Bracketology: Projected 1 seeds – Kansas, Baylor the only locks; Maryland replaces San Diego State

Bracketology update on projected No. 1 seeds after San Diego State and Gonzaga lost, leaving Kansas and Baylor as the only locks to be No. 1 seeds and Maryland moving up to the one-line.

Kansas won the rematch over Baylor on a wild Saturday that saw three of the top four teams lose that will radically shake up the projected No. 1 seeds in the NCAA Tournament.

The Jayhawks edged the Bears in their home arena to snap the Big 12’s longest winning streak at 23 games. Both Big 12 powers have wins against each other on the opponent’s home court. The race to see who wins the regular-season title could come down to a random draw. They will then receive the No. 1 seed in the Big Ten Tournament. Regardless of who gets the regular-season title and who wins the Big 12 Tournament, Kansas and Baylor are safely secure on the No. 1 line.

Baylor will lose the No. 1 ranking they held in the AP Poll for the last five weeks but they’ll still have a No. 1 next to their name for the NCAA Tournament.

They just may not be the No. 1 overall seed, however, with Kansas having momentum and the most recent win over Baylor. Bill Self‘s team looked so much better this time around vs. Baylor, especially Udoka Azubuike who had 23 points and 19 rebounds in the 66-63 win in Waco.

With Azubuike and Devon Dotson playing like the best duo in college basketball, they’ll be a lock for the No. 1 overall seed if they win out.

But while Kansas and Baylor have secured their top seeds in the NCAA Tournament, the bracketology beyond them gets murky.

No. 2 Gonzaga fell to BYU on Saturday night when most of the sports fans in the nation turned their attention to the Tyson Fury – Deontay Wilder fight. The Zags have looked comfortably secure on the one-line but their status is in peril now. If the NCAA Tournament started today, Mark Few’s team would still hang on to a No. 1 seed in large part because of their resume and of the resumes of the teams closest to moving up from the two-line to the one.

Gonzaga had a loss to work with, and likely have a second one to burn, and can still be a No. 1 seed with Kansas and Baylor.

The real entertainment and drama will be who gets the fourth No. 1 seed. Similarly to who ends up with the No. 4 spot in the College Football Playoff, this is where the tough decisions will have to be made.

San Diego State was in line to get a No. 1 seed as they had to suffer a defeat until last night. The Aztecs needed to go perfect to get a No. 1 seed but the loss will see them slide down to the two-line with Maryland moving up.

The Terps need to win on Sunday afternoon against Ohio State to lock in their status otherwise, Dayton and San Diego State will be the two leading candidates for the final No. 1 seed.

There will be shuffling among the teams with the last few regular-season games to be played followed by the conference tournaments in the first half of March. Then, the real madness will begin with Selection Sunday on March 15 and the NCAA Tournament underway later that week.

Entering the final week of February it’s Kansas, Baylor, Gonzaga and Maryland who are the projected No. 1 seeds.

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