promised some big news for Fantasy CPR, right? Well here it is! We are now looking for PAID writers to join our team to write about fantasy sports. Seasonal or DFS, any sport you want – get your voice heard and get paid for talking fantasy sports. Apply today HERE!