2019 SEC win totals, betting advice and predictions: Can LSU, Florida upset Alabama, Georgia?

MIAMI, FL - DECEMBER 29: Tua Tagovailoa #13 in action with Najee Harris #22 of the Alabama Crimson Tide during the game against the Oklahoma Sooners at Hard Rock Stadium on December 29, 2018 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Mark Brown/Getty Images)
MIAMI, FL - DECEMBER 29: Tua Tagovailoa #13 in action with Najee Harris #22 of the Alabama Crimson Tide during the game against the Oklahoma Sooners at Hard Rock Stadium on December 29, 2018 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Mark Brown/Getty Images) /
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How should you bet on 2019 SEC win totals? Here are all the betting advice and football analysis you need to know in order to win some cash this season.

The 2019 SEC win totals are out and now is the perfect time to study up on the 14 teams to see who could be representing the East and West in the SEC Championship Game. If you are looking to win some cash this college football season, placing a few wagers on teams going over or under their projected win total is a fun place to start. Will Alabama and Georgia live up to expectations and be the only SEC teams to reach double-digit wins? Is LSU, Florida or another challenger capable of unseating them for conference supremacy? Which teams could be headed for a long fall?

All win totals are courtesy of FanDuel.

2019 SEC win totals

Alabama 11 – Over

This one is easy. Alabama has 12 games this season. The last time they lost two games in the regular season was back in 2010. That’s insanity and the utmost consistency. This is the best bet in college football, or possibly in sports. They have Nick Saban and Tua Tagovailoa, the best coach and one of the best quarterbacks in the game. They don’t have a terribly hard out-of-conference schedule (Duke is the only relatively tough game). The only roadblock for the Crimson Tide is they have to play both Texas A&M and Auburn on the road, but we can’t see them losing both those games.

Georgia 11 – Under

This one is very, very tough. Georgia looks like a really good team, but a September matchup with Notre Dame will mean everything for their season. If they lose that game going into SEC play, making the College Football Playoff will be a feat possible too much to handle. Quarterback Jake Fromm returns to lead a potent offense. Still, there are multiple places that could mess Georgia up in the running to the end of the season, including an early November contest in the Swamp against the Florida Gators.

Florida 9 – Over

Last year, the SEC had five teams get 10 or more wins by the end of the season. Sure, bowl wins factor into that number, but it’s still a surprise that only two teams in this conference saw their over/under number land in the double digits. The Florida Gators have an interesting schedule that’s bookended with rivalry games. They kick off the entire college football season against the Miami Hurricanes on Aug. 24, then they end the season against Florida State. Add in road games against LSU, Kentucky and Missouri, and there are a ton of question marks. However, the rivalry games are both at home, as is the matchup against Georgia. They can lose to both the Bulldogs and Tigers and still come out as over.

LSU 9 – Over

The LSU Tigers come into the season as a top-five team in the country, yet their win total is set at nine. This should be an easy over, right? They won ten games last season, they returning quarterback Joe Burrow and most of the offensive line. This should be the year LSU takes the jump, right? Well, it will all come down to a Week 2 matchup when they head to Texas. This game is huge for both teams, and the Longhorns get it at home. Still, this team has too good a roster to lose more than three games to lose this bet outright. This will likely push, but bet the over because that’s much more likely to happen.

Mississippi State 8.5 – Under

For the first time in this year’s SEC betting, there is no push to save you. Those half games force a bettor to get it right or wrong, no in between. Mississippi State is a team with a lot of question marks. After head coach Joe Moorhead led the team to eight wins last season, Vegas expects them to exceed it this year. They do have some good matchups at home (LSU, Alabama, Kentucky). They could easily be 4-0 going into a matchup with Auburn. However, one should expect them to lose to Alabama and LSU, then the Bulldogs would need to lose just two other losses to miss their number.

