MLB Bets And NBA Bets – Monday May 6 – Cut It Out, Will Ya?
By John Fazio
Good day from MLB Bets. The gambling gods decided celebrating Cinco de Mayo was for somebody else as Arizona blew a 4 run lead in the 8th and we took a 1 unit loss. The season total now sits at plus 21.69 units.
The NBA Bets selection went as predicted with Toronto knocking off Philadelphia, going against a 3 point line move on the 76ers. More NBA Bets later in this article.
If you are a follower and fellow bettor with MLB Bets, I won’t try to rationalize how this was okay. I am as disappointed as you are.
Let’s see what MLB Bets has for us today. All plays valid regardless of pitching changes unless otherwise noted. All times Eastern.
Minnesota (+1.04) beats Toronto, 7:07 pm
This series at least thru last year has been good to the road team. In 2018 the Twins swept a 3 game set at Toronto in late July. This year the Blue Jays took 3 of 4 at Minnesota.
So for whatever reason the away team should be considered to have the advantage. And while both pitchers are throwing very well, Martin Perez for Minnesota has been outstanding in his last 2 starts going 14 innings allowing 1 run.
Marcus Stroman for his part had been excellent himself until last time out at the Angels where he was shelled. The Twins, looking for some payback, should find it in Toronto.
Minnesota is 6-1 versus a right hander including 4-1 on the road. They’re 8-1 away against a team with a losing home record. Meanwhile Toronto is 1-4 in Marcus Stroman’s last 5 home starts and have really struggled against top-tier teams at home.
That’s it for MLB bets on this Monday. Should additional games become plays for MLB Bets they will be tweeted. Now on to the NBA:
NBA Bets To Win – The Rockets are a play laying no more than 1
Houston -1 over Golden State, game 4, 9:30 pm
This is the big game for both teams. Houston wins, they are right back in it.
For those already following NBA bets, and holding Houston +1 +2.00 in the series and +5.40 on the adjusted series price, then holding your position is perfectly fine. If not then Houston is a play at a small money line price or at -1.
Against the spread, Houston amazingly is now 9-1 in their last 10 home games, including 4-1 against teams that have a winning road record. In the last 7 meetings with Golden State they are 5-2 ATS.
Milwaukee +2 over Boston, 7:00 pm
The Bucks are a very good road team. Boston struggles mightily at home against the spread.
This combination has been in evidence for a while now and will be very difficult for the Celtics to break. The feeling that the Celtics need this game more than the Bucks, while seemingly true, will not in itself help them to win. The numbers are against them.
Boston is now 3-12 ATS at home, including 1-5 against a team with a winning away record. Since this game is close to a pick, ATS pretty much means which team will win game four.
There are a number of trends in favor of Milwaukee, including the Bucks are now 4-0 ATS versus teams with a high home winning percentage.
It seems game 1, where the Celtics controlled the tempo and flow from beginning to end and blew out Milwaukee as a big underdog, has actually put enough of a scare into the Bucks that they will be going all out to win this game.
Maybe that sounds obvious but the point of saying Boston needs the game more and therefore has the upper hand is predicated on the belief the Celtics will try harder. That will not be the case. Both teams will look at this as a must game, and Milwaukee has the better overall talent on the floor.