DraftKings MLB Picks May 10: The Tigers are cooked Odorizzi

WASHINGTON, DC – MARCH 31: Patrick Corbin #46 of the Washington Nationals pitches against the New York Mets during the second inning at Nationals Park on March 31, 2019 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Scott Taetsch/Getty Images) /

DraftKings MLB Picks May 10: The Tigers are cooked Odorizzi

We have a massive 14 game slate for our DraftKings MLB slate tonight. The Cubs and Brewers have a matinee at Wrigley, but the rest of the league is duking it out at night. There are a lot of aces on here. Is there any value at the bottom of this slate? Let’s dig through it!

DraftKings MLB Pitcher Plays:

Top Tier:

Luis Castillo ($10,600): Castillo has his worst start of the season last week against this same Giants team, so I am a bit nervous here. That said, Castillo still racked up 22.2 DraftKings points despite allowing four runs because of the high strikeout total. Most of that game was just bad luck by Castillo and one big hit by Buster Posey. I’ll bet that he has a much better night tonight.

Tyler Glasnow ($10,400): Glasnow dominated the Yankees in Tampa last year. He has been even better this year, going 6-0 with a 1.47 ERA and 0.86 WHIP. On top of that, Glasnow has actually been better on the road this year, but his home ERA of 2.60 doesn’t take me off of this any less. I expect a low scoring game on both sides. German has more strikeout upside, but the Rays offense is probably more dangerous than the Yankees right now.

Middle Tier:

Domingo German ($9,500): This is a tough matchup against the Rays, but German has been outstanding this year. He is 6-1 with a 2.35 ERA for a reason. We can ride this wave until it breaks, but I suppose it could be here against a good Rays team. I’ll take my chances in at least one lineup. German’s numbers are too good to ignore.

Jake Odorizzi ($8,800): Odorizzi has given up just six hits and no runs over 13 innings in his last two starts against the Yankees (at Yankee Stadium!) and Astros. No, those aren’t typos. Odorizzi has been quietly dominant, especially at Target Field where he holds a 0.96 ERA in three starts this year. He has pitched well at home in his whole tenure with the Twins. The Tigers are hitting just .207 with no homers and two runs in 58 at bats with 17 strikeouts. Those numbers are plenty good enough to roll Odorizzi out there, even on a loaded slate.

Trevor Cahill ($7,100): Cahill has been a miserable mess this year, but this is one of the best possible matchups that he could have. Cahill also owns a 2.25 ERA in three career starts at Camden Yards. It’s pitching weather, and Cahill gets to face a lineup chalk full of righties. Righties are only hitting .203 against Cahill this year. If he’s ever going to pull out of his 2019 funk, it has to be here.

Bargain Pitchers:

Dylan Covey ($6,200): Covey wont go more than five innings, and honestly could have trouble making is that far. He only gave up two runs in 4.2 innings to the Red Sox in his first start of the season .That’s plenty good enough to turn him loose on Toronto, who hasn’t had a good game offensively in at least a week. There’s no strikeout upside, but if you are just looking for outs at a cheap price. Covey should get you into the low double digits for DraftKings points against the Jays.

Homer Bailey ($5,800): Bailey is the lowest priced pitcher on this slate, and he really shouldn’t be. Bailey is familiar enough with the Phils from his time in the National League. Even though they are hitting a solid .271 off of him in 107 at bats, they still have not hit a home run and have only scored six runs. Bailey isn’t going to put up big numbers, but he should perform plenty well enough for the price.

My picks: Odorizzi, Bailey; Castillo, Odorizzi; Glasnow, Odorizzi

DraftKings MLB stack options

Los Angeles Angels vs. Dan Straily:

The Angels offense got on track in Detroit. Now they get to face the most friendly pitching staff in the majors. The metrics on Straily are horrible and the bullpen is even worse. I definitely want Kole Calhoun leading off. Mike Trout is 9-20 with a homer and four RBI against Straily already. Albert Pujols is 10-21(.476) with two homers and five RBI. David Fletcher and Tommy LaStella both had a big series in Detroit. That’s a pretty lethal and somewhat affordable stack tonight.

