DraftKings MLB Picks June 11: Paxton, James Paxton

PHILADELPHIA, PA – JUNE 10: David Peralta #6 of the Arizona Diamondbacks reacts in the dugout after hitting a solo home run in the top of the first inning against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on June 10, 2019 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images) /

DraftKings MLB Picks June 11: Paxton, James Paxton

We have a 15 game monster for our DraftKings MLB tournaments tonight. There are pitchers at every tier, but on a slate this large, we need to find who is going to perform best for the price, not just overall. Let’s dive right in! After the weather report, of course.

DraftKings MLB Pitcher Plays:

Top Tier:

Patrick Corbin ($10,300): This looks like an elite matchup for Corbin. The White Sox do have some right handed power, but the elite strikeout totals of Corbin and the alarming rates at which the Pale Hose whiff will alleviate any trouble he may get into. I don’t know that I would use Corbin over Paxton’s home dominance in cash games, but he makes for an interesting GPP pivot.

James Paxton ($10,100): Paxton has been unhittable in Yankee Stadium this year. Paxton has a 0.34 ERA, 0.71 WHIP, and 37 strikeouts in 26.2 home innings this year. Lock and load on Paxton. I don’t care if the Mets have a lot of right handed bats. Paxton’s splits aren’t that severe, and his home dominance is a real thing. Want more proof? The Mets are hitting just .161 against Paxton with Carlos Gomez driving in the only runs against him.

Middle Tier:

Spencer Turnbull ($8,600): Turnbull has faced the Royals twice so far and come up with 48.2 DraftKings points. They are getting some hits off of him, but the 17 strikeouts in just 13 innings show how much potential Turnbull has here. There is always a little risk with a guy that allows as many baserunners as Turnbull does, but he has done a great job of limiting damage thus far. It should continue against the Royals.

Chris Archer ($8,100): Archer has had a miserable year for the Pirates thus far, but he may be righting the ship. He has cleared 20 DraftKings points in both of his last two starts. His last start was against this same Braves team. Archer has one career start in SunTrust Park, and he gave up just one run in six innings. This may be the time to use him at low ownership. After all, the Braves are only hitting .170 with four homers and 13 runs in 141 at bats with 44 strikeouts against him.

John Means ($7,100): Means has been brilliant at home, posting a 1.53 ERA in five starts with a 0.82 WHIP. Means has good control and doesn’t allow a lot of home runs or baserunners. There is really nothing not to like against an offense like the Jays. Means is priced too low for the matchup here, so enjoy the value. You’re going to need it if you’re on Coors bats.

Trent Thornton ($7,000): Thornton’s overall numbers aren’t good, but he has a 3.21 ERA in six road starts. Thornton wont go more than five or six innings, but the Orioles are almost exclusively right handed and free swingers. There is a lot of potential for Thornton. The Orioles are similar to the Padres, and Thornton racked up 10 strikeouts on the Padres.

Bargain Pitchers:

Dakota Hudson ($6,200): The Marlins just got shut down by exiled Michael Wacha last night. They can’t hit righties, apparently. Hudson has solid numbers across the board and has turned in four straight double digit DraftKings point performances. He’s a strong value play in a pitchers park against an offense that has gone cold.

Peter Lambert ($5,600): Talk about intrigue. Lambert dominated the Cubs in Wrigley in his major league debut, giving up just one run in seven innings. He may not be quite as good at Coors, but there is a lot of potential for this price tag. If you want elite bats, you have to go cheap somewhere. This looks like a great place. The risk is there, but the reward is high enough to go for it.

Elieser Hernandez ($5,000): Hernandez was nothing special with the Marlins last year or early this year, but he has dominated AAA New Orleans this year. On top of that, Hernandez did put together a 3.40 ERA in 45 innings at Marlins Park over his career. There is reason to believe that Hernandez can put up really good numbers for the price. His 1.13 ERA and 69 strikeouts in 48 innings for New Orleans speak volumes for the potential.

