Main DraftKings MLB Picks June 26: Is Odorizzi too cheap?

We have nine games for our main DraftKings MLB tournaments tonight. There are a lot of good pitchers on this slate. Which ones are worth the money? Let’s take a look at this! First off, we have to check the weather. That’s just the way it is now.

DraftKings MLB Pitcher Plays:

Top Tier:

Mike Minor ($11,000): Minor has been slightly worse on the road (3.04 ERA), but if that’s worse, that just tells you how good Minor has been this year. The Tigers aren’t much of a threat and this is a nice pitcher’s park. I don’t see this as being a bad thing for Minor. He should be able to lower his road ERA here and pad his already lofty strikeout totals. Minor is worth every penny tonight.

Patrick Corbin ($10,600): The Marlins are hitting just .195 in 41 at bats against Corbin with one run, but only six strikeouts. Much will be made of a couple of rough June starts for Corbin, but he has decided home/road splits and those rough starts were on the road. Corbin has a 2.17 ERA in seven home starts. Oh, and he four hit the Marlins in his first start against them this year, picking up 36.3 DraftKings points. Color me convinced. I wouldn’t be shocked if Corbin outscored everyone tonight.

Charlie Morton ($10,200): Morton is probably the least talked about ace on this slate, which is a good place to pounce. Morton has a stellar 1.57 ERA in nine home starts this year. In fact, he has not lost a road game. On top of that, Morton put up 25.4 DraftKings points in a strong outing against the Twins earlier this year. This team is hitting just .219 with a homer and five runs in 64 at bats with 20 strikeouts. Those numbers compare with all of the higher priced pitchers on the slate.

Middle Tier:

Jake Odorizzi ($9,500): Odorizzi has dominated his former team. They are hitting just .167 against him with just one homer, three runs, and 19 strikeouts in 48 at bats. Most of that damage was done by one guy! Add to that the fact that Odorizzi has a 1.91 ERA and 0.90 WHIP (not to mention a 6-0 record) in seven home starts, and I almost think Odorizzi is underpriced here. After all, he racked up 33.1 DraftKings points on the Rays earlier this year.

Griffin Canning ($8,200): Canning has a solid 3.49 ERA in five home starts, but the telling thing to me is that he is keeping the ball in the park and his home WHIP is below 1. Canning gets about a strikeout per inning, and that could go up against a team like the Reds. The Cincinnati offense is cold anyway. There’s a lot to like about Canning tonight, and I’m surprised he’s not more expensive. This is another good spot for Canning.

Zac Gallen ($7,100): Gallen looked good in his first start against St Louis. There is reason to believe that he can have another strong outing here. Gallen racked up quite a few pitches, and likely wont go more than five innings here as well. That said, the price is right to use Gallen. If he comes out of here with 15 DraftKings points, we’ll be happy with that. There is a great chance of him hitting that mark.

Bargain Pitchers:

Adam Wainwright ($7,000): Wainwright’s still got it. At home anyway. Waino has a 2.68 ERA in seven home starts this year. The As are better against righties, but they haven’t exactly been setting the world afire lately either. However, the A’s are still patient at the plate, and running up Wainwright’s pitch count definitely limits his upside. The Cardinals aren’t going to let him approach 100 pitches here.

Daniel Mengden ($6,900): Mengden’s numbers at the big league level this year aren’t good, but they are mostly skewed by one disastrous outing against the Angels. There’s enough upside here to consider him. The Cardinals offense is scuffling, and Mengden gets to face a pitcher at the plate. Opposing Wainwright is a solid path towards a win as well.

Framber Valdez ($6,900): So Framber got nailed by the Yankees in the Bronx. Color me surprised. All that did was lower his price to a point where I’m very comfortable chasing him. Valdez has a 2.55 ERA in 24.2 home innings this year. The Pirates offense has been very quiet lately. That is likely to continue here.

My picks: Corbin, Odorizzi; Odorizzi, Valdez; Canning, Gallen; Morton, Gallen

DraftKnigs MLB — CHICAGO, IL – APRIL 11: Javier Baez #9 of the Chicago Cubs is congratulated by Kris Bryant #17 after scoring a run during the sixth inning of a game at Wrigley Field on April 11, 2018 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images)

DraftKings MLB Stack Options:

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Jason Vargas:

Jason Vargas is trolling everyone that has gone after him lately. He even held this Phillies team to one run in 4.2 innings in the first start. That’s not happening today. Vargas has a 4.65 road ERA, and this series has been a very high scoring one. Even with all of the offense going on last night, most weren’t on the Phillies like the Yankees or Padres. Rhys Hoskins is an elite play here. Segura, Scott Kingery, and Realmuto aren’t far behind. Even a super cheap Maikel Franco is worth a look here.

