It’s moving week in the NFL, as we hit the midway point of the season with a bevy of great games and some important playoff implications afoot.
As always, legions of great stats can be found over at Pro Football Reference.
Biggest mismatch for Packers: Turn them over. San Francisco ranks 24th in interception rate (2.9%). With a backup quarterback, Green Bay’s defense should feast on contested throws.
Biggest mismatch for 49ers: Take time. C.J. Beathard will have comfort. Green Bay ranks 30th in pressure rate (16.7%), and 28th in both knockdown (4.7%) and hurry percentage (6.1%).
Stat to know: Green Bay has allowed a 71.5 percent completion rate, only better than the Jets and Jaguars. Beathard will have a chance to throw quick underneath.
Biggest mismatch for Seahawks: Russ will cook. The Bills are 30th in hurry rate (6.4%). Given Russell Wilson is the MVP frontrunner through eight week, this could be checkmate for Buffalo.
Biggest mismatch for Bills: Keep moving. Buffalo has the league’s best third-down offense (51.6%) while Seattle checks in T-23rd defensively in the metric (48.4%).
Stat to know: Seattle scores touchdowns on 88 percent of its red zone entries. No other team clears 80 percent.
Biggest mismatch for Lions: Do your job. The Lions don’t allow yards after catch, ranking third with 602 yards against. This matches well against Kirk Cousins, who didn’t throw a pass over nine yards in the air on Sunday.
Biggest mismatch for Vikings: Finish. The Vikings are fifth defensively in third down rate (35.4%) while Detroit’s offense is 24th (40.0%).
Stat to know: The Vikings average 13.2 yards per completion, most in the NFL. Look for yards after catch.
Biggest mismatch for Giants: Play some defense. Washington ranks 31st in yards per play (4.6). New York is 12th in YPP against (5.4).
Biggest mismatch for Football Team: Get to Daniel Jones. Washington’s sack rate (10.0%) is second in football behind Pittsburgh. New York’s offense is T-7th-worst in the metric.
Stat to know: Look for defense. New York and Washington rank 29th and 31st respectively in yards per play at 4.9 and 4.6.
Biggest mismatch for Panthers: Stay grounded. The Chiefs’ are 28th in YPA against (4.8). With Christian McCaffrey back and Mike Davis playing well, Carolina’s ground game should move at a good pace.
Biggest mismatch for Chiefs: Keep them on the field. Kansas City is T-3rd in third down rate (49.5%) while Carolina’s defense is 31st (54.2%).
Stat to know: The Chiefs’ defense forces a turnover on 16.5 percent of drives, T-4th-best in the NFL.
Biggest mismatch for Jaguars: Run, run, run. Houston allows 5.2 yards per carry, tied for worst in football. Considering Jake Luton is about to make his pro debut, Jacksonville should pound the ball.
Biggest mismatch for Texans: Watson will find them. Jacksonville has the league’s lowest sack total (6), giving a bad offensive line a great chance to protect Watson.
Stat to know: Houston’s defense has created only four turnovers, tied with Las Vegas and Green Bay for the fewest in football.
Biggest mismatch for Broncos: Make the big play. Atlanta has allowed 1,508 air yards, most in the NFL. Drew Lock has to look for speedsters Jerry Jeudy and K.J. Hamler.
Biggest mismatch for Falcons: Rise up. Denver is 26th in yards per play (5.1). If Atlanta can force a few 3-and-outs, the Falcons’ offense might run up a quick lead.
Stat to know: Atlanta has given up 20 touchdown passes, most in the NFL.
Biggest mismatch for Bears: Make it tough. Tennessee ranks a decent 11th in completion rate, but Chicago is fifth against (61.1%) and rarely blitzes (28th). It won’t be easy for Ryan Tannehill.
Biggest mismatch for Titans: Be special. Chicago’s coverage teams have been poor, ranking 27th and 31st in kick and punt return yardage against, respectively.
Stat to know: Tennessee allows an NFL-worst 61.9 percent conversion rate on third down. Chicago’s offense is 31st in those situations at 34.9 percent.
Biggest mismatch for Ravens: Force long distances. Indianapolis runs for a league-worst 3.3 yards per carry. If Baltimore can force 2nd/3rd-and-longs, Philip Rivers will have a tough day.
Biggest mismatch for Colts: No extra yards. Indianapolis has missed the fewest tackles in football (24). If the Colts can wrap up Lamar Jackson and the run game, they’re in great shape.
Stat to know: Baltimore allows the fewest points per drive (1.56) and posts the lowest scoring percentage per drive (26.5%) in the NFL.
Biggest mismatch for Raiders: Tough to stop. Las Vegas scores on 52.9 percent of drives, best in football. Los Angeles a middling 14th (42.0%) against.
Biggest mismatch for Chargers: Watch Herbert work. The Raiders have totaled a league-worst 27 QB hits this year. Justin Herbert will have chances to scan the field for big plays.
Stat to know: The Raiders rank 31st in points allowed per drive at 2.97.
Biggest mismatch for Dolphins: Make your move. Tua Tagovailoa can throw to DeVante Parker and Preston Williams on short routes. Arizona is 29th in yards after catch allowed with 1,032.
Biggest mismatch for Cardinals: Watch Kyler run. Kyler Murray is tough to sack, with Arizona’s third-best sack rate (3.4%) as evidence. Miami will need to be disciplined in its rush.
Stat to know: The Cardinals rush for 5.2 yards per attempt, second only to Baltimore.
Biggest mismatch for Steelers: Put the heat on. Dallas is incredibly banged-up on the front wall, and Pittsburgh ranks first in hurry (15.0%) and pressure rates (35.0%).
Biggest mismatch for Cowboys: Limit the yardage. Pittsburgh is 31st in yards per completion (9.7). Dallas has to make tackles quickly.
Stat to know: Dallas has committed a league-high 18 turnovers. Pittsburgh has the T-5th-most takeaways with 13.
Biggest mismatch for Saints: Beat the blitz. Drew Brees is a veteran who will see blitz packages coming. Tampa blitzes sixth-most in the NFL at 36.7 percent. The Saints will have one-on-one shots.
Biggest mismatch for Buccaneers: Make those trips count. Tampa Bay is third in red zone percentage (78.6%) while New Orleans is 32nd defensively inside the 20 (83.3%).
Stat to know: Tampa Bay allows 3.2 yards per carry, best in the NFL.
Biggest mismatch for Patriots: No passing. The Jets have notched a league-worst 62 passing first downs, while New England has surrendered an NFL-low 74 first downs through the air.
Biggest mismatch for Jets: Few big plays. New England is averaging 4.9 adjusted yards gained per pass attempt, 31st in the NFL. New York has to keep the passing game under wraps.
Stat to know: Expect field goals. The Patriots and Jets rank 28th and 32nd offensively in red zone percentage at 52.5 and 25.0 percent, respectively.