MLB DFS – Building our bats
After taking 3 of 4 from the Cubs over the weekend, and beating up on our buddy Jon Lester on Sunday, the Brew Crew heads to Miami to face off against RHP Robert Duggar. As an aside, of course, Lester pitches on the first Sunday of the NFL season so nobody sees his 8 ER blow-up outing – crafty old friend, crafty.
Although it has only been a small sample thus far, Duggar has been one of the worst arms on this slate in 2019, surrendering a slate high 53% hard-contact rate all behind a 6.3 xFIP. Most of his damage came in his first start against the Mets but throughout the minors and so far in the majors, Duggar has been an arm with sub 20% K stuff and a single-digit swinging-strike rate and his inability to put hitters away with swing and miss stuff is not going to align well with the hard contact he has allowed.
The beautiful part of this Brewers stack tonight is that the pricing is a perfect blend of high/low that allows you to stack the elite power upside of guys like Christian Yelich, Yasmani Grandal and Eric Thames while plugging in punt values around them like lead-off man Trent Grisham ($6.6K) and #FreeSquare Travis Shaw ($4.2K).
Obviously hitting in Marlins Park is not the ideal hitting environment but with nearly every other game being played in the 60’s and low 70’s tonight, it is going to be harder to find the hot and humid conditions that lead to 6+ IRT’s in MLB DFS.
A six-man Brewers stack even with Yelich being the most expensive player on the slate at $10.5K is doable alongside a deGrom/Bumgarner build as a result of the value that exists within their stack and with 5 IRT here tonight, they trail only the Houston Astros for highest Vegas total.