My picks: Paxton, Turnbull; Paxton, Hudson; Paxton, Means

ATLANTA, GA – JUNE 03: Trea Turner #7 celebrates with Anthony Rendon #6 of the Washington Nationals after hitting a two run home run during the second inning against the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park on June 3, 2018 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Daniel Shirey/Getty Images) /

DraftKings MLB stack options

Texas Rangers vs. Darwinzon Hernandez:

Hernandez had a good first major league appearance back in late April, but his ERA is on the wrong side of 5 at AA Portland. The Rangers hit most lefties well enough for this to be a problem. Hunter Pence is front and center here, as is Elvis Andrus. Jeff Mathis is free against a lefty, so sign me up for that value! Danny Santana and Asdrubal Cabrera are logical places to cap this stack, but both Odor and Choo hit lefties well enough to consider, and are great plays if you think Hernandez gets chased early.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Mike Foltynewicz:

Folty was lucky to only give up three runs last week in Pittsburgh. He has been even worse at home, posting an ERA over 7 so far this year. Pittsburgh is hitting .292 with three homers and nine RBI in just 48 at bats against Folty. The stat that really stands out is that Pittsburgh has only struck out six times. Polanco has two of the homers. Colin Moran tagged him last week. Josh Bell is 4-8 lifetime against Folty, but has no counting stats. Starling Marte and Adam Frazier have hit Foltynewicz well so far too.

Washington Nationals vs. Manny Banuelos:

There is a reason that Banuelos was removed from the rotation. He just hasn’t been a good pitcher at the major league level. It would be one thing if he made it back to the rotation because of good relief outings, but that’s not the case. It’s out of necessity. Trea Turner and Anthony Rendon are every bit as elite as any Coors bats tonight. Juan Soto, Brian Dozier, Kendrick, and Robles aren’t far behind.

San Diego Padres vs. Tyler Beede:

Beede has a 8.15 ERA in 17.2 major league innings this year. The Padres have some of the best power going right now, but most of it is from the right side. Good thing that Beede gets thumped by righties too. No Padre is off limits tonight. I really like Machado for the price. Wil Myers too. Josh Naylor, Renfroe, and Franmil Reyes are the other pieces of my stack, but I don’t think there is a bad option in a Padre uniform tonight.

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS – MAY 04: Michael Chavis #23 of the Boston Red Sox is greeted by Rafael Devers #11 of the Boston Red Sox after hitting a home run against the Chicago White Sox during the fifth inning at Guaranteed Rate Field on May 04, 2019 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by David Banks/Getty Images) /

DraftKings MLB daily notes:

Trevor Bauer has a much higher ERA at home. The numbers don’t jump out against the Reds overall, but this offense is all or nothing. If Bauer’s off, he’s going to give up a half dozen runs. If he’s on, he’s getting a dozen strikeouts. I could see using Bauer in GPP’s I guess, but I want more of a sure thing. I will be taking at least one shot with Derek Dietrich, Jesse Winker, and Senzel. Tucker Barnhart is a good, cheap catcher as well.

I still think there’s a great chance Jason Vargas trolls the Yankees. Voit, Gary Sanchez, and LeMahieu are all worth a look, but they are going to be super chalky. Keep an eye on the lineup though. With a twin bill today, some right handed value may open up for the Yankees with regulars sitting.

Jon Duplantier has been good enough as a starter that I’m not going to go after him. He hasn’t been all that good though. I still like Hoskins at the price and Bryce Harper is worth a look. There’s no one spot that stands out to go after Duplantier.

The Rays stack didn’t really work last night until they got to the bullpen. That could be the case here today. However, Fiers allows his share of homers, so I’m not avoid Rays bats by any means. I like Austin Meadows and Choi for sure. Willy Adames at his price is almost free, so I like him too. Brandon Lowe is my favorite of all of them though.

The A’s work counts, and Jalen Beeks has a much worse ERA at home. On top of that, the Rays routinely yank Beeks at the slightest hint of trouble, so if he’s not cruising, chances are he gets about three innings. He’s not worth the price. However, Khris Davis is. He’s still too cheap. I also love Marcus Semien and Matt Chapman for the price. Beeks can be had at home.

Ariel Jurado has been my favorite value play lately, but there’s no way I trust him at Fenway. Jurado has been good enough not to stack against, but this could be where it all falls apart. This looks like a good place for Benintendi and Rafael Devers for sure. You can mix and match with any others, but I don’t want a lot of exposure in any one lineup.

Elieser Hernandez wasn’t very good in the majors last year or in his one appearance this year, but his numbers at AAA suggest that stacking against him could be a bad idea. I still like Matt Carpenter and Marcell Ozuna for sure. DeJong and Goldy aren’t bad picks either, but I don’t think I want of a ton exposure. The park factor has me down on them too.

