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EPL DFS Breakdown – Saturday 10/19/19

By Vince Dray

Bournemouth's English striker Callum Wilson (R) vies with Arsenal's German goalkeeper Bernd Leno (L) during the English Premier League football match between Arsenal and Bournemouth at the Emirates Stadium in London on October 6, 2019. (Photo by Tolga AKMEN / AFP) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE. No use with unauthorized audio, video, data, fixture lists, club/league logos or 'live' services. Online in-match use limited to 120 images. An additional 40 images may be used in extra time. No video emulation. Social media in-match use limited to 120 images. An additional 40 images may be used in extra time. No use in betting publications, games or single club/league/player publications. / (Photo by TOLGA AKMEN/AFP via Getty Images)
Bournemouth's English striker Callum Wilson (R) vies with Arsenal's German goalkeeper Bernd Leno (L) during the English Premier League football match between Arsenal and Bournemouth at the Emirates Stadium in London on October 6, 2019. (Photo by Tolga AKMEN / AFP) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE. No use with unauthorized audio, video, data, fixture lists, club/league logos or 'live' services. Online in-match use limited to 120 images. An additional 40 images may be used in extra time. No video emulation. Social media in-match use limited to 120 images. An additional 40 images may be used in extra time. No use in betting publications, games or single club/league/player publications. / (Photo by TOLGA AKMEN/AFP via Getty Images) /
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SOUTHAMPTON, ENGLAND – OCTOBER 06: Michy Batshuayi of Chelsea celebrates scoring their fourth goal with Christian Pulisic of Chelsea during the Premier League match between Southampton FC and Chelsea FC at St Mary’s Stadium on October 06, 2019 in Southampton, United Kingdom. (Photo by Julian Finney/Getty Images) EPL DFS
SOUTHAMPTON, ENGLAND – OCTOBER 06: Michy Batshuayi of Chelsea celebrates scoring their fourth goal with Christian Pulisic of Chelsea during the Premier League match between Southampton FC and Chelsea FC at St Mary’s Stadium on October 06, 2019 in Southampton, United Kingdom. (Photo by Julian Finney/Getty Images) EPL DFS /

After this season’s 2nd international break, the English Premier League is back on Saturday with a big 7-game main slate.  Keep reading for my thoughts on this slate in my EPL DFS Breakdown.

Our biggest favorite on the slate is Manchester City (-2.0), as you could have guessed.  They face Crystal Palace away, which is not an easy matchup for anyone.  The goal total in this game (3.5) is tied for highest on the slate.  City will be the obvious chalk for many casual DFS players, but there are plenty of other spots in the other 6 games that should not be overlooked.

Chelsea (-1.5) at home against Newcastle is our second-largest favorite on Saturday in a game with a nice 3.0 goal over/under.  This is a game that Chelsea should control and win, but it isn’t the best for DFS purposes.  However, I’ll likely still have some exposure.

Tottenham (-1.5) home against Watford and Leicester (-1.0) home against Burnley follow as the next 2 favorites.  With as poor as Watford has been this season, it might be surprising for some to see that Tottenham is only a 1.5 goal favorite.  However, Tottenham themselves have looked like a relegation side over the past few weeks.  This is a matchup at home they can thrive in if they return to their winning ways.

Two more home teams, Bournemouth (-0.5) and Wolverhampton (-0.5), both find themselves favored slightly against Norwich and Southampton, respectively.  The over/under is only 2.5 in the Wolverhampton game, but the over/under in the Norwich @ Bournemouth game matches the City game at 3.5.

The least attractive game on this slate from a fantasy standpoint is Brighton @ Aston Villa with a spread of 0.0 and a goal total of 2.5.  Many eyes will slide right past this game and for good reason.