DraftKings MLB Main Picks April 10: Moose, the late night hammer
By Mike Marteny
DraftKings MLB Main Picks April 10: Moose, the late night hammer
There are nine games for the main DraftKings MLB tournaments tonight. There are a lot of good pitching options out there again. Which ones are worth the money? Who can save us money? Let’s take a look at the stacks to put behind the pitching.
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Unlike the afternoon slate, the weather is going to be pretty good here. There is a slight chance of rain in Chicago, but it is expected to have moved on by then. If the roof is open in Arizona, there will be a strong 20 mph wind in from left. There is a strong 16 mph breeze out to left in Kansas City. Like the Seattle offense needs more help! The wind will be a stiff 18 mph in from right at Wrigley. We have a strong crosswind in St Louis, which could temper power. If the roof is open in Houston, there is a strong 16 mph wind out to right.
Pitching was mostly a disaster last night. Even deGrom got lit up! Marco Gonzales, Dakota Hudson, and Gerrit Cole were about the only ones that hit double digits. I had two lineups place even with deGrom thanks to lucrative Mets and Brewers stacks.
These tips are based mostly on past performance. This is a nice tool for building a lineup, but should not be the only pieces of information you use. We have plenty of writers on here who give you relevant information no matter which site you play on, and we all attack the slate from different angles.
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DraftKings MLB Main Pitcher Plays:
Top Tier:
Noah Syndergaard ($10,400): deGrom was a lock to take down the great Bob Gibson. Until Mitch Garver got a hold of him. MItch FREAKING Garver!! Only Jonathan Schoop has faced Thor in his career for the Twins. He homered off of him. The Twins usually run cold, cold, cold, cold, one really hot game, cold for a week. Syndergaard has not been at his best this year, but he has also faced teams that have owned him in his career. This game should be a little closer to expected. Thor may not dominate, but he should be a solid play. I can see fading him in GPP’s, but probably not in cash.
Jack Flaherty ($9,000): The Dodgers offense has been pretty quiet in St. Louis. Flaherty dominated the Dodgers in his start against them last year in St. Louis. The only damage was a Joc Pederson homer. Maeda has not been all that good against the Cardinals. This would appear to be a safe place to use Flaherty with the lumber momentarily silenced for the Dodgers.
Middle Tier:
Collin McHugh ($8,800): Going strictly by DraftKings points, McHugh is the best pitcher of this slate on the season. Rolling him out there against the Yankees is a risk, but Cole was the only ace that didn’t get hammered last night. On top of that, the Yankees are only hitting .176 against McHugh with one run and seven strikeouts in his only game against them. I see McHugh carrying low ownership and adequate upside against a beat up Yankees squad.
Frankie Montas ($8,100): Montas is kind of a free space here since Dan Straily and Josh Rogers are going for the Orioles. The A’s offense is a favorite to blow up this Texas League pitching staff yet again, so Montas just has to survive five innings to get the win bonus. Montas has only given up three runs in 11 innings, so he is off to a solid start. The Orioles don’t have a lot to worry about against righties. There is elevated strikeout potential for Montas as well.
Bargain Pitchers:
Felix Pena ($7,200): Pena was destroyed by Oakland up the coast, but was strong against the Rangers at home last week. Pena has decent strikeout upside, but all of the left handed power in this lineup makes me nervous. This just highlights how slim the pickings are in the bottom tier. The only thing to really like about Pena here is the strikeout upside. That’s it. Is that enough to use him?
Jordan Lyles ($6,800): There isn’t a kit of value out there tonight, and Lyles may seem like a strange place to go looking for it. After all, this Cubs lineup is pretty loaded. However, they are just 9-45(.200) with two homers and five runs. Lyles only has seven strikeouts, but we already know he’s not a strikeout pitcher. Lyles held the Reds scoreless in his Pirates debut. He has solid career numbers against the Cubs and the wind is blowing in. This looks like a solid spot if you want to take a chance.
My picks: McHugh, Montas; Syndergaard, Lyles
DraftKings MLB: Main stack options
Oakland Athletics vs. Dan Straily:
Straily was just supposed to open, but with Cobb heading back to the DL, he will have a spot in the rotation. The only thing is he’s not really stretched out for the rotation. It doesn’t even matter who the Orioles throw out there. It’s getting ugly. Marcus Semien and Khris Davis are must haves at this point. Matt Chapman and Laureano are as well. Kendrys Morales has an average exit velocity of 97.8 mph with an 11.7 degree launch angle. That spells trouble for the O’s. Anyone with a bat in his hands for the A’s is a strong play here.
Washington Nationals vs. Nick Pivetta:
The Nationals have destroyed Pivetta in his young career. The current roster is 25-61(.410) with five homers and 13 runs already, and that’s without Harper. Anthony Rendon has been particularly unkind to Pivetta, going 6-12 with three homers and six RBI. Ryan Zimmerman is 5-9 with a homer and four RBI. Juan Soto is 3-7 with a homer. Matt Adams and Adam Eaton have had success too, but not much for counting stats.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Yu Darvish:
There is something wrong with Darvish. He has been beyond awful this year after a miserable spring. Until he limits walks and starts fooling hitters again, I’m going to go after him. The Pirates are hitting .360 against Darvish in only 25 at bats. That’s a small sample size, but this is already a team that hits him well even when his stuff is on. It isn’t now. Starling Marte and Adam Frazier border on elite plays here. Jason Martin, Josh Bell, and Cervelli are on my radar as well.
Seattle Mariners vs. Heath Fillmyer:
Fillmyer was rocked at AAA Omaha in his first start this year. So the logical progression is to move him to the majors. Makes perfect sense. The Seattle offense is one of the hottest ones around right now anyway. Vogelbach, Domingo Santana, and Jay Bruce are off the charts with a strong wind blowing out to right. Mallex Smith and Mitch Haniger look like great plays too.
Texas Rangers vs. Robbie Ray
Many are going to jump on Ray and hope he racks up strikeouts, but I’m telling you that’s a horrible idea. The Rangers hit lefties well and Ray has a career ERA of 4.92 at Chase Field. He is a bum at home. Shin-Soo Choo has homered twice off of Ray in seven at bats. Logan Forsythe has the other. Elvis Andrus, Asdrubal Cabrera, and Patrick Wisdom are all cheap pieces you can use to still pay for a stud pitcher.
Miwaukee Brewers vs. Felix Pena:
Wait, didn’t I just suggest using Pena? Backhandedly, yes. Honestly, he has had a huge problem with lefties, and Mike Moustakas has already homered twice in this series. Christian Yelich could hit a hundred homers this year. Yasmani Grandal and Travis Shaw have pounded the Angels too. You could make a case for either side of this, but I want to stack. There are about half a dozen late night hammers again.
DraftKings MLB daily notes:
Jeremy Hellickson hasn’t been horrible against the Phillies, if you can believe that. In fact, most of the damage was done by former teammate Bryce Harper, who is 5-18(.278) with two homers and three RBI. Odubel Herrera is the only other Phillie to take Hellickson deep. Realmuto has four RBI, but not much else.
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Robinson Cano is the only current Met with any real stats against Jake Odorizzi, and they are pretty good. Odorizzi is fresh off of the shortest start of his career in Philly. This is the time to send some Mets after him. It starts with Cano and Michael Conforto. I’m also going to have a lot of Pete Alonso since Odorizzi is actually a lot worse against righties.
Normally I would roll James Paxton out there against an Astros offense that doesn’t really have it going yet. I’m not going to here. Paxton hasn’t made it through the sixth yet. It’s not really a shock. April is Paxton’s second worst month. George Springer is under $4,000, and he has hit three homers against Paxton in 30 at bats. Carlos Correa and Jose Altuve have hit Paxton well too.
I’m not stacking Cardinals against Kenta Maeda, but that’s only because they haven’t homered off of him. The Cards are hitting .329 in 70 at bats with nine runs. Maeda is overpriced here. Marcell Ozuna and Goldy are underpriced. I like both of them if you want to take a run at Maeda.
Javy Baez and Daniel Descalso both have exit velocities of 91.3 mph against Jordan Lyles if you want to take a shot at him. Kyle Schwarber has homered off of Lyles as well.
I wouldn’t go as far as to stack Royals against Japanese rookie Yusei Kikuchi. This offense isn’t really that good. However, the White Sox aren’t either and they touched up Kikuchi in his last start. Whit Merrifield is my favorite here. Mondesi and the red hot Alex Gordon are in play too.
I don’t trust Lance Lynn enough to use him, even though the Arizona offense has struggled outside of Adam Jones, Ketel Marte, and David Peralta. Those are about the only Arizona pieces I’m interested in tonight. Peralta has the only Arizona homer in 43 at bats against Lynn.
I kind of want to use Brandon Woodruff considering Mike Trout is likely to miss this game, but he simply has not been sharp this year. I’d rather go after him with Andrelton Simmons and Tommy LaStella, the heroes from last night. A super cheap Kole Calhoun leading off is also my kryptonite.
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