Freddy Peralta made a good return to the rotation, but I’m still not going to pay that much for a guy who was exiled to the bullpen by the end of April. The Astros are beaten up, but they are still winning. Josh Reddick and Michael Brantley are my favorites here, but Bregman isn’t far behind. A cheap Yordan Alvarez is very tempting as well.

I like Brad Peacock, but his road ERA is well over 4, and the Brewers rake at home. Moose, Yelich, and Travis Shaw are all on my radar here. Peacock is still a good pitcher though. I wont go at him too hard.

Jake Junis pitched well against the Tigers earlier this year, but there are too many red flags for me to use him. On top of that, there are at least three pitchers priced below Junis that I would use first. Christin Stewart is cheap and pounded the Royals and all of their pitching earlier this year. Goodrum and Castellanos are also worth a look here.

Jose Quintana has held his own at Coors, and the Rockies really haven’t hit lefties as well as you may think. They are actually a touch better against righties. That’s not to say that Arenado isn’t an elite play tonight. He is. This is just saying that the money you may shell out for Blackmon or Tapia could be better spent elsewhere. I don’t see Quintana getting blasted tonight, but guys like Ian Desmond would be a better compliment to Story and Arenado.

This is a tough one. Felix Pena has very good numbers against the Dodgers, but the A’s just beat on him in his last outing. Pena really hasn’t pitched well against anyone not named the Mariners. Dodgers stacks always fail me, but I will definitely have some Muncy, Joc, Corey Seager, and Bellinger again tonight.

It’s kind of hard to trust Kenta Maeda on the road even if said road game is only around 10 miles away. Maeda’s road ERA is over 5 this year. He was solid against Arizona the last time out, but a full slate means we don’t have to take risks like this when spending up. Mike Trout and Kole Calhoun are my favorite spots to go after him, but Maeda has handled the Angels in limited exposure.

PHOENIX, AZ – SEPTEMBER 21: Eduardo Escobar #14 of the Arizona Diamondbacks poses for the camera during the first inning of the MLB game against the Colorado Rockies at Chase Field on September 21, 2018 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Jennifer Stewart/Getty Images) /

DraftKings MLB one-off plays:

Luis Castillo hasn’t been a sharp as he was early in the year, but this Cleveland offense still hasn’t really come around. I love Jose Ramirez and Jason Kipnis this cheap, but I don’t really have an interest in paying up for Lindor or Santana with Castillo on the mound.

Arrieta has decent numbers against Arizona, but it’s mostly two guys who have done the damage against him. David Peralta has more RBI than hits in 22 at bats. Eduardo Escobar is 3-8 lifetime. I would limit my exposure to those two.

More from FanSided

I really think that Stevie Wilkerson is the only Oriole I’m interested in tonight. Vlad Jr. is the only Blue Jay I want. Is it really going to be a pitcher’s duel in Baltimore? I think so. Two solid young pitchers against bad offenses. You could throw another Jay or two in there hoping to trash the Baltimore bullpen, but that seems like a reach on a 15 game slate.

You may be able to talk me into one offs of Alfaro or Curtis Granderson, but the Marlins stack failed in grandiose fashion last night. Hudson is much better than Wacha, so I’m probably leaving this whole thing alone.

Freddie Freeman homered off of Chris Archer last week, and Josh Donaldson has homered off of him twice. Aside from that, I’m not on the Braves tonight.

I’m a big fan of Eloy Jimenez as a one off power play against Corbin tonight, but that’s it for the White Sox. This looks like a dominant outing in store for Corbin.

If by some miracle the Twins play, use Kyle Seager. He has four homers in 52 at bats against Martin Perez.

I do like Kyle Schwarber and CarGo as one off plays against Peter Lambert here. I wouldn’t stack this, but lefty power is enticing. That means Rizzo is in play if you have the money for him.

I’m a big fan of Chris Paddack here, especially at home against the Giants. So why isn’t he up a couple of pages? I don’t see him outscoring Corbin or Paxton here. On FanDuel, go for it, but on DK you can get more bang for your buck elsewhere. I really like Brandon Crawford and Joe Panik as value plays. Just understand that you are only playing them hoping for a hit or two. They aren’t going to hit a home run or anything.

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