Auburn 8 – Under

Auburn starts their year off with a major matchup with Justin Herbert and the Oregon Ducks. Here is where we’ll see if the Tigers defense can carry them this season. Gus Malzahn is taking over play-calling duties, and the offense looked really good this spring. The major problem with Auburn is the schedule. They have to play Georgia and Florida in the SEC East, plus have LSU and Texas A&M on the road. Then, there’s the Alabama matchup that can go either way. Auburn has to win at least two of Georgia, Florida, Alabama, Texas A&M, Oregon and Florida. Then, they couldn’t lose a matchup where they should be the winners. The under is the bet here.

Texas A&M 7.5 – Over

The Texas A&M Aggies face off the defending National Champions, the Clemson Tigers, in the second week of the season. They play their title opponent Alabama a month later. The schedule does them no favors, and let’s assume they lose those two games, then at the end of the season, they have Georgia and LSU on the road in back-to-back weeks. Let’s say the Aggies lose all of those games, they could still win this bet outright. Jimbo Fisher is starting to get his recruits after leaving Florida State.

Tennessee 6.5 – Over

Tennessee should be much, much better on the field this season. Their schedule looks much easier, replacing West Virginia and Auburn for UAB and Mississippi State. They are still decent matchups, but still easier. Plus, they have an upgrade on the coaching staff when they brought in Jim Chaney as offensive coordinator. They return quarterback Jarrett Guarantano to lead this offense after an up-and-down season. This team should easily make it to seven wins, and could even win as many as nine if things work our right.

Missouri 6.5 – Over

The Missouri Tigers have everything set up to have a much better season. They play a rebuilding West Virginia team in their non-conference schedule. Their SEC West opponent is Ole Miss, meaning they can skip out on Alabama, LSU and Auburn. Plus, they only have to win six games in the SEC East. They can lose to Arkansas, Georgia, Florida, Kentucky and Tennessee, and still, get this number as a win.

Kentucky 6 – Over

Quarterback Terry Wilson returns after he helped lead the team to 10 wins last season. However, there isn’t a lot of returns beyond him. Almost everyone expects them to have a major drop in wins, and there’s good reason for it. The running game looked pretty good in the spring, but they still have to replace Benny Snell. While it’s an uphill battle, this feels like a push. But, we’re not going to cop out like that. We’ll go with the ever-so-slight over on this, but buyer beware, this is one of the iffiest bets in the conference.

South Carolina 6 – Under

South Carolina has an insane schedule this season. Coming off a seven-win season, they need to play Alabama as one of their SEC West teams and then Clemson to end their regular season. That’s an easy two losses right there. Then, they play UNC, Missouri, Georgia, Tennessee and Texas A&M on the road. Also, Appalachian State could be a harder matchup than they were hoping for. Go with the under here.

Arkansas 6 – Over

There’s a good chance the Arkansas Razorbacks could escape the first four weeks of the season with a 4-0 record, with a weak non-conference schedule and Ole Miss to start things off. That means Arkansas needs just two wins in their final eight games, including one against Western Kentucky. Arkansas went 0-8 in the SEC last year, so the Razorbacks aren’t necessarily a lock to get the over even with the five wins, but one has to imagine they won’t go two straight years doing that bad. This is a soft over.

Vanderbilt 5 – Under

Vanderbilt starts the season with a matchup with Georgia, kicking off the season with a likely loss. They don’t have an easy win until the end of September against Northern Illinois. Going 1-3 when they take the brunt of the conference schedule is not ideal. They have a few easy wins along the way, but it is starting to look like Vanderbilt will be the punching bag of the SEC this year.

Ole Miss 5 – Under

Ole Miss is tied with Vanderbilt at the bottom of the SEC over unders. They will almost certainly miss out on a bowl game. They will return all of their defense, but the schedule does them no favors. They have three games that could go either way (Memphis, Arkansas, Vanderbilt). Basically, they need to win two of their three toss-up games, and can’t lose one of their easy games, and they can get the over. We just don’t trust this offense enough to bet on that happening.

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