Fantasy Football Quarterback – Tier Two
Deshaun Watson – Barely on the fringe of making tier one for me is Deshaun Watson. I have to put him behind the three guys above but I do expect Watson to have a really nice year.
I think Nuk Hopkins is the best wide receiver in the league not to mention he now has deep threat Will Fuller healthy and a REALLY nice number 3 wide receiver in Keke Coutee.
My fear with this offense is that Bill O’Brien keeps things a little buttoned up and they end up being a bit too conservative for my liking, which is the only reason I have Watson here. He could easily put up numbers rivaling any of the guys I have in tier one.
Andrew Luck – I have loved Andrew Luck in fantasy quite a bit the last few years because their defense was terrible and so was the play calling. Luck would end up playing from behind in the second half in so many games they would be forced to air the ball out and he would rack up a ton of stats.
I don’t see that being the case quite as much anymore but he’ll still be slinging it quite a bit. Although I’m sure the coaching staff doesn’t like it, he’s also a deceptively good runner which can get you extra points.
Baker Mayfield – It pains me to say this as a Steelers fan but this kid is a stud and the team they’ve built around him is fantastic. His running game is spectacular with Chubb which takes a lot of pressure off.
Njoku is athletic but has been quite disappointing really (at least from a fantasy perspective which is what this is all about). However, Baker has two stud wide receivers in OBJ and Landry.
OBJ is obviously the alpha number one of the group but Landry is also a really nice weapon to have. Baker has the talent but honestly, he’s close to being here purely because of his situation with that running game and those weapons.
Drew Brees – Volume is the name of the game for Brees and there aren’t many quarterbacks with a higher floor. He set a career mark with 4 rushing touchdowns last season which, while potentially unsustainable, shows some different packages that Sean Payton has confidence in.
While their improved defense won’t give Brees the opportunity he’s used to, the combination of Alvin Kamara, Michael Thomas and Jared Cook give him plenty of reliable options in the passing game.
Carson Wentz – I don’t think any quarterback in the league has more red-zone threats to play with than Wentz, as the combination of Zach Ertz, Alshon Jeffrey, Nelson Agholor and the addition of deep-threat DeSeason Jackson, Wentz has too many options to not finish as a top-10 quarterback.
Baker Mayfield – I’ll admit that the ridiculous amount of hype surrounding Baker could shoot his ADP to an unrealistic level, but he was able to set a rookie record and toss 27 touchdowns last season while throwing for 3,725 yards. Take those numbers and add in Odell Beckham Jr. and a full off-season under the new coaching staff and his ceiling is through the roof.
Andrew Luck – Luck played all 16 games last year and racked up a whopping 39 passing TDs. He’s going to have to throw the ball a lot for the Colts to win games and their offense should be improved this year.
Carson Wentz – I am a Wentz believer and I think he bounces back this year after the injury last year. He is super smart, talented, and athletic. Surrounded by talent in this offense, he should thrive.
Drew Brees – I have Brees higher than most. I know the Saints will run the ball, but Brees is such an efficient passer and you can pretty much lock him in for 3500+ yards and 30 TDs every year. He also had four rushing TD’s last year as the Saints are using him on QB sneaks at the goal line like the Pats do with Brady.
Andrew Luck – He just misses Tier One because I’m not sure the QB1 is in reach for him. He threw 39 touchdowns last season so I’m not sure if expecting more would be that smart, even with additions of Devin Funchess and Paris Campbell.
Matt Ryan – In 102 career dome games, Ryan averages 1.68 touchdowns, 257.3 yards and 7.8 yards per attempt. These are all his best splits and the Falcons will have 13 games in a dome this year. The only outdoor games are at San Francisco, Carolina and Tampa Bay(Week 17).
Cam Newton – He was the QB7 as far as points per game went in 2018, and really health is the only concern. If the hype is real for receivers Curtis Samuel and DJ Moore, a top five finish seems like a cinch with Christian McCaffrey out of the backfield.
Carson Wentz – The Philadelphia offense is loaded like never before in Wentz’s tenure and he has all the pieces he could possibly ask for. He’s capable of an MVP level of play, not he needs to make it 16 games.
Baker Mayfield – Giving this young man Odell Beckham as a prime wide receiver is going to look very, very bad for one Dave Gettleman this year. Mayfield has a full year under his belt and proved he belonged last year with a patchwork receiving corps outside of Jarvis Landry.
Ben Roethlisberger – I’m not sure I’ve ever seen a quarterback who led the league in passing yards and was the QB2 in the previous year get so little pub. Sure, Antonio Brown is in Oakland but the Steelers will still sling it at a top 10 rate in football. People are sleeping on Large Benjamin.