DraftKings NBA Shooting Guards:
Brad Beal ($8,600): While I don’t like the matchup, Beal has chucked up 54 shots in the last two games. He is the offense. That kind of volume always makes Beal worth a look. This isn’t a Harden situation where Beal shoots just to shoot. The Wizards would get (and have been) blown out every night if he didn’t.
Jimmy Butler ($8,100): Butler lit up the Celtics and Raptors earlier in the week, going for 117.75 DraftKings points in the two games. You know what happens now, right? Butler has the best possible matchup known to man against the Wizards (Generals). He’s going to flop. Big time. It always happens when Butler should come up huge. He’ll kill a ton of lineups, but I guarantee you none of them will be mine.
Zach LaVine ($7,800): LaVine just keeps dropping 40’s like it’s nothing. I don’t trust D-Russ to play over 25 minutes again. Until he does I’m not using him and I’m not afraid of his defense. LaVine should be in for another great game here. He lit up the Warriors for 58.75 DraftKings points back on November 27. Having Russell back may drop that line some, but not enough to move me off of LaVine.
Buddy Hield ($7,600): Hield is still really streaky, but the difference this year is that he is providing more than just points. That raises the floor, which makes it easier to deal with his 33% from the floor nights. In fact, Hield hasn’t cleared 43% from the floor over the last four games, but his low mark is 35.5 DraftKings points. Do I dare say that Hield is finally a safe play?
Terry Rozier ($7,100): Moving Rozier off the ball has worked very well for Charlotte. This team is arguably more competitive than with Kemba in town. Rozier struggled against the Nets the first time, but that was with Kyrie in the lineup and Charlotte hadn’t really hit stride yet. He’s solid for the price. We have seen both Rozier and Graham have big games at the same time.
Lou Williams ($6,400): On paper, this is not a good matchup for Williams. However, the in the first meeting with the Bucks, LouWill lit the lamp for 34 actual points and 58.5 DraftKings points. Kawhi was out for that game, so take it for what you will. He can get hot at any moment. I enjoy the discount against the Bucks here, and am going to take advantage of it at least once.
Luke Kennard ($5,800): Again, on paper this is a terrible matchup. However, Kennard has played the Pacers three times already and averaged 36.5 DraftKings points per game on them. If you light a team up thrice, at some point it’s not a fluke. Kennard should be well worth the price again.
Collin Sexton ($5,400): Sexton is probably better off the ball, so Cleveland using him at SG suits him better. Garland isn’t much of a point guard, but this team is content to use on-the-job training to build for the future. Sexton does little more than score, but if he’s dumping in 20 per game, he’s going way above value at this price.
Duncan Robinson ($4,600): Robinson was seeing good minutes even before Dragic went down. The path is just a little more clear for Robinson now. He’s a good shooter and a solid rebounder, but this Heat deep is deep and will ride the hot hand. That said, if this turns into a blowout, Robinson should still be one of the guys that sees a lot of minutes. Same with Herro. It’s risky playing for a blowout though.