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DraftKings NFL Week 1 DFS Ownership Projections

By Alex McKinnon

DENVER, CO - OCTOBER 1: Quarterback Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs smiles at tight end Travis Kelce #87 during player warm ups before a game against the Denver Broncos at Broncos Stadium at Mile High on October 1, 2018 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Getty Images)
DENVER, CO - OCTOBER 1: Quarterback Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs smiles at tight end Travis Kelce #87 during player warm ups before a game against the Denver Broncos at Broncos Stadium at Mile High on October 1, 2018 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Getty Images) /
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DraftKings NFL Week 1
NEW ORLEANS, LOUISIANA – AUGUST 29: An NFL logo celebrating it’2s 100th season is seen during an NFL preseason game at the Mercedes Benz Superdome on August 29, 2019 in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Photo by Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images) /

Welcome back to another season of NFL DFS! Every week of the NFL season, I will provide you with my projected ownership of each position for the DraftKings NFL main slate and help mold your lineups.

These ownership projections are based on social trends, pricing, injury status, match-ups and so on. Sources include beat reporters, weather reports, individual team injury reports, Pro Football Reference and FanShare Sports.

For clarity, we will only be analyzing the main slate of the week (1PM and 4PM EST games) on DraftKings NFL which includes the Millionaire Maker, ‘NFL $5M Fantasy Football Millionaire’. 

In this DraftKings NFL breakdown, I will identify those who I believe are the chalk plays you can’t avoid and where you can find the best pivot plays.

Be sure to follow me on twitter @AlexMcKinnonDFS for any adjustments baring final injury reports, weather and general trends of interest/disinterest in players.

This season, I will provide you with who I expect to be the highest owned players at each position along with some of the top expected performers with low ownership expectations. I will also provide my picks per position based on the ownership and pricing relationship and isolate a few hidden gems.

The best thing that can happen to your DraftKings NFL lineup is finding a low owned, high reward player who can separate you from the competition. There is no better feeling than seeing your top WR score two touchdowns and noticing he is only owned by 2% of the field.

"A contrarian is a person that takes up a contrary position, especially a position that is opposed to that of the majority."

One thing I will mention regularly is value or ‘hitting value’. What that means is a player scored enough fantasy points to be worth his price tag. What I consider to be value is landing in the ‘cash’ of a particular contest or tournament and making a profit off of your initial entry.

The metric we use to discern the value is your players multiplier or Points/Price equation. For example, Player X costs $6700 and this week on DraftKings he managed to score 20.7 DK points. You would then take the point (20.7) and divide it by the players cost by moving a decimal over three spots from the right (stay with me). In this case, $6700 would turn into 6.7 or 6.7K. 20.7 DK points divided by 6.7 would be 3.09, and that number signifies the ‘value’ of a player. Player X scored 3.09 times his cost.

On to Week 1 of the NFL season! Click next to see the highest owned quarterbacks on the slate…