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NFL DFS game by game breakdown: Week 3

By Joe Metz

MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA - SEPTEMBER 08: Dalvin Cook #33 of the Minnesota Vikings celebrates a touchdown against the Atlanta Falcons during the game at U.S. Bank Stadium on September 8, 2019 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Vikings defeated the Falcons 28-12. (Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images)
MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA - SEPTEMBER 08: Dalvin Cook #33 of the Minnesota Vikings celebrates a touchdown against the Atlanta Falcons during the game at U.S. Bank Stadium on September 8, 2019 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Vikings defeated the Falcons 28-12. (Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images) /
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PHILADELPHIA, PA – OCTOBER 21: Greg Olsen #88 of the Carolina Panthers makes a touchdown reception during the second half against the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field on October 21, 2018 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Carolina defeats Philadelphia 21-17. (Photo by Brett Carlsen/Getty Images) /

NFL DFS: Carolina Panthers @ Arizona Cardinals

Carolina Panthers

With Cam Newton trending towards not playing, the Panthers will have a much different looking offense on Sunday. The matchup with the Cardinals could help ease Kyle Allen into action should he start. Last season, he only recorded a single start, but played turnover-free football, tossing 228 yards and a pair of touchdowns. With the lackluster secondary of Arizona and the insane pace of the game, he could be a deep-flyer in large field tournaments.

Christian McCaffrey would be the obvious beneficiary of no Newton, although it’s hard to imagine even more usage. He could flirt with 30-35 touches in this game and against this cupcake defense and in this game environment, the top overall play on the slate seems like a title that could be his to lose. Aside from McCaffrey, the best play on the Panthers is easily Greg Olsen. He’s looked healthy to kick off the season and the Cardinals have been burned by tight ends. Through two weeks, they’ve allowed the below stat lines:

  • Week 1 (TJ Hockenson): 9 catches, 131 yards, 1 TD
  • Week 2 (Mark Andrews): 8 catches, 112 yards, 1 TD

For his reasonable price, he’s a top-5 TE play on the slate.

If Allen is to start at QB, that would surely be a bit of a downgrade for wideouts D.J. Moore and Curtis Samuel. Samuel, in particular, had a phenomenal week 2, drawing 13 targets. While he was only able to haul in 5 of them, he averaged 18.2 yards per catch, giving him enough big-play upside to warrant a look in GPPs.

Cash Plays: McCaffrey, Olsen

GPP Plays: Samuel, Allen (if starting)

Arizona Cardinals

This Kliff Kingsbury offense has been lightning fast, as the Cardinals rank 2nd in the league in seconds per play (22.23), trailing only the Panthers for running the quickest plays while ranking 5th overall in plays per game (68). This, expectedly, paves a great path for David Johnson to produce. While he left with an injury last week, he’s still seen 25 rushing attempts compared to only 2 for backup Chase Edmonds, and 8 targets compared to Edmonds’ 3. He’s locked into the workhorse role in a high-octane offense, making him a phenomenal GPP play this week as long as he remains healthy.

Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk have looked great in the passing game, with Fitzgerald leading the team with an elite 27.47% target share while Kirk trails him at 21.98%. Both are averaging 10+ targets per game and with the amount of volume this offense is seeing against a pass defense that was 24th in pass DVOA last season, they’re both viable this week.

Kyler Murray has thrown 94 passes this year and has topped 300 yards in both games. While he failed to throw a touchdown last game, the Panthers’ secondary is vulnerable enough where if he throws for 300+ again, there’s no reason he won’t record a score or two, making him viable in all formats.

Cash Plays: Murray, Fitzgerald

GPP Plays: Johnson (cash viable if no restrictions), Kirk

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