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DraftKings MLB picks July 30: Get Fried in Hotlanta

By Mike Marteny

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - JULY 25: Max Fried #54 of the Atlanta Braves in action against the New York Mets at Citi Field on July 25, 2020 in New York City. The 2020 season had been postponed since March due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The Braves defeated the Mets 5-3 in ten innings. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - JULY 25: Max Fried #54 of the Atlanta Braves in action against the New York Mets at Citi Field on July 25, 2020 in New York City. The 2020 season had been postponed since March due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The Braves defeated the Mets 5-3 in ten innings. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) /
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DraftKings MLB
SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA – JULY 25: Dinelson Lamet #29 of the San Diego Padres pitches during the first inning of a game against the Arizona Diamondbacks at PETCO Park on July 25, 2020 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images) /

DraftKings MLB Pitcher Plays:

Top Tier:

Jose Berrios ($10,200): I wouldn’t worry too much about Berrios’s start in his opener. He always struggles on the road and against the White Sox. Berrios has a 3.60 career ERA at Target Field. It was an even 3.00 last year. A few Cleveland guys hit him well, but not the ones you might expect. There is an avenue to a good start and high strikeout potential here for Berrios.

Dinelson Lamet ($9,200): Lamet dominated the Giants in his lone start against them last year. The Giants aren’t scoring a lot of runs. They wont be able to against Lamet either. In two career starts against the Giants, Lamet has 45.2 DraftKings points. I feel more comfortable with him than any other starter on this slate. He’ll give up a couple of runs, but he has 16 strikeouts in 11.2 innings against the Giants in his career.

Max Fried ($8,900): Fried is like Yarbrough, but with strikeouts. He has a 3.20 ERA in 109.2 career innings in SunTrust Park. The Rays have been hitting well in the early going, but someone’s going to shut them down. It might be Fried. He doesn’t allow a lot of baserunners and can rack up the strikeouts.

Middle Tier:

Dylan Bundy ($8,200): Maybe getting out of Baltimore is all Bundy needed. He looked very sharp against Oakland in his season debut. Seattle hasn’t hit him well in a small sample size. The Mariners are pesky, but they do strike out. Now the bad news: Bundy has a 7.64 career ERA at the Big A. The good news is that Trout is on his side now.

Steven Matz ($8,100): Remember what I said last week about Matz and Citi Field? Guess who’s at home again? That’s right. Matz gets a home start against a Boston offense that has been a little sluggish lately. I’m not going to ride Matz as heavily as I did last week because there are some dangerous right-handed bats in this lineup, but you can’t ignore Matz’s home dominance.

Bargain Tier:

Ryan Yarbrough ($7,400): The lack of strikeouts (one in the opener) has always been an issue for Yarbrough, but the price is right to take a flier here. SunTrust park favors lefties, but lefties hit just .218 against Yarbrough with very little power. Just watch the rain around this one to make sure it wont be an issue. My problem with Yarbrough is that he doesn’t offer much upside. He’s likely not going six innings.

Brady Singer ($6,800): Singer looks solid in his first start against Cleveland. Detroit’s offense isn’t all that great and they have a tendency to struggle against right-handed pitching. Singer is the safest bargain pitcher on the slate. You’re going to need it if you want to pay up for bats.

Martin Perez ($6,000): It takes a strong stomach and a cheap large field GPP to make Perez viable. The Mets are only hitting .222 with a homer and seven runs off of him in 99 at bats. That’s a good return on the investment if he can do something like that. The .071 ISO means little hard contact off of him as well. That said, he looked dreadful in his first start. Proceed with caution.