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MLB DFS picks and pivots: Tuesday, September 24

By Brian Tulloch

MINNEAPOLIS, MN - SEPTEMBER 08: Mike Clevinger #52 of the Cleveland Indians pitches against the Minnesota Twins on September 8, 2019 at the Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Indians defeated the Twins 5-2. (Photo by Brace Hemmelgarn/Minnesota Twins/Getty Images)
MINNEAPOLIS, MN - SEPTEMBER 08: Mike Clevinger #52 of the Cleveland Indians pitches against the Minnesota Twins on September 8, 2019 at the Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Indians defeated the Twins 5-2. (Photo by Brace Hemmelgarn/Minnesota Twins/Getty Images) /
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SAN DIEGO, CA – SEPTEMBER 22: Seth Mejias-Brean #24 of the San Diego Padres celebrates after hitting walk-off home run during the the tenth inning of a baseball game against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Petco Park September 22, 2019 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Denis Poroy/Getty Images)
SAN DIEGO, CA – SEPTEMBER 22: Seth Mejias-Brean #24 of the San Diego Padres celebrates after hitting walk-off home run during the the tenth inning of a baseball game against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Petco Park September 22, 2019 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Denis Poroy/Getty Images) /

MLB DFS – Building Our Bats:

For most of the season, the status quo build in MLB DFS is to pay up for one stud arm, find a cheap SP2 and go get some solid bats and here in Picks and Pivots, we have taken the approach on many slates or arguing to pay up for BOTH arms and finding a cheap stack to make it work.

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Now, the slate dictates this decision, as does the player pool, but tonight with clear upper echelon arms like Cole/Clevinger both pitching, I think it is the perfect opportunity to run out that kind of build. Now, easier said than done as a Cole/Clevinger build is going to leave you with $6.5K per bat on FantasyDraft which means you are going to be dumpster diving in a major way.

I toyed with the idea of using the Miami Marlins as the de-facto punt stack against Noah Syndergaard who has been struggling recently and we know can give up stolen bases in bunches. My only concern here is that – well, the talent level on Miami is not overly appealing and after Jorge Alfaro and crew broke it open last night, will this punt stack actually get some love in the industry?

That leads me to the late-night hammer, so far as teams that play later in the evening and are super cheap go – and that is the San Diego Padres at home against the Dodgers. This is going to be an odd match-up for the Padres as they will get a sort of bullpen game from LA with Rich Hill, knee brace and all, expected to throw 2 innings before turning it over to Ross Stripling and the Dodgers pen in what amounts to a postseason warm-up and scrimmage for the boys from LA.

As far as Hill goes, this is an arm who is giving up significant power to RHB, to the tune of a .216 ISO and 44% HC rate and the Padres lineup is stacked with right-handed power, as 4 of the top 6 batters have .275+ ISO marks against LHP in 2019 including Manny Machado, Wil Myers, Hunter Renfroe and Ty France.

The real appeal here is the pricing as you can go 1-6 in a Padres stack and not pay any more than $7.7K for a hitter here with every single bat in the $6-$7K range. The fact that they will face a myriad of arms, will make this a match-up that few bother to even look at and the IRT under 4 will make it even less appealing for most.

However, this is about as talented and powerful a stack as you will find for a $6-$7K/average batter stack and let’s not forget that it gives you a path to Cole AND Clevinger which could put your lineup at 60-70 fantasy point floor before your bats even get a chance to hit batting practice. It is risky, but so is late season MLB DFS, so why not embrace it and take some shots!

Good luck all!

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