Chicago Cubs vs. Dallas Keuchel:

Keuchel did not look sharp in his season debut. A trip to Wrigley isn’t going to help him any. Kris Bryant and Javy Baez are my favorites here, but I like Almora and David Bote against lefties as well. Anthony Rizzo hits lefties well enough to consider as well. Willson Contreras is starting to hit as well. The Cubs have enough right handed power to make life miserable for Keuchel tonight.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Tanner Roark:

The current Angels are hitting .253 with six homers and 16 runs in just 79 at bats against Roark. Putting an average pitcher with a way above average WHIP in an AL Park is usually a recipe for disaster. I doubt this is any different. Justin Bour has three homers and eight of the 16 RBI against Roark. Kole Calhoun, Lucroy, and Justin Upton have the other homers. All of this without even mentioning Mike Trout. There are plenty of option here tonight.

Houston Astros vs. Dario Agrazal:

Agrazal turned in a decent four inning outing against the Marlins 11 days ago in his first major league start. His second one is going to be considerably more difficult. The Astros are getting healthy, and a few of them have started to hit again. The only missing piece right now is Correa. Altuve and Springer are both back, and I would use both of them and Bregman for sure. Josh Reddick and Michael Brantley polish off the expensive stack. You can sub any of them for Yuli Gurriel.

DraftKings MLB daily notes:

Nick Pivetta hasn’t been good by any stretch, but he was decent against the Mets the first time around this year. The long ball has been his problem against the Mets. Conforto has homered off of him twice in six at bats. Wilson Ramos has the other one off of him. I’m mostly after a too cheap Robinson Cano to afford a very expensive Pete Alonso.

I can see both sides to the Mengden thing, but he has pitched well at AAA Nashville, and only really had one bad outing in the majors. Goldy and Carpenter still look too cheap, but they have earned the discount. Neither of them have hit well lately. Neither have Ozuna or DeJong. All of them are in play, but I don’t want a lot of exposure in any one lineup.

Khris Davis, Marcus Semien, and Matt Olson all look way too cheap. Wainwright wasn’t sharp in his first game back. If he’s off again tonight, the A’s are good enough to capitalize. My exposure will likely be confined to one or two lineups, but I’ll go after Waino there.

The list of teams that have beaten up on LeBlanc this year is actually pretty short, but those outings have been bad enough to destroy his ERA. The Twins, A’s (twice), and Boston have 23 of the 33 runs that LeBlanc has allowed in his ten starts. A cold Milwaukee lineup isn’t likely to beat up on LeBlanc too badly. I’m liking chasing the cheap right handed value of Jesus Aguilar and Hernan Perez more than paying up for anyone not named Christian Yelich. You can literally play Yelich against anyone.

I would feel comfortable throwing Adrian Houser at the Mariners if we knew he was getting five innings. Houser has been dominant since his first start, and the entire Brewers pen is pretty solid. Kyle Seager, J.P. Crawford, and Domingo Santana is about as deep as I would go here, and not all three in the same lineup.

Darvish’s career numbers against the Braves aren’t bad, but his home ERA is terrible and his walk rate is enough for me to bet against Darvish having a good game nearly every time he takes the hill. Freddie Freeman and Nick Markakis are my favorites here, followed closely by Acuna and Albies.

DraftKings MLB one-off plays:

Nick Castellanos has a homer against Mike Minor, but honestly, I wouldn’t play any Tigers today. Not a single one.

I don’t feel like Matt Boyd should be five figures against Texas. Boyd has given up ten runs (nine earned) is his last two starts and didn’t allow less than three runs in any June start. I’d rather go after him a little with Elvis or Danny Santana. I certainly couldn’t argue throwing Gallo out there either.

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Brian Anderson is about as far as I would go against Corbin, and honestly, I’m not sold on that idea either. It’s probably best to just avoid this one.

I’m not going to go hard after Gallen, but I will have a few shares of Juan Soto here just in case. I likely wont pay up for Rendon either. If I use anyone else, it will be Adam Eaton.

My interest in Reds is actually pretty low against Canning since he has only given up three homers in 28.1 home innings. Yasiel Puig for the narrative back in L.A. and Nick Senzel on pure talent, but that’s about it. I’m not really crazy about either one.

Framber Valdez isn’t going deep into the game, and the Astros bullpen remains one of the best. I might take a shot with Josh Bell or Starling Marte, but I’m not feeling all that comfortable with anyone in this lineup. The most appealing option may be using Elias Diaz as a punt at catcher.

Nelson Cruz has the Twins only homer against Charlie Morton so far. If I were going after him tonight, I would use Cruz or Eddie Rosario. None of the Twins have been able to solve Morton yet.

Avi Garcia has done all of the damage to Jake Odorizzi from the Rays side. I guess that makes him the only one I would consider chasing with. The Rays offense scuffling also makes this an easy decision.

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