Late college football DFS picks October 3: Good night for Bulldogs

BATON ROUGE, LOUISIANA - SEPTEMBER 26: K.J. Costello #3 of the Mississippi State Bulldogs (Photo by Sean Gardner/Getty Images)
BATON ROUGE, LOUISIANA - SEPTEMBER 26: K.J. Costello #3 of the Mississippi State Bulldogs (Photo by Sean Gardner/Getty Images) /
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Osirus Mitchell #5 of the Mississippi State Bulldogs is tackled by Damone Clark #18 of the LSU Tigers during a NCAA football game at Tiger Stadium on September 26, 2020 in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. (Photo by Sean Gardner/Getty Images) /

College football DFS wide receiver picks October 3:

Top Tier:

With all due respect to Terrace Marshall and Marlon Williams, Osirus Mitchell is the best receiver on this slate and it isn’t really close. Some of it is the scheme. Some is the volume. Some is the opponent. Mitchell has the best of all three.

Bo Nix made no secret of who his favorite target is in the opener. Seth Williams could be in for another nice day against a tough Georgia defense. The price is enough lower than the upper tier to consider him.

It’s also not a bad idea to consider George Pickens since JT Daniels is at least going to play, if not start, this game for Georgia.

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Middle Tier:

Much as we saw with Washington State the last couple of years and Texas Tech before that, there’s no such thing as a bad receiver in a Mike Leach offense. JaVonta Payton isn’t the playmaker that Mitchell is, but he’s still going to see plenty of targets.

Don’t waste your money on Charleston Rambo. Marvin Mims will get you as much if not more production at a much lower price.

Oklahoma transfer Jaylon Robinson has a better path to production that any of his former teammates. Williams gets most of the attention, but Robinson has had two huge games as well. He’s dangerous, and Tulsa can’t guard both of them. They’re going to have enough trouble trying to contain one of them….

Bargain Shoppers:

The UCF defense isn’t invincible. Keylon Stokes is a strong play since Tulsa is going to have to throw to keep up with these guys and he’s super cheap. The same is true for Josh Johnson. The only real problem I have with Johnson is that he’s not enough cheaper than Stokes for the significantly lower number of targets that he gets.

If you’re going to run Ken Seals out there at superflex, I suggest doubling down with Amir Abdur-Rahman. He’s huge and athletic and is capable of creating mismatches, even against a team like LSU.

The same is true for Lavel Davis. You don’t see a lot of 6-foot-7 receivers out there. Davis is a big mismatch, even for Clemson. He could be in for a huge season, especially considering he’s more than half a foot taller than most corners.