Boston Red Sox vs. Erik Swanson:

It’s the Fenway debut for the Seattle youngster. That can be intimidating in its own right. Boston’s offense has been hot lately. Is it just because of playing the White Sox and Orioles on a current road trip? Maybe, but these bats are priced to still take advantage. Mookie, J.D., and Benintendi are the roots of any Sox stack tonight. What you do with the other two spots is key. I think I’m going with Xander Bogaerts and Rafael Devers.

Minnesota Twins vs. Tyson Ross:

Ross’s career numbers against Minnesota aren’t all that bad, but this team is beating the hell out of just about everyone. Ross has a 5.34 ERA and 1.62 WHIP. How’s that going to fly against an offense like this? Jorge Polanco and Max Kepler are musts. I also like Jason Castro on the cheap if he starts. After that, Nelson Cruz, Eddie Rosario, and the suddenly hot Jonathan Schoop are all in play. There isn’t anyone in this lineup I would avoid.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Trevor Williams:

Williams is back to being solid, but not dominant like he was down the stretch. This may seem like a strange place to stack, but the Cardinals have had Williams’ number throughout his career. They are hitting .348 in 145 at bats, so it’s not a fluke. The Cards also have four homers and 25 runs to just 21 strikeouts. Matt Carpenter is 8-19(.421) with three homers and six RBI against Williams already. Paul DeJong has the other homer, and is 5-12 lifetime. Yairo Munoz, Jose Martinez, Ozuna, Dexter Fowler, Wong, and Yadi are all hitting better than .300. Stack away!

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Adam Wainwright:

The Pittsburgh stack did pretty well last night, but honestly, a one off of Gregory Polanco would have been enough. Tonight the guy to target is Starling Marte. Marte is 10-37(.270) with two homers and five RBI. Josh Bell is 5-11 with a homer and five RBI against Waino. Colin Moran was 2-3 with a homer in his only game against Wainwright. You can finish this off with Francisco Cervelli and have a pretty nice stack.

Colorado Rockies vs. Eric Lauer:

Lauer’s numbers against the Rockies aren’t horrible, but he hasn’t pitched at Coors Field either. The Rockies destroyed a lefty yesterday, and the same fate could await Lauer. Mark Reynolds, Ian Desmond, Arenado all homered yesterday, and Story would be a great addition here too since he has the Rockies only homer off of Lauer so far. Every righty and Blackmon is on my radar tonight, but you would have to take some chances on pitching.

Oakland Athletics vs. Cody Anderson:

The Mariners chased Anderson after just two thirds of an inning in his first start of the season last week, and this is a Mariners lineup that was struggling coming in. The A’s are patient and potent, a bad combination for Anderson. Khris Davis, Kendrys Morales, and Marcus Semien have all homered off of him in the past. Robbie Grossman, Jurickson Profar, and Matt Chapman look good here as well.

Cleveland Indians vs. Aaron Brooks:

Cleveland lines up pretty well with Brooks too if you want to stack this side of the game as well. Francisco Lindor and Jason Kipnis still look too cheap. So does Jose Ramirez. This lineup hasn’t done anything special lately, and this is a pitcher’s park, so temper your expectations. Brooks still has a high ERA and is getting blistered by all hitters. Everyone in this Cleveland lineup is worth considering.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Dereck Rodriguez:

Rodriguez couldn’t get the Reds out last week in Cincinnati. The Reds clubbed four homers off of him and picked up eight runs in five innings. Tucker Barnhart, Yasiel Puig, Nick Senzel, and Derek Dietrich all homered in that game, and Suarez has taken him deep in the past. That’s your stack!

SAN DIEGO, CA – APRIL 24: Edwin Encarnacion #10 of the Seattle Mariners walks back to the dugout after striking out during the eighth inning of a baseball game against the San Diego Padres at Petco Park April 24, 2019 in San Diego, California. The Padres won 1-0. (Photo by Denis Poroy/Getty Images) /

DraftKings MLB daily notes:

Is there anyone in the Baltimore lineup worth playing? I understand stacking against Cahill here. If I decide to build 20 lineups, I may even take a shot at it. However, the free spaces of Chris Davis and Stevie Wilkerson are about the only two that I’m going to use regularly.

Stacking Jays against Dylan Covey is tempting as well, and relatively cheap. However, he was solid against Boston, so I’m not lining up Blue Jays bats against him.

