DraftKings NBA Picks November 11: Revenge of Kawhi

Photo by Chris Elise/NBAE via Getty Images
Photo by Chris Elise/NBAE via Getty Images /
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CHARLOTTE, NC – NOVEMBER 9: Brandon Ingram #14 of the New Orleans Pelicans looks on during the game against the Charlotte Hornets on November 9, 2019 at Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2019 NBAE (Photo by Kent Smith/NBAE via Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Small Forwards:

Best Bets:

You can complain about load management all you want, but that’s the state of today’s NBA. Just look at how the Raptors handled Kawhi Leonard last year and what dividends it paid in May and June. The whole NBA is wide open right now, and the Clippers have as good a chance as anyone. Expect regular load management breaks for Kawhi, but when he has been on the court, he has been superb. He only missed 5x value at this price in the first two games of the season. He has cleared it with ease every other time. Kawhi is probably the safest star tonight against the team he won a title with last year.

Brandon Ingram has proven to be the star that the Lakers could never make him into. He was getting there before the LeBron fiasco last season. Now he has exploded for the Pelicans, a return that New Orleans desperately needed in an unwinnable trade. Ingram could have a monster against Houston. He put up 63.25 on them the first time. That was without Holiday, but 50 is definitely within reach at just $7,800.

Honorable Mention:

I really do hate using Andrew Wiggins. I try not to let a player’s contract affect my DFS lineups, but it’s not just that. Wiggins is about as inconsistent at they come. Wiggins has been superb with the Wolves beaten up at guard. Keep an eye on the injury report. If both Teague and Napier are out again, it could be another high usage night for Wiggins, making him worth this price.

On paper this is a great matchup for DeRozan. Paper doesn’t mean much in San Antonio. Rotations run deep and superstars are not used as heavily, especially early in the season, as they are on other places. That’s not to say that DDR is a bad play. I just don’t think he has much for upside, leaving him much better off for cash lineups.

Bojan Bogdanovic is the only consistently efficient scorer for the Jazz right now. He offers little else besides a handful of rebounds, but if Bojan is throwing in more than 20 points a night, he almost hits value in points alone. Bogdanovic is a low risk play in the middle tier, though he doesn’t have a ton of upside.

Dark Horses:

The Rockets are dropping like flies. P.J. Tucker is one of the few that is still standing. If House is out, Tucker is going to blow away value here tonight. If House plays, Tucker is still a solid option but doesn’t have nearly as much upside. If House plays, use House instead. He is more of an offensive threat and provides more consistent fantasy output.

You can’t ignore the huge minutes that Big Dog III is playing for the Warriors, but he just doesn’t produce like his dad did. His price is far too high for the 20-30 DraftKings points that he puts up a night. However, there is ample upside with the minutes he plays.

Norman Powell has picked up back to back starts with Lowry out, putting up 52.75 DraftKings points in the two games. Those aren’t huge totals, but they are very good for this price point. Powell does have good upside, though it’s less with the way FVV is playing.