Dae’s Run Line Plays: Baseball Betting Preview for June 25th 2019
Dae’s Run Line Plays: Baseball Betting Preview for June 25th 2019
Hopefully, you will soon know me as the run line guy because that is all I play. I refuse to take a money line that is worse than -175. I do not like betting big to win small instead I do the opposite I bet small to win big and it has been working all season for me.
Run Lines are hitting often in today’s MLB. Just looking at the scores of some of these games this year and the records being broken, I should probably start taking overs more often in addition to run lines.
If you don’t like the idea of your team having to win by two you can adjust the run line on most online sportsbooks and put it at -1. This way if your only wins by one you at least get your money back. It’s a bit safer than -1.5 but at the same time has much more value than just taking the money line.
I feel like this is a bad intro but I’m sure you’re just here for the picks anyway so here you go. Here are my favorite run lines for the action on June 25th:
Dae’s Run Line Plays: Baseball Betting Preview for June 25th 2019
Royals @ Indians 7:10pm
We have a great 15 game slate today starting at 7:10 pm with plenty of great sports to abuse some run line value. The first game I like today is this one. Shane Bieber and this hot Indians team (8-2 in their last ten) are set to face off against the Royals who are struggling in away games with an 11-26 record.
Bieber (6-3 3.86 ERA) has been great all season allowing under a .230 batting average to lefties and righties. However, he is allowing a .243 ISO to lefties but the Royals only have two solid lefties. That being said I love Bieber in this spot.
Sparkman (2-3 3.62 ERA) is the projected pitcher for the Royals and I still don’t understand how he picked up a win against the Twins last week. He is allowing a .268 batting average to lefties to go along with .253 ISO to lefties.
Unlike the Royals, the Indians have Kipnis, Lindor, Santana, Ramirez (can he finally do something) etc. who all have a great history against right-handed pitching. No way Sparkman gets two quality starts in a row. I’ll take the Indians at home.
Indians run line (-1) -175 @ Draftkings Sportsbook
Dae’s Run Line Plays: Baseball Betting Preview for June 25th 2019
Blue Jays at Yankees 7:05pm
Start spreading the news, I think I am writing up the Yankees every day until they lose. This line up just seems unbeatable, especially against a lefty.
Richard (0-3 7.46 ERA) has been terrible and just has no chance in this one. He is allowing a .320 batting average to righties. With the Yankees getting Judge back almost every bat in this line up can hit two home runs at any time. The projected 1-6 batters all have over a .200 ISO against lefties when healthy.
On the other side of the mound, the Yankees were projected to open with Chad Green but he had to pitch last night when the Blue Jays decided to learn how to hit. Definitely watch out for starter news tomorrow.
Considering how bad the Blue Jays line-up has been I am not worried about who is pitching but as long as it isn’t a triple-A pitcher the Yankees should be fine. They could actually score 10+ runs easily in this spot similar to yesterday’s game. The Blue Jays just doesn’t have the firepower to keep up. Don’t get cute with this one… TAKE THE YANKEES.
Yankees Run Line -1.5 (TBD)
Dae’s Run Line Plays: Baseball Betting Preview for June 25th 2019
Nationals vs Marlins 7:05pm
Mad Max is back. He had some trouble securing wins at the start of the season but is now locked in. In his last seven games, he has a 1.34 ERA and 67 strikeouts. It doesn’t matter who he is facing when he is locked in like this he will go at least seven innings and strike out six (prop bet).
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In this case, he will be going up against a sub-par Marlins team who are currently the 7th worst in the league in batting average. I expect nothing less than a shutout from Mad Max against a team with terrible bats and one/ two leftie(s).
The Marlins are projected to pitch Trevor Richards who has actually not been bad this year, he is just receiving little to no run support. In his last seven, he has a 2.59 ERA with 37 strikeouts. He’s no Scherzer but he is getting the job done. He will also have a much harder task dealing with this pesky Nationals line-up which has been pretty hot as of late.
Adams, Soto, and Eaton should be able to take advantage of Richards allowed .248 batting average to righties. Lastly, I love the fact that the Nationals are away it gives them that guaranteed 9th inning so they can cover the all-important run line if they haven’t already.
Nationals Run Line -1.5 -122 @ Draftkings Sportsbook