Big 12 football win totals: Over/under bets for every Big 12 team
By Nick Villano
College football win totals are in for the Big 12. Will Oklahoma go over 10? Will Texas go under 9? Here’s how to bet all the Big 12 teams win totals.
Last season, the Big 12 ended up being a two-team race between the Oklahoma Sooners and the Baylor Bears. Those two teams were the only two in the conference to finish in the top ten before the bowl games. The next team in the rankings was Oklahoma State at 25. To say it was a down year was a massive understatement.
Those two teams are completely different this season. The Oklahoma Sooners lost their starting quarterback Jalen Hurt, the third-straight year they lost a Heisman Trophy candidate. Baylor, on the other hand, lost head coach Matt Rhule, who was the catalyst to getting the most out of their team last season.
This coming season, anything can happen. Texas fell way below expectations last season. With those expectations lowered this season, maybe they can jump on the potential we thought they had last season. A million question marks surround West Virginia, Iowa State, Oklahoma State, Kansas State and Texas Tech. It’s a wild conference, to be honest.
So when looking at the over/under, they show that oddsmakers have no idea what to do with these teams either. Oklahoma has the highest win total based on history. Where does the rest of the conference stand? With these win totals and thanks to a down 2019, there’s a lot of money to be made here.
All football win totals come from Caesar’s Sportsbook.
College football win totals for every Big 12 team
Baylor – 8
Under: How will the Bears react to the loss of Coach Rhule? Well, they replaced him with former LSU Tigers defensive coordinator Dave Aranda. Not a bad replacement for a school that was once the laughing-stock of the conference. This season, they still have QB Charlie Brewer and a relatively easy schedule. The last time we saw Brewer, he was laid out with a neck injury against Georgia. Let’s see how that impacts him this season, as some are talking Heisman for him. We think they’ll end up going under in Aranda’s first year as head coach. He’s moved up the rankings but has never held the top position ever in his career. We see some growing pains once they get into the conference slate.
Iowa State – 8
Under: If we had to make a pick for Iowa State, we’d pick eight games, so oddsmakers hit the nail on the head with this one. We have to make a pick, so we’ll go with under, just because the schedule is not as simple as some of the other teams. Last season, we thought Brock Purdy would carry the Cyclones to wins, but when everything was on the line, he didn’t get it done. Iowa State has to play Iowa on the road, Oklahoma State on the road and Texas on the road. They play Oklahoma and Baylor at home, but we just don’t see them winning those games either. They have talent, but things aren’t going to work out this season unless Purdy can be the player we thought he’d be.
Kansas – 3.5
Over: As we see it, in Les Miles’s second year as head coach of Kansas, he’s facing very low expectations, as we usually have with Kansas. However, we see some opportunities for the Jayhawks this season. They have New Hampshire and Coastal Carolina on the schedule. Those are going to be chalked up as wins. Boston College has a new head coach and a new philosophy, and the Jayhawks have the tools to take advantage of that off the bat. When it comes to the Big 12 schedule, it will be hard to get a win, and they don’t have a ton of home games that work for them, but it only takes one slip up to go over, and we saw it happen last season.
Kansas State – 6
Over: Kansas State is the one line that feels like a win more than any other team. Six seems like a really low number for them, despite a rough season last year. Five of their first six games are at home, with the sixth coming against a still unproven West Virginia Mountaineers team. They could have five wins before the end of October, and they’re only getting six? Bet big on the over.
Oklahoma – 10
Over: We’ve come to the favorite. Oklahoma is one of the few teams that put double-digit marks in the win column year in and year out. The Sooners have had less than ten wins once in the last ten years. Spencer Rattler doesn’t feel like the Heisman candidate the Sooners fans are used to, but he’s more than serviceable. They do have Tennessee and Army in their non-conference schedule, but Oklahoma is plain better than both of them. Go over with this and feel good about it.
Oklahoma State – 8.5
Under: The Oklahoma State Cowboys were third or fourth-best team in the Big 12 last season, a down season for a usually competitive conference, and they still couldn’t get past eight wins. Mike Gundy is making headlines for all the wrong reasons, and who knows if his comments are going to gather further scrutiny. Either way, OK State is likely going to start in the Top 25, but they have an interesting schedule with some hard games on the road and starting with Oregon State instead with an absolute powder-puff.
Oklahoma St. Football Schedule
TCU – 6.5
Under: This one was hard, but the TCU non-conference schedule might be the hardest in the Big 12. They have to go up against SMU and California on the road before going into their Big 12 schedule. Those are two teams that have a lot of talent, and even if they win two of three going into the Big 12 schedule, Not sure we see them winning five of nine games on the conference schedule.
Texas – 9
Under: Texas goes up against a University of South Florida team that wasn’t very well last season to start. However, with the defending champion LSU Tigers the next week, they could overlook the Bulls. It’s a scary proposition with former Clemson co-OC Jeff Scott now in Tampa. Nine is a big number (so much for those lowered expectations), and Texas has a difficult schedule. Also, Sam Ehlinger has been limited in the offseason due to a rib injury (on top of the quarantine). We see at least three losses on this schedule.
Texas Tech – 6
Over: Texas Tech has an interesting matchup against Arizona in their non-conference schedule. The third week of the season could show exactly what this team is made of. We see at least six wins on the schedule, especially with two of their three non-conference matchups coming against terrible teams. Texas Tech got a couple of practices in before everything got shut down, so they could have a better understanding of their team. That could pay dividends in a very strange year.
West Virginia – 5.5
Over: WVU was awful last season, but they lost head coach Dana Holgerson, quarterback Will Grier, and their two best wide receivers in David Stills and Gary Jennings. Now, Neil Brown is looking to put in place a new mindset. They have quite the schedule, playing Florida State in the “season opener” at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. They also play Maryland on their schedule. Still, this is a home-field advantage we put against any in the country and the fact that Jarrett Doege and Austin Kendall are in another season in the Neal Brown system, which would hopefully help them overall.
Next. Way-too-early 2020 rankings: 1-130. dark
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