5 players being over-drafted in fantasy football

OAKLAND, CA - NOVEMBER 11: Melvin Gordon #28 of the Los Angeles Chargers runs for a 66-yard touchdown against the Oakland Raiders during their NFL game at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum on November 11, 2018 in Oakland, California. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)
OAKLAND, CA - NOVEMBER 11: Melvin Gordon #28 of the Los Angeles Chargers runs for a 66-yard touchdown against the Oakland Raiders during their NFL game at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum on November 11, 2018 in Oakland, California. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images) /
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Here’s an in-depth look at five players who are currently being drafted too early in fantasy football drafts. Adjust accordingly.

So far I have drafted 10 high-stakes fantasy leagues, so I have had plenty of time and opportunity to assess the ADP (average draft position) of the early drafts this fantasy football season.

Based on my experience with those drafts, I have spent some time assessing which players are being over- and under-drafted, in order to know which players to avoid and which players to target.

So in this first of two articles, let’s take a look at five players who are currently being over-drafted – that is, drafted earlier than they should be. We will start at the beginning of the ADP and work our way toward the lower rounds.

1. Melvin Gordon, ADP 1.12

Gordon is being over-drafted, but not because he isn’t talented enough to be taken in the first round. Rather, the reason is because he is entirely too risky for the first or the second rounds of drafts. If you haven’t heard, Gordon has threatened to hold out this season unless he receives a new contract.

Peter King believes the hold out could get ugly, since other similar situations have gotten ugly (such as with Le’Veon Bell recently), and since Chargers GM Tom Telesco is known to dig his heels in and refuse to budge. If it does get ugly, Gordon could end up holding out until Week 10 and still get credit for the season. Then the Chargers could let him walk after the season or could apply the franchise tag.

Either way, with the real threat of Gordon missing game action, he simply cannot be drafted anywhere near the first round. If he signs at some point, he will and should jump back into the first round. Until then, wait until the third round or later to pull the trigger.