Main DraftKings MLB Picks April 17: Ride Lynn to the free win
By Mike Marteny
Main DraftKings MLB Picks April 17: Ride Lynn to the free win
The remaining seven DraftKings MLB games fall into the main tournament tonight. The most expensive pitcher on the slate is here, along with a whole bunch of risk. Which risks are worth taking? Which offenses are worth stacking? We’ve got you covered!
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The game in Minneapolis is certain to start late at the very least. Rain isn’t going to start to let up until around 10pm, and I doubt they wait that long to start this. I think this one is going to be rained out, so it won’t be mentioned below. Besides, the 12 mph wind in from left could stymie offense anyway.
There is a 10mph crosswind in D.C. that could knock a few balls down. There is a stiff 15mph wind in from right in Texas, but it’s not like that matters with Harvey on the mound (maybe).
I had limited exposure to Mike Minor‘s first career shutout last night, but the two lineups that I did have him in place. One lineup with Scott Kingery, Moncada, and Gallo smashed it’s way to the cash line despite poor pitching. If I could put all of that in one lineup, I would be dangerous.
These tips are based mostly on past performance. This is a nice tool for building a lineup, but should not be the only pieces of information you use. We have plenty of writers on here who give you relevant information no matter which site you play on, and we all attack the slate from different angles.
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DraftKings MLB Pitcher Plays:
Top Tier:
Cole Hamels ($9,400): Hamels is the most expensive player of the day on any slate, and he is totally worth it. Did you see what Quintana did to the Marlins last night? Hamels has a 2.63 ERA as a Cub, and the Marlins have scored just 48 runs all season. Hamels looks primed to dominate here.
Kevin Gausman ($8,600): Gausman has actually looked healthy so far this year. He’s racking up the strikeouts (12 in 12.2 innings) and keeping the ball out of the air (eight fly ball outs, one homer). Those are recipes for success in this park. The Arizona offense isn’t much to be scared of. I expect Gausman’s strong start to continue here.
Middle Tier:
Lance Lynn ($7,500): Lynn was horrible against the Cubs in his first start, but has rebounded to allow just three runs in 13 innings in his two starts since. One of those was against the Angels. You know, the team that 31 year old Mike Minor just threw his first shutout against after 142 major league starts. The Angels are cold. The Rangers are not. And Lynn gets a free win opposing Harvey. The Angels are only hitting .209 against Lynn in 139 at bats.
Jeff Samardzija ($7,300): Shark has bad numbers against the Nationals overall, but it’s hard to argue with his start to 2019. He’s looking like he did in his first couple of years with the Cubs, posting a 1.62 ERA in three starts with 13 strikeouts in 16.2 innings. The price is right on Samardzija, and he basically gets a free win with Hellickson on the mound opposite him.
Bargain Pitchers:
Wade Miley ($6,600): The A’s are hitting a solid .268 against Miley, but they only have one homer and seven runs in 112 at bats. Miley isn’t going to put up strikeouts, but if he gets enough outs, he can still be a strong play for the price. There is risk here, but the A’s have gone cold lately. Does it continue?
David Hess ($5,600): Hess has a 3.32 ERA in three starts and one relief appearance this year. That’s good enough to lead the Baltimore staff. What stands out to me is that in 14 road innings – in Boston, Toronto, and Yankee Stadium – Hess has only allowed three runs while striking out 13. The Rays are leading this division by a long shot, but Hess is looking good enough to take a flier for this price.
My picks: Hamels, Lynn
DraftKings MLB stack options
Chicago Cubs vs. Sandy Alcantara:
Alcantara has a 1.53 WHIP. That will get you in trouble. Especially when you have an offense like the Cubs that is starting to come around. I like Rizzo and Schwarber to build around here, but I can’t argue with Kris Bryant or Javy Baez either. Cap this stack with Ben Zobrist leading off.
Atlanta Braves vs. Zack Godley:
Godley has a bloated ERA thanks to his home park, but he also got destroyed by the Dodgers in L.A. too. This is a park that caters to left handed hitters with a guy on the mound that has had troubles getting lefties out this year. He’s had trouble getting righties out too. Acuna and Ozzie Albies are great places to start. Freddie Freeman, Ender Inciarte, and Markakis look awfully good too.
Texas Rangers vs. Matt Harvey:
Look guys, I think having Harvey in your rotation is just as bad of an idea as you do, but why keep pushing him back? He’s going to get pummeled either way. Do us DFS players a solid and just let him get his ass kicked already!
The Rangers are hitting .314 with a homer and seven runs in just 35 at bats. Joey Gallo has a three run bomb for his only hit off of Harvey. Asdrubal Cabrera and Shin-Soo Choo stand out here, but Harvey gets pummeled by righties as well. Elvis Andrus looks very good here as well. We couls chase the power of Hunter Pence here or go with Delino DeShields instead. I don’t think there is a bad pick.
Houston Astros vs. Frankie Montas:
Someone woke up the Astros, and they’re mad. They are hitting a robust .361 against Montas in 61 at bats with one homer and ten runs. Correa has the other homer, but I doubt that’s the case when the dust clears tonight. Michael Brantley is the only one that has struggled against Montas (1-8). Everyone else with a bat in their hands is fair game.
DraftKings MLB daily notes:
If you’re not a Shark believer, Matt Adams is 9-17(.529) with three homers and seven RBI off of him. Hell, even if you are a Shark believer, I think you need some exposure to Adams. Brian Dozier has the other homer off of him.
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As much as I want to stack against Jeremy Hellickson, I’m not going to. He has actually pitched well so far this year, and the Giants only have one homer against him in 80 at bats. That was by Brandon Crawford. This lineup woke up last night, but nothing for the Giants stands out against Hellickson. They may go dormant again. That said, Hellickson is still overpriced considering he doesn’t strike anyone out.
Ji-Man Choi has the only Rays homer against David Hess so far. The Rays stack didn’t work out all that well last night unless you had Avi Garcia. Hess has actually been brilliant on the road this year, so I’m not sure I want a lot of exposure here.
Yonny Chirinos pitched well starting against Houston and the Giants, then when he was used in long relief, he got hammered by Toronto. Chirinos is on my radar if he starts this game, but he didn’t respond out of the bullpen the way he did last year. With Chirinos in long relief, I’m not sure a trust this. And it gives us a great reason to use the ultra cheap Chris Davis. Dwight Smith Jr. is worth a look as well.
If you’re feeling froggy, you can toss out Martin Prado at Hamels. Prado is 22-69(.319) with two homers, 15 runs, and nine RBI in his career against Hamels.
Eduardo Escobar is the only current Diamondback to hit a homer against Kevin Gausman. David Peralta is worth a look too if you are chasing lefty power at SunTrust.
The Angels have hit six homers against Lynn in his career. Zack Cozart has three of those, but I don’t know that you can trust him in his current state. Mike Trout, Justin Bour, and Andrelton Simmons have the others, and are a much better place to attack should you choose to do so.
Of course it’s Khris Davis that has the A’s homer against Wade Miley. However, he is just 2-14 lifetime against the soft tossing lefty. Nick Hundley is just 3-18 and Semien is just 4-19. There really isn’t much to like here. Robbie Grossman is 2-4 if you want to chase that.
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