Jose Abreu is definitely in play against Clay Buchholz. Yonder Alonso is if you don’t want to pay up for Abreu. Beyond that, Tim Anderson and whoever bats leadoff are also in play. Yoan Moncada is worth using too if you want to put his as a full stack.

More from FanSided

I know that Pablo Lopez looked really good against the Braves last week, but his best games have been at home. I’m not quite ready to throw him out there in hitter friendly CitiField. I would rather use Conforto and Pete Alonso against him. Still, I wont get too heavy on Mets here. Lopez will still have a decent game.

Julio Teheran has good numbers against the current Diamondbacks and solid numbers at Chase Field, but I still don’t trust him enough to use him. His reverse splits make me want to throw Adam Jones at him, and Wilmer Flores is the only current Arizona player to hit a homer off of him.

Wow, Zack Wheeler is expensive, and this matchup isn’t as great at it looks. The Marlins are hitting .271 with two homers and eight runs in only 59 at bats against Wheeler. His strikeout rate is super high, so that will help mitigate any damage. I just don’t see the upside of using Wheeler on a full slate. Miguel Rojas has both homers off of him. Granderson is also worth a look, but only as a cash saving play.

The Rays bats are still kind of expensive for my tastes against a pitcher like German. I may use Brandon Lowe as a one off, but I will have little or no exposure here. Same for the Yankees on the other side. I don’t really want to use any of them against Glasnow at their prices on a full slate.

The Mariners blasted Eduardo Rodriguez earlier this year in Seattle, but I don’t know that they do it again. E-Rod has always been better in Fenway, and this Seattle offense has mostly gone cold. They couldn’t even do anything against Happ last night, a pitcher they have launched into orbit in the past. So the stack is off, and honestly, I may have very little exposure here. Edwin and Tim Beckham are the only two spots that I’m really interested in.

Lance Lynn’s past numbers against the Astros are good, but the Astros have hammered right handed pitching his year. Josh Reddick and George Springer are my favorites here, but it’s hard to pass on Altuve and Correa where they are priced. I kind of want a full stack here, but the Astros offense has been mostly cold of late.

I’m off of Justin Verlander tonight. I know that’s not going to be a popular choice, but Texas got him for four runs in Houston about a month ago. His outing against them in Arlington was better, but still not to the point that I want to pay that much more than everyone else. Verlander has given up at least one homer in every start this year. That means taking a shot or two at him isn’t a horrible idea. Shin-Soo Choo has clocked three homers against Verlander, but is only hitting .202 in 84 at bats. Asdrubal Cabrera has two homers and 10 RBI with a .254 average. That seems a better option.

Arrieta’s numbers against the Royals are pretty good, but he has never faced Hunter Dozier, Merrifield, Mondesi, or Gutierrez. Any of them are in play, and Billy Hamilton has swiped five bags against Arrieta already. There’s enough to like about the Royals for a low owned stack if you’re feeling contrarian.

I’m not all that interested in any Phillies aside from maybe Bryce Harper. Bailey doesn’t give up homers, and there are better pitchers to attack. Bailey’s giving up a few runs, but it probably wont be on long balls. I doubt you get your money’s worth here.

I’m a big German Marquez fan, but I still wont use him at Coors. What good can come of it? His career ERA there is still over 5, and this lineup has a ton of power. Austin Hedges, Greg Garcia, Wil Myers, and Hosmer have all homered off of Marquez before. That doesn’t even take into account the potent bats of Hunter Renfroe, Manny Machado, and Franmil Reyes. I will have a couple of Padres one offs tonight.

I know that Zack Greinke has good home numbers, but the Braves offense still scares me. They have hit Greinke well enough for me to not use him, but not well enough that I really want to take a shot with two exceptions: Matt Joyce and Nick Markakis. Joyce is 8-21(.381) with a homer and four RBI and Markakis is 9-34(.265) with a homer and seven driven in. Limit your exposure to those two if you really want to take a shot here.

Dodgers stacks never work when they are supposed to, so I’ll just say give me Max Muncy and Cody Bellinger and be done with it. Alex Verdugo is a pretty strong play too.

Kenta Maeda has never faced the Nationals. That’s your strange fact for the night. There’s not a lot to like with Maeda or the Nats either. Anthony Rendon is still too cheap, and Adam Eaton is worth considering, but that’